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Guillermo Schelotto
injured
Vélez Sarsfield
CA Independiente
Vélez Sarsfield
4-3-3 · 4-3-3
CA Independiente
Coaches
Guillermo SchelottoGustavo Quinteros 
Injuries & suspensions
CA Independiente
S. Valdez
Sprained Knee Injury · back 2026-08-31
Recent form
Vélez SarsfieldWACA Talleres3-1
WHInstituto De Córdoba1-0
LHGimnasia y Esgrima0-1
DHNewell's Old Boys1-1
DHClub Atlético Unión de Santa Fe2-2
CA IndependienteWHNewell's Old Boys1-0
WAEstudiantes de La Plata2-0
LARosario Central1-3
WASan Lorenzo2-1
LADeportivo Riestra0-2
Where to watch
TyC Sports Internacional
TyC Sports Internacional
TyC Sports Internacional
TyC Sports Internacional
TyC Sports Internacional
TyC Sports Internacional
Arena Sport 1 HR
SportItalia
TyC Sports Internacional
TyC Sports Internacional
TyC Sports Internacional
TyC Sports Internacional
TyC Sports Internacional
TyC Sports Internacional
SportItalia
TyC Sports Internacional
Fox DeportesTyC Sports Internacional
TyC Sports Internacional
TyC Sports Internacional
Match facts
Stadium
Jose Amalfitani
City
Buenos Aires
Referee
Leandro Rey Hilfer
Kickoff
03 Aug, 22:00 UTC
Competition
Liga Profesional de Fútbol
🔮 AI-predicted lineup · 9% confidence — confirmed XI drops ~1h before kickoff
Vélez Sarsfield
4-3-3 · 4-3-3
CA Independiente
1
T. Marchiori
6.9
32
T. Silvero
7.9
3
E. Gómez
6.9
4
J. García
6.8
16
L. Magallán
6.6
29
R. Aliendro
7.7
22
M. Lanzini
6.9
10
D. Valdés
7.5
15
D. Godoy
6.7
39
T. Aguirre
6.9
9
F. Monzón
33
R. Rey
8.0
29
L. Godoy
7.1
22
F. Zabala
7.0
13
J. Fedorco
6.9
4
S. Arias
6.7
7
S. Montiel
8.2
16
M. Pérez
6.8
23
I. Marcone
7.0
9
G. Ávalos
7.0
18
F. Valdéz
34
F. Tempone
Substitutes
42GA. Cortez
34GÁ. Busso
2DE. Mammana6.6
18DS. Escobar6.4
47DA. Pereyra
19DL. Cristaldo
8ML. Robertone7.0
5MC. Baeza6.6
48ML. Feler6.2
11MM. Pellegrini6.1
37FJ. C. Policella
30FL. Piola
Coach: Guillermo Schelotto
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 34 bookmakers
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 62% · 1.53 @ 10bet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 80% · 1.19 @ Betano
1X2Draw 33% · 3.00 @ Bwin
BTTSBTTS: No 54% · 1.78 @ Novibet
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 59% · 1.63 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 70% · 1.34 @ Betsson
1X2Independiente to win 30% · 3.20 @ Bet365
Who winsVélez Sarsfield to win (DNB) 55% · 1.74 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 52% · 1.85 @ Interwetten
1X2Vélez Sarsfield to win 37% · 2.63 @ Pinnacle
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 64% · 1.54 @ Unibet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.55
Vélez Sarsfield ▲
2.85
Draw
3.08
CA Independiente ▲
Double Chanceconsensus
1.36
Vélez Sarsfield or Draw ▲
1.39
Vélez Sarsfield or CA Independiente
1.50
Draw or CA Independiente ▼
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
2.00
Yes
1.73
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.11
Over 0.50
6.35
Under 0.50 ▼
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.48
Over 1.50 ▼
2.60
Under 1.50 ▲
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.53
Over 2.50 ▲
1.50
Under 2.50 ▼
Total Goals 3.50consensus
4.68
Over 3.50 ▼
1.18
Under 3.50 ▼
Total Goals 4.50consensus
9.85
Over 4.50 ▼
1.05
Under 4.50 ▲
Draw No Betconsensus
1.70
Vélez Sarsfield ▲
2.06
CA Independiente ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 3.50consensus
14.00
Under 3.50
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.03
Over 4.50
9.40
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.09
Over 5.50
5.90
Under 5.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.24
Over 6.50 ▲
3.65
Under 6.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.45
Over 7.50 ▲
2.53
Under 7.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.79
Over 8.50 ▲
1.92
Under 8.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
2.28
Over 9.50 ▲
1.56
Under 9.50 ▼
1.4 – 0.9Expected goals
1-0Most likely score
~9Expected corners
No bet in this match — nothing offers both a real edge and a worthwhile price. The full breakdown is below for the curious.
Every market recommended rows highlighted
| Our call | How likely | Bookmakers say | Their odds | Price check | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 goalsGoals | 62% | 62% | 1.5 | Overpriced | medium |
| Under 3.5 goalsGoals | 80% | 80% | 1.17 | Overpriced | high |
| Draw1X2 | 33% | 33% | 2.85 | Overpriced | low |
| BTTS: NoBTTS | 54% | 54% | 1.73 | Overpriced | low |
| Under 9.5 cornersCorners | 59% | 59% | 1.56 | Overpriced | low |
| Under 10.5 cornersCorners | 70% | 70% | 1.32 | Overpriced | high |
| Independiente to win1X2 | 30% | 30% | 3.08 | Overpriced | low |
| Vélez Sarsfield to win (DNB)Who wins | 55% | 55% | 1.7 | Overpriced | low |
| Over 8.5 cornersCorners | 52% | 52% | 1.79 | Overpriced | low |
| Vélez Sarsfield to win1X2 | 37% | 37% | 2.55 | Overpriced | low |
| Over 1.5 goalsGoals | 64% | 63% | 1.48 | Fair | medium |
Where we disagree most with the bookmakers: Vélez Sarsfield to win (DNB) — we say 68%, they say 55%.
Probability vs league average
| Market | This match | League avg | Diff | More likely? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 64% | 63% | +1% | Yes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 38% | 35% | +3% | Yes |
| Over 3.5 goals | 20% | 14% | +6% | Yes |
| Both teams to score | 46% | 44% | +2% | Yes |
| Home win | 37% | 44% | -7% | No |
| Draw | 33% | 29% | +4% | Yes |
| Away win | 30% | 27% | +3% | Yes |
How to read this: "72% · high" means we expect it to happen about 72 times out of 100 — football always keeps the rest. "Worth it above X" is the minimum odds where the pick makes mathematical sense; "Overpriced" means the bookmaker pays less than that. Not betting advice — no outcome is guaranteed.
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