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Guillermo Schelotto
Vélez Sarsfield
Defensa y Justicia
Vélez Sarsfield
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Defensa y Justicia
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
222845 EUR · live
Home
5.8 · implied 17.2%
79.8%
+62.5 vs price
Draw
1.42 · implied 70.4%
15.3%
-55.1 vs price
Away
8.0 · implied 12.5%
4.9%
-7.6 vs price
Half time
1312 EUR · live
Home
1.23 · implied 81.3%
69.3%
-12.0 vs price
Away
4.9 · implied 20.4%
21.6%
+1.2 vs price
Draw
2.24 · implied 44.6%
9.0%
-35.7 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
105943 EUR · live
Under
1.46 · implied 68.5%
68.0%
-0.5 vs price
Over
3.2 · implied 31.2%
32.0%
+0.8 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
1027 EUR · live
Under
1.23 · implied 81.3%
87.8%
+6.5 vs price
Over
5.1 · implied 19.6%
12.2%
-7.4 vs price
13 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
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Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
4'
⚽
M. Lanzini · assist M. Pellegrini1–0
25'
A. Portillo · Foul
30'
T. Silvero · Foul
35'
M. Pellegrini · Foul
Half-time · 1–0
47'
S. Sosa · Foul
50'
D. Martínez · Foul
56'
🔁
V. Loza ◂ A. Portillo
56'
🔁
J. Lucco ◂ D. Blanco
61'
🔁
C. Baeza ◂ Á. Verón
61'
🔁
T. Aguirre ◂ D. Godoy
69'
🔁
D. Domínguez ◂ F. Román
79'
⚽
L. Fernández · assist J. M. Gutiérrez1–1
80'
🔁
L. Feler ◂ L. Robertone
83'
J. García · Foul
88'
🔁
T. Pérez ◂ L. Fernández
88'
🔁
M. Porcel ◂ D. Barbona
Full-time · 1–1
90'
M. Lanzini · Foul
90'+4
🔁
J. C. Policella ◂ M. Lanzini
Coaches
Julio Vaccari 
Recent form
DABoca Juniors1-1
WHCA Independiente1-0
WACA Talleres3-1
WHInstituto De Córdoba1-0
LHGimnasia y Esgrima0-1
WHNewell's Old Boys2-1
LAEstudiantes de La Plata0-3
WHDeportivo Riestra2-1
DHAldosivi1-1
LAGimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza1-2
Where to watch
TyC Sports Internacional
TyC Sports Internacional
TyC Sports Internacional
TyC Sports Internacional
TyC Sports Internacional
TyC Sports Internacional
TyC Sports Internacional
TyC Sports Internacional
TyC Sports Internacional
TyC Sports Internacional
TyC Sports Internacional
TyC Sports Internacional
TyC Sports Internacional
TyC Sports Internacional
TyC Sports Internacional
TyC Sports Internacional
TyC Sports Internacional
Match facts
Stadium
Jose Amalfitani
City
Buenos Aires
Kickoff
17 Aug, 22:15 UTC
Competition
Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Highlights & clips
1
T. Marchiori
6.0
4
J. García
6.5
32
T. Silvero
6.9
16
L. Magallán
7.2
3
E. Gómez
6.9
29
R. Aliendro
7.0
48
L. Feler
6.6
↑ 80'
11
M. Pellegrini
5.8
37
J. C. Policella
↑ 90'
5
C. Baeza
6.5
↑ 61'
39
T. Aguirre
6.5
↑ 61'
1
M. Borgogno
7.6
28
V. Loza
6.9
↑ 56'
29
D. Fernández
6.3
21
D. Martínez
6.8
30
D. Domínguez
7.1
↑ 69'
15
S. Sosa
6.7
8
C. Pérez
6.6
26
J. Lucco
6.2
↑ 56'
22
M. Porcel
6.5
↑ 88'
24
J. M. Gutiérrez
7.0
7
T. Pérez
6.4
↑ 88'
Substitutes
42GA. Cortez
47DA. Pereyra
18DS. Escobar
19DL. Cristaldo
2DE. Mammana
22MM. Lanzini↓ 90'8.7
8ML. Robertone↓ 80'7.0
33MT. Villalba
17FÁ. Verón↓ 61'7.1
15FD. Godoy↓ 61'6.4
27FS. Prima
30FL. Piola
Coach: Guillermo Schelotto
Top stats
54%Possession46%
0.85Expected goals (xG)1.29
10Total shots20
3Shots on target6
1Big chances1
6Corners9
Shots
6Shots off target7
1Blocked shots7
4Shots inside box11
6Shots outside box9
0Hit woodwork0
1Big chances missed1
-0.33Goals prevented0.78
Attack
13Touches in box24
89Final third entries40
0Offsides4
19Free kicks15
4Fouled in final third1
Passing
421Passes357
297Accurate passes244
27/78 (35%)Long balls22/64 (34%)
3/16 (19%)Crosses6/19 (32%)
28Throw-ins18
Duels
52Duels48
46/91 (51%)Ground duels45/91 (49%)
18/33 (55%)Aerial duels15/33 (45%)
7/15 (47%)Dribbles12/20 (60%)
11Dispossessed13
Defending
21Tackles19
43Tackles won74
13Interceptions15
21Clearances32
55Recoveries57
Discipline
15Fouls19
4Yellow cards3
Goalkeeping
5Saves2
1Big saves0
8Goal kicks10
1Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 70 bookmakers
Who winsVélez Sarsfield to win (DNB) 71% · 1.45 @ merkurxtip
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 58% · 1.07 @ BET-AT-HOME
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 78% · 1.03 @ Bet365
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 61% · 1.56 @ Pinnacle
BTTSBTTS: No 53% · 1.90 @ betfair
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 71% · 1.33 @ Unibet
1X2Vélez Sarsfield to win 50% · 2.32 @ merkurxtip
1X2Draw 28% · 2.48 @ efbet.net
CornersOver 8.5 corners 51% · 1.88 @ Pinnacle
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 67% · 1.47 @ Betano
1X2Def y Justicia to win 22% · 4.85 @ efbet.net
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.90
Vélez Sarsfield ▲
3.25
Draw ▼
4.18
Defensa y Justicia ▼
Double Chanceconsensus
1.21
Vélez Sarsfield or Draw ▲
1.31
Vélez Sarsfield or Defensa y Justicia ▲
1.83
Draw or Defensa y Justicia ▼
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.98
Yes ▼
1.75
No ▲
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.07
Over 0.50
7.63
Under 0.50 ▼
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.38
Over 1.50 ▼
2.88
Under 1.50 ▲
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.21
Over 2.50 ▼
1.62
Under 2.50 ▲
Total Goals 3.50consensus
4.00
Over 3.50 ▼
1.21
Under 3.50 ▲
Total Goals 4.50consensus
9.05
Over 4.50
1.06
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.30
Vélez Sarsfield ▲
3.25
Defensa y Justicia ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 3.50consensus
13.75
Under 3.50
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.03
Over 4.50
9.20
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.10
Over 5.50
5.59
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.25
Over 6.50
3.53
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.48
Over 7.50
2.46
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.83
Over 8.50
1.86
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
2.37
Over 9.50
1.51
Under 9.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
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