Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
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**Rosario Central hosts their fiercest local rivals in a heavyweight Clasico Rosarino clash.** This is the kind of derby where history tilts hard one direction — and it's definitely not Newell's.
Central are wobbling at home (1W, 2D, 2L in five) after a shock loss to Corinthians, while Newell's are riding some momentum with back-to-back wins. But Newell's are absolutely **battered on the injury front** — missing four key bodies including A. Montero — whereas Central have only two absences to manage.
Key storylines:
- **Á. Di María** and **E. Copetti** firing up top for Central; Newell's midfield stretched thin defensively
- **J. Russo** and **L. Giannetti** holding the line for Newell's with zero margin for error in a hostile stadium
- Central's home record isn't great, but the derby history (12 wins in 23 H2H meetings) screams favorites
Expected lineups:
- **Rosario Central**: C. Ledesma, A. Sández, G. Ávila, I. Ovando, E. Coronel, F. Ibarra, V. Pizarro, J. Campaz, G. Cantizano, Á. Di María, E. Copetti
- **Newell's Old Boys**: J. Reinatti, J. Russo, L. Giannetti, B. Cabrera, M. Ortega, L. Regiardo, F. Gauch, J. I. Ramírez, J. G. Mattar, W. Mazzantti, M. Cóccaro
Prediction:
**Central 2–0 Newell's.** Home advantage and injury woes give Central a slight edge. 🔴⚪
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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