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Rodolfo Arruabarrena
Boca Juniors
CA Lanús
Boca Juniors
4-3-3 · 4-2-3-1
CA Lanús
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
222792 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
53.6%
-45.4 vs price
Draw
120.0 · implied 0.8%
30.4%
+29.5 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
16.0%
+15.9 vs price
Half time
269 EUR
Draw
2.14 · implied 46.7%
69.5%
+22.8 vs price
Home
2.66 · implied 37.6%
16.4%
-21.2 vs price
Away
5.8 · implied 17.2%
13.4%
-3.9 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
51687 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
86.6%
-12.4 vs price
Over
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
13.4%
+13.3 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
203 EUR
Under
1.08 · implied 92.6%
94.6%
+2.0 vs price
Over
13.0 · implied 7.7%
4.9%
-2.8 vs price
13 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
13'
L. Flores · Foul
44'
C. Izquierdoz · Foul
Half-time · 0–0
46'
🔁
A. Wlk ◂ Y. Valois
60'
🔁
S. Villa ◂ A. Velasco
61'
🔁
L. Paredes ◂ C. R. Domenech
61'
🔁
E. Valencia ◂ M. Merentiel
69'
🔁
M. Sepúlveda ◂ D. Aquino
69'
🔁
L. Besozzi ◂ E. Salvio
76'
M. Delgado · Foul
79'
🔁
K. Zenón ◂ L. Flores
79'
🔁
T. Belmonte ◂ M. Delgado
80'
🔁
B. Acosta ◂ F. Watson
Full-time · 1–0
90'
🔁
A. Medina ◂ F. P. Biafore
90'+3
⚽
T. Belmonte · assist S. Ascacíbar1–0
Coaches
Mauricio Pellegrino 
Recent form
DARacing Club1-1
WARecoleta FC4-0
DAClub Atlético Platense1-1
WHRecoleta FC3-1
DHVélez Sarsfield1-1
DHArgentinos Juniors1-1
LHCA Independiente1-3
WACA Talleres3-0
LAClub Atlético Unión de Santa Fe1-2
LHInstituto De Córdoba0-1
Where to watch
TNT Sports ArgentinaViX
Arena Sport Premium 2
TyC Sports InternacionalViX
BetanoDisney+ESPN 4
ESPN5 ChileTyC Sports InternacionalViX
ESPN ColombiaTyC Sports InternacionalViX
ESPN 5TyC Sports InternacionalViX
TyC Sports Internacional
Premier Sports 1 HD
TyC Sports Internacional
TyC Sports Internacional
Arena Sport 1 HR
Premier Sports 1 HD
SportItalia
TyC Sports InternacionalViX
TyC Sports Internacional
TyC Sports Internacional
TyC Sports Internacional
TyC Sports Internacional
Sport TV1
TyC Sports Internacional
SportItalia
TyC Sports Internacional
FanatizTyC Sports InternacionalViXfuboTV
TyC Sports Internacional
TyC Sports Internacional
Match facts
Stadium
Alberto Jose Armando
City
Buenos Aires
Kickoff
29 Aug, 00:30 UTC
Competition
Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Highlights & clips
1
Á. Montero
7.4
24
D. Gorosito
6.4
2
L. D. Lollo
7.5
42
F. Herrera
7.3
3
L. Blanco
7.5
25
S. Ascacíbar
6.8
5
L. Paredes
7.1
↑ 61'
21
K. Zenón
6.6
↑ 79'
8
T. Belmonte
7.5
↑ 79'
13
E. Valencia
6.6
↑ 61'
22
S. Villa
6.6
↑ 60'
26
N. Losada
6.5
33
T. Guidara
7.3
24
C. Izquierdoz
6.8
13
J. Canale
7.1
6
S. Marcich
6.7
17
A. Medina
↑ 90'
30
A. Cardozo
6.7
16
M. Sepúlveda
6.6
↑ 69'
38
B. Acosta
6.5
↑ 80'
77
L. Besozzi
6.6
↑ 69'
20
A. Wlk
6.4
↑ 46'
Substitutes
12GL. Brey
4DN. Figal
46DM. Satas
23MC. R. Domenech↓ 61'7.0
18MM. Delgado↓ 79'6.9
20MA. Velasco↓ 60'6.1
15MW. Alarcón
7MC. Palacios
16FM. Merentiel↓ 61'6.8
19FL. Flores↓ 79'6.2
9FM. Giménez
11FÁ. Romero
Coach: Rodolfo Arruabarrena
Substitutes
1GF. Petroli
40DT. López
4DG. Perez
3DN. Morgantini
35DR. De Jesus
5MF. P. Biafore↓ 90'7.0
11ME. Salvio↓ 69'6.9
8MF. Watson↓ 80'6.7
27MF. Sánchez
25FD. Aquino↓ 69'7.4
19FY. Valois↓ 46'6.3
42FG. Lobos
Coach: Mauricio Pellegrino
Top stats
58%Possession42%
1.16Expected goals (xG)0.91
19Total shots10
4Shots on target2
1Big chances3
11Corners3
Shots
7Shots off target5
8Blocked shots3
9Shots inside box7
10Shots outside box3
0Hit woodwork2
1Big chances scored0
0Big chances missed3
0.38Goals prevented-0.42
Attack
17Touches in box26
67Final third entries47
15Free kicks8
1Fouled in final third1
Passing
538Passes387
451Accurate passes301
26/56 (46%)Long balls23/56 (41%)
8/26 (31%)Crosses3/13 (23%)
25Throw-ins24
Duels
44Duels56
39/88 (44%)Ground duels49/88 (56%)
13/30 (43%)Aerial duels17/30 (57%)
6/21 (29%)Dribbles14/26 (54%)
14Dispossessed8
Defending
20Tackles29
60Tackles won69
13Interceptions13
15Clearances28
63Recoveries67
Discipline
8Fouls15
2Yellow cards1
Goalkeeping
2Saves3
0Big saves1
9Goal kicks8
0Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 15 bookmakers
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 64% · 1.48 @ Bet365
Who winsBoca Juniors to win (DNB) 76% · 1.32 @ Betano
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 82% · 1.17 @ Bet365
BTTSBTTS: No 56% · 1.68 @ Novibet
1X2Boca Juniors to win 52% · 2.50 @ Bet365
1X2Draw 30% · 1.95 @ Bet365
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 69%
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 57%
CornersOver 8.5 corners 55% · 1.83 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 63% · 1.50 @ Bet365
1X2Lanús to win 18% · 5.50 @ Bet365
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.76
Boca Juniors
3.10
Draw
5.00
CA Lanús
Double Chanceconsensus
1.17
Boca Juniors or Draw
1.36
Boca Juniors or CA Lanús
1.95
Draw or CA Lanús
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
2.12
Yes
1.65
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.10
Over 0.50
7.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.50
Over 1.50
2.50
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.60
Over 2.50
1.48
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
5.00
Over 3.50
1.17
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
13.00
Over 4.50
1.04
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.29
Boca Juniors
3.35
CA Lanús
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.83
Over 8.50
1.83
Under 8.50
1X2 (1st Half)consensus
2.50
Boca Juniors
1.95
Draw
5.50
CA Lanús
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Under 3.5 goals
✓
82% confidence
Boca Juniors to win or draw
✓
82% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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