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Mauricio Pellegrino
CA Lanús
CA Independiente
CA Lanús
4-2-3-1 · 4-1-4-1
CA Independiente
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
269304 EUR · live
Away
1.01 · implied 99.0%
62.2%
-36.8 vs price
Home
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
30.4%
+30.3 vs price
Draw
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
7.9%
+7.8 vs price
Half time
1170 EUR · live
Draw
1.68 · implied 59.5%
67.7%
+8.2 vs price
Away
7.4 · implied 13.5%
24.1%
+10.6 vs price
Home
3.85 · implied 26.0%
8.0%
-17.9 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
139435 EUR · live
Under
3.9 · implied 25.6%
86.7%
+61.0 vs price
Over
1.34 · implied 74.6%
13.3%
-61.3 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
3899 EUR · live
Under
1.02 · implied 98.0%
96.8%
-1.2 vs price
Over
50.0 · implied 2.0%
3.2%
+1.2 vs price
14 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
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Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
37'
⚽
L. Millán · assist S. Montiel0–1
Half-time · 0–1
47'
⚽
L. Millán0–2
50'
⚽
A. Wlk · assist R. Carrera1–2
61'
🔁
M. Meza ◂ L. Millán
61'
🔁
D. Martínez ◂ M. Pérez
64'
🔁
Y. Valois ◂ A. Wlk
64'
🔁
M. Sepúlveda ◂ E. Salvio
69'
R. Carrera · Argument
77'
🔁
M. Gutiérrez ◂ J. Palais
77'
🔁
M. Abaldo ◂ S. Montiel
77'
🔁
L. Besozzi ◂ F. P. Biafore
84'
🔁
N. Morgantini ◂ T. Guidara
85'
🔁
B. Acosta ◂ D. Aquino
87'
G. Ávalos · Time wasting
87'
I. Marcone · Handball
89'
B. Acosta · Foul
Full-time · 1–3
90'+1
🔁
F. Cruz ◂ G. Ávalos
90'+4
⚽
M. Gutiérrez · assist M. Abaldo1–3
90'+5
R. Rey · Time wasting
90'+6
R. Carrera · Argument
Coaches
Mauricio PellegrinoCarlos Matheu 
Recent form
CA LanúsWACA Talleres3-0
LAClub Atlético Unión de Santa Fe1-2
LHInstituto De Córdoba0-1
LACienciano0-4
WHSan Lorenzo1-0
CA IndependienteLHClub Atlético Platense0-1
LAVélez Sarsfield0-1
WHNewell's Old Boys1-0
WAEstudiantes de La Plata2-0
LARosario Central1-3
Where to watch
TyC Sports Internacional
TyC Sports Internacional
TyC Sports Internacional
TyC Sports Internacional
TyC Sports Internacional
Premier Sports Player
TyC Sports Internacional
TyC Sports Internacional
Arena Sport 4 HR
Premier Sports Player
TyC Sports Internacional
TyC Sports Internacional
TyC Sports Internacional
TyC Sports Internacional
TyC Sports Internacional
TyC Sports Internacional
TyC Sports Internacional
TyC Sports Internacional
TyC Sports Internacional
TyC Sports Internacional
Match facts
Stadium
Estadio Ciudad de Lanus
City
Buenos Aires
Kickoff
17 Aug, 20:00 UTC
Competition
Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Highlights & clips
CA Lanús
4-2-3-1 · 4-1-4-1
CA Independiente
26
N. Losada
5.4
3
N. Morgantini
6.3
↑ 84'
24
C. Izquierdoz
7.0
35
R. De Jesus
6.3
6
S. Marcich
6.3
77
L. Besozzi
6.4
↑ 77'
30
A. Cardozo
6.9
16
M. Sepúlveda
6.7
↑ 64'
23
R. Carrera
7.4
38
B. Acosta
6.3
↑ 85'
19
Y. Valois
6.8
↑ 64'
33
R. Rey
8.1
4
S. Arias
6.5
26
Kevin Lomónaco
6.5
35
J. M. Arrayago
6.2
22
F. Zabala
7.2
23
I. Marcone
7.2
28
M. Gutiérrez
7.3
↑ 77'
32
D. Martínez
6.7
↑ 61'
8
M. Meza
6.3
↑ 61'
19
M. Abaldo
6.7
↑ 77'
20
F. Cruz
↑ 90'
Substitutes
1GF. Petroli
33DT. Guidara↓ 84'6.6
40DT. López
4DG. Perez
13DJ. Canale
5MF. P. Biafore↓ 77'7.0
11ME. Salvio↓ 64'6.0
27MF. Sánchez
39MT. Laplace
8MF. Watson
20FA. Wlk↓ 64'7.9
25FD. Aquino↓ 85'6.6
Coach: Mauricio Pellegrino
Top stats
52%Possession48%
1.92Expected goals (xG)1.16
21Total shots14
6Shots on target4
2Big chances2
10Corners5
Shots
12Shots off target6
3Blocked shots4
14Shots inside box10
7Shots outside box4
2Hit woodwork1
1Big chances scored2
1Big chances missed0
-1.2Goals prevented0.83
Attack
34Touches in box20
62Final third entries44
1Offsides1
11Free kicks18
4Fouled in final third3
Passing
398Passes379
310Accurate passes287
31/57 (54%)Long balls17/49 (35%)
6/28 (21%)Crosses4/15 (27%)
15Throw-ins29
Duels
48Duels52
43/94 (46%)Ground duels51/94 (54%)
19/35 (54%)Aerial duels16/35 (46%)
10/17 (59%)Dribbles12/22 (55%)
15Dispossessed13
Defending
23Tackles22
74Tackles won59
11Interceptions9
30Clearances34
51Recoveries46
Discipline
18Fouls11
3Yellow cards3
1Red cards0
Goalkeeping
1Saves5
0Big saves1
7Goal kicks11
1Punches0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 72 bookmakers
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 66% · 1.05 @ 10bet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 84% · 1.02 @ Novibet
BTTSBTTS: No 59% · 1.68 @ betfair
1X2Draw 32% · 2.30 @ hardrock
Who winsLanús to win (DNB) 65% · 1.53 @ merkurxtip
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 69% · 1.36 @ Betsson
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 58% · 1.67 @ Pinnacle
1X2Lanús to win 45% · 2.75 @ betcity
CornersOver 8.5 corners 54% · 1.80 @ Bet365
1X2Independiente to win 24% · 4.50 @ 1xBet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 60% · 1.63 @ betfair
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.02
CA Lanús ▼
3.00
Draw ▲
4.06
CA Independiente ▲
Double Chanceconsensus
1.22
CA Lanús or Draw ▼
1.36
CA Lanús or CA Independiente ▼
1.72
Draw or CA Independiente ▲
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
2.27
Yes ▲
1.57
No ▼
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.13
Over 0.50
5.80
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.55
Over 1.50 ▼
2.35
Under 1.50 ▲
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.69
Over 2.50 ▼
1.42
Under 2.50 ▲
Total Goals 3.50consensus
5.36
Over 3.50 ▼
1.13
Under 3.50 ▲
Total Goals 4.50consensus
11.12
Over 4.50 ▼
1.03
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.42
CA Lanús ▼
2.69
CA Independiente ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 3.50consensus
14.50
Under 3.50
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.03
Over 4.50
10.25
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.08
Over 5.50
6.36
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.21
Over 6.50
3.88
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.40
Over 7.50
2.68
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.72
Over 8.50
2.00
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
2.18
Over 9.50
1.59
Under 9.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Under 3.5 goals
✗
84% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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