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Rodolfo Arruabarrena
Boca Juniors
Vélez Sarsfield
Boca Juniors
4-3-3 · 4-2-3-1
Vélez Sarsfield
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
378100 EUR · live
Home
4.2 · implied 23.8%
61.9%
+38.1 vs price
Draw
1.43 · implied 69.9%
24.5%
-45.4 vs price
Away
17.5 · implied 5.7%
13.7%
+7.9 vs price
Half time
1340 EUR · live
Home
2.48 · implied 40.3%
44.9%
+4.6 vs price
Draw
2.22 · implied 45.0%
39.0%
-6.1 vs price
Away
8.4 · implied 11.9%
16.1%
+4.1 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
171341 EUR · live
Under
1.46 · implied 68.5%
76.0%
+7.5 vs price
Over
3.25 · implied 30.8%
24.0%
-6.7 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
2525 EUR · live
Under
1.05 · implied 95.2%
95.4%
+0.2 vs price
Over
18.0 · implied 5.6%
4.5%
-1.0 vs price
13 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
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Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
12'
⚽
D. Valdés0–1
36'
L. Blanco · Foul
39'
⚽
S. Ascacíbar1–1
41'
G. Schelotto · Argument
42'
L. Robertone · Foul
44'
A. Costa · Foul
Half-time · 1–1
46'
🔁
M. Pellegrino ◂ A. Costa
46'
🔁
S. Escobar ◂ D. Valdés
54'
E. Gómez · Foul
60'
M. Pellegrini · Foul
63'
🔁
C. Baeza ◂ E. Gómez
63'
🔁
A. Velasco ◂ T. Aranda
63'
🔁
T. Aguirre ◂ D. Godoy
63'
🔁
M. Giménez ◂ M. Merentiel
74'
🔁
S. Villa ◂ L. Flores
82'
🔁
Á. Verón ◂ M. Lanzini
82'
🔁
L. Feler ◂ L. Robertone
88'
J. García · Foul
Full-time · 1–1
Coaches
Rodolfo ArruabarrenaGuillermo Schelotto 
Recent form
Boca JuniorsWHEstudiantes de La Plata1-0
DANewell's Old Boys2-2
LAO'Higgins0-1
LADeportivo Riestra0-3
WHO'Higgins1-0
Vélez SarsfieldWHCA Independiente1-0
WACA Talleres3-1
WHInstituto De Córdoba1-0
LHGimnasia y Esgrima0-1
DHNewell's Old Boys1-1
Where to watch
ESPN PremiumESPN Premium Argentina
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Disney+ESPN 4
TyC Sports Internacional
TyC Sports Internacional
TyC Sports Internacional
Sportdigital FUSSBALLSportdigital+
TyC Sports Internacional
Premier Sports 2 HDPremier Sports Player
TyC Sports Internacional
TyC Sports Internacional
Arena Sport 1 HR
Premier Sports 2 HDPremier Sports Player
SportItalia
Arena Sport Premium 2
Disney+ Premium MexicoTyC Sports Internacional
TyC Sports Internacional
TyC Sports Internacional
TyC Sports Internacional
TyC Sports Internacional
TyC Sports Internacional
Arena Sport Premium 2
SportItalia
TyC Sports Internacional
TyC Sports Internacional
TyC Sports Internacional
TyC Sports Internacional
Match facts
Stadium
Alberto Jose Armando
City
Buenos Aires
Kickoff
08 Aug, 22:15 UTC
Competition
Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Highlights & clips
Boca Juniors
4-3-3 · 4-2-3-1
Vélez Sarsfield
1
Á. Montero
7.1
17
L. Lozano
6.5
2
L. D. Lollo
7.2
26
M. Pellegrino
6.7
↑ 46'
3
L. Blanco
6.8
25
S. Ascacíbar
7.4
5
L. Paredes
9.0
18
M. Delgado
7.3
22
S. Villa
7.1
↑ 74'
20
A. Velasco
6.7
↑ 63'
9
M. Giménez
6.6
↑ 63'
1
T. Marchiori
8.4
4
J. García
6.5
32
T. Silvero
7.9
2
E. Mammana
7.0
5
C. Baeza
6.9
↑ 63'
29
R. Aliendro
6.5
48
L. Feler
6.7
↑ 82'
11
M. Pellegrini
5.8
18
S. Escobar
7.0
↑ 46'
17
Á. Verón
6.5
↑ 82'
39
T. Aguirre
6.5
↑ 63'
Substitutes
12GL. Brey
32DA. Costa↓ 46'6.3
24DD. Gorosito
4DN. Figal
27DM. Braida
10MT. Aranda↓ 63'6.9
15MW. Alarcón
21MK. Zenón
23MC. R. Domenech
16FM. Merentiel↓ 63'7.1
19FL. Flores↓ 74'7.0
11FÁ. Romero
Coach: Rodolfo Arruabarrena
Substitutes
25GF. Villalba
34GÁ. Busso
3DE. Gómez↓ 63'6.6
47DA. Pereyra
19DL. Cristaldo
16DL. Magallán
10MD. Valdés↓ 46'7.1
22MM. Lanzini↓ 82'6.8
8ML. Robertone↓ 82'6.7
15FD. Godoy↓ 63'6.6
37FJ. C. Policella
30FL. Piola
Coach: Guillermo Schelotto
Top stats
59%Possession41%
2.35Expected goals (xG)0.47
30Total shots8
8Shots on target4
5Big chances1
5Corners4
Shots
14Shots off target3
8Blocked shots1
16Shots inside box3
14Shots outside box5
2Hit woodwork0
1Big chances scored0
4Big chances missed1
-0.14Goals prevented1.27
Attack
37Touches in box10
61Final third entries42
3Offsides3
10Free kicks12
2Fouled in final third1
Passing
546Passes403
459Accurate passes303
27/49 (55%)Long balls23/65 (35%)
7/35 (20%)Crosses1/7 (14%)
17Throw-ins14
Duels
53Duels47
38/77 (49%)Ground duels39/77 (51%)
20/32 (63%)Aerial duels12/32 (38%)
9/22 (41%)Dribbles8/19 (42%)
7Dispossessed10
Defending
21Tackles20
71Tackles won85
14Interceptions8
16Clearances32
71Recoveries52
Discipline
12Fouls10
2Yellow cards4
Goalkeeping
2Saves7
0Big saves2
4Goal kicks17
0Punches2
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 40 bookmakers
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 64% · 1.52 @ Unibet
Who winsBoca Juniors to win (DNB) 72% · 1.33 @ 10bet
BTTSBTTS: No 60% · 1.57 @ Pinnacle
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 82% · 1.17 @ Bet365
1X2Boca Juniors to win 51% · 1.65 @ Betsson
1X2Draw 29% · 3.73 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 58% · 1.67 @ Novibet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 69% · 1.40 @ Unibet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 53% · 1.78 @ Pinnacle
1X2Vélez Sarsfield to win 19% · 6.56 @ Pinnacle
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 61% · 1.55 @ 10bet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.61
Boca Juniors ▼
3.54
Draw ▲
6.16
Vélez Sarsfield ▲
Double Chanceconsensus
1.12
Boca Juniors or Draw ▼
1.28
Boca Juniors or Vélez Sarsfield
2.24
Draw or Vélez Sarsfield ▲
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
2.43
Yes ▲
1.51
No ▼
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.11
Over 0.50
6.80
Under 0.50 ▲
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.50
Over 1.50
2.47
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.52
Over 2.50 ▼
1.50
Under 2.50 ▲
Total Goals 3.50consensus
4.98
Over 3.50 ▼
1.17
Under 3.50 ▲
Total Goals 4.50consensus
10.44
Over 4.50 ▼
1.04
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.22
Boca Juniors ▼
3.96
Vélez Sarsfield ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 3.50consensus
15.00
Under 3.50
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.02
Over 4.50
10.75
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.09
Over 5.50
6.21
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.21
Over 6.50
3.85
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.41
Over 7.50
2.66
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.74
Over 8.50
1.96
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
2.21
Over 9.50
1.59
Under 9.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Under 3.5 goals
✓
82% confidence
Boca Juniors to win or draw
✓
81% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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