Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
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Leonardo Ponzio
River Plate
Independiente Rivadavia**River Plate's bringing the heat at the Monumental, but Rivadavia aren't rolling over** — the visitors just upset Racing, and they know how to spoil a party. 🔥
River's been all over the shop lately: two wins mixed with three draws, including a wild 3-2 away at Banfield. Rivadavia's scrappier, tighter at the back, though they've given up more than they've scored. This one's got "cagey first half" written all over it.
Key storylines:
- **River's midfield depth** with T. Almada pulling strings against a compact Rivadavia three-man setup
- **Á. Correa's finishing** under pressure — River create chances but haven't been clinical
- **Rivadavia's defensive shape** has held firm on the road; A. Riep and A. Arce up front need one moment
Expected lineups:
- **River Plate**: S. Beltrán, M. Acuña, L. Martinez Quarta, N. Otamendi, G. Montiel, T. Andrada, F. Vera, T. Almada, T. Galván, J. Freitas, Á. Correa
- **Independiente Rivadavia**: N. Bolcato, J. M. Elordi, I. Villalba, L. Costa, A. Osella, T. Bottari, M. Fernández, J. Florentín, A. Riep, A. Arce, F. Sartori
Prediction:
**River 2–0 Independiente Rivadavia**. Home advantage and superior squad depth edge it, but expect a grindy afternoon.
River Plate
4-1-3-2 · 4-3-1-2
Independiente Rivadavia
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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