Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**Lanús badly needs to stop the bleeding, but they're drawing the form team of the week.** 3️⃣ Defensa y Justicia rolls in red-hot while the hosts are spiraling at home.
Lanús have won just one in five with heavy losses to Independiente and Boca, and **they're banged up** — three key players sidelined. Meanwhile, **Defensa y Justicia are clicking**, posting three wins and a draw from their last four. The head-to-head favors the visitors slightly over their shared history.
Key storylines:
- **Lanús need an immediate response** in front of their home crowd after back-to-back defeats by a combined 4-1
- **Defensa y Justicia's midfield** (Sosa, Pérez, L. Fernández) has been the engine of their recent run
- Injuries pile up for **Lanús** (Cardozo, Romero, Moreno out), forcing depth into action
Expected lineups:
- **CA Lanús**: N. Losada, S. Marcich, C. Izquierdoz, R. De Jesus, T. Guidara, F. P. Biafore, J. Canale, D. Aquino, F. Watson, E. Salvio, A. Wlk
- **Defensa y Justicia**: M. Borgogno, F. Román, D. Fernández, D. Martínez, L. Souto, S. Sosa, C. Pérez, L. Fernández, D. Barbona, A. Portillo, J. M. Gutiérrez
Prediction:
**1-2 Defensa y Justicia.** The visitors have the edge in form and depth; Lanús's injuries are too much to overcome at home.
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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