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Guillermo Schelotto
Vélez Sarsfield
Estudiantes de La Plata
Vélez Sarsfield
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Estudiantes de La Plata
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
50447 EUR · live
Home
1.02 · implied 98.0%
68.3%
-29.8 vs price
Draw
20.0 · implied 5.0%
16.8%
+11.8 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
15.0%
+14.9 vs price
Half time
806 EUR · live
Draw
1.87 · implied 53.5%
85.3%
+31.8 vs price
Home
3.7 · implied 27.0%
10.2%
-16.8 vs price
Away
4.9 · implied 20.4%
4.5%
-15.9 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
52972 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
81.3%
-17.7 vs price
Over
3.6 · implied 27.8%
18.7%
-9.1 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
8559 EUR · live
Under
1.03 · implied 97.1%
95.8%
-1.3 vs price
Over
30.0 · implied 3.3%
4.2%
+0.9 vs price
12 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
25'
T. Silvero · Foul
33'
A. Castro · Argument
34'
VAR
Penalty not given after review · S. Escobar
40'
⚽
R. Martinez · assist T. Silvero1–0
Half-time · 1–0
45'+1
T. Palacios · Foul
46'
🔁
J. Correa ◂ B. Aguirre
46'
🔁
E. Piovi ◂ G. Neves
47'
E. Cetré · Foul
56'
E. Piovi · Foul
65'
🔁
M. Lanzini ◂ J. C. Policella
65'
🔁
J. Tobio Burgos ◂ E. Cetré
65'
🔁
G. Carrillo ◂ A. Gaich
72'
🔁
L. Feler ◂ L. Robertone
73'
M. Pellegrini · Foul
73'
🔁
T. Aguirre ◂ R. Martinez
77'
🔁
S. Núñez ◂ L. G. Pírez
Full-time · 1–0
90'
🔁
M. Arias ◂ M. Pellegrini
90'+5
J. Correa · Argument
Coaches
Alexander Medina 
Recent form
DADeportivo Riestra1-1
DARiver Plate2-2
DHDefensa y Justicia1-1
DABoca Juniors1-1
WHCA Independiente1-0
DHNewell's Old Boys0-0
LASarmiento0-2
WAUniversidad Católica3-0
WHGimnasia y Esgrima4-0
DHUniversidad Católica1-1
Where to watch
ESPN Premium Argentina
Disney+ Premium ChileTyC Sports Internacional
BetanoESPN
Disney+ Premium ChileTyC Sports Internacional
TyC Sports Internacional
TyC Sports Internacional
TyC Sports Internacional
Disney+ Premium Chile
TyC Sports Internacional
Match facts
Stadium
Jose Amalfitani
City
Buenos Aires
Kickoff
06 Sep, 00:15 UTC
Competition
Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Highlights & clips
1
T. Marchiori
7.0
4
J. García
6.8
32
T. Silvero
7.4
2
E. Mammana
7.0
3
E. Gómez
7.8
29
R. Aliendro
6.6
48
L. Feler
6.7
↑ 72'
35
M. Arias
↑ 90'
22
M. Lanzini
6.7
↑ 65'
18
S. Escobar
6.2
39
T. Aguirre
6.2
↑ 73'
16
F. Muslera
6.5
20
E. Meza
6.9
4
S. Núñez
6.9
↑ 77'
24
T. Palacios
7.3
13
G. Benedetti
6.4
21
E. Piovi
6.4
↑ 46'
22
A. Castro
6.5
17
J. Tobio Burgos
6.8
↑ 65'
31
B. Rodriguez
6.9
32
J. Correa
6.8
↑ 46'
9
G. Carrillo
6.7
↑ 65'
Substitutes
23GF. Sanguinetti
47DA. Pereyra
19DL. Cristaldo
16DL. Magallán
8ML. Robertone↓ 72'7.4
11MM. Pellegrini↓ 90'7.3
5MC. Baeza
77FR. Martinez↓ 73'7.4
37FJ. C. Policella↓ 65'6.5
17FÁ. Verón
15FD. Godoy
30FL. Piola
Coach: Guillermo Schelotto
Substitutes
1GF. Iacovich
14DL. G. Pírez↓ 77'6.6
40DE. Mancuso
8MG. Neves↓ 46'6.3
28MB. Aguirre↓ 46'6.3
7MJ. Sosa
39MJ. Elias
34MM. Monsalve
29MF. Pérez
19FA. Gaich↓ 65'6.7
18FE. Cetré↓ 65'6.4
27FL. Alario
Coach: Alexander Medina
Top stats
45%Possession55%
1.51Expected goals (xG)0.39
11Total shots6
3Shots on target2
3Big chances0
5Corners1
Shots
5Shots off target2
3Blocked shots2
9Shots inside box5
2Shots outside box1
2Hit woodwork0
1Big chances scored0
2Big chances missed0
0.07Goals prevented0.16
Attack
29Touches in box11
76Final third entries66
1Offsides4
19Free kicks16
4Fouled in final third0
Passing
374Passes466
249Accurate passes346
23/62 (37%)Long balls34/78 (44%)
9/20 (45%)Crosses3/10 (30%)
25Throw-ins22
Duels
47Duels53
41/84 (49%)Ground duels43/84 (51%)
19/45 (42%)Aerial duels26/45 (58%)
10/17 (59%)Dribbles10/18 (56%)
11Dispossessed5
Defending
13Tackles18
85Tackles won83
14Interceptions14
25Clearances25
64Recoveries68
Discipline
16Fouls19
2Yellow cards5
Goalkeeping
2Saves2
1Big saves1
5Goal kicks3
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 15 bookmakers
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 65% · 1.44 @ Bet365
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 84% · 1.14 @ Bet365
BTTSBTTS: No 58% · 1.67 @ Unibet
1X2Draw 33% · 1.91 @ Bet365
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 67%
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 56%
CornersOver 8.5 corners 56% · 1.80 @ Bet365
Who winsVélez Sarsfield to win (DNB) 56% · 1.62 @ Betsson
1X2Estudiantes to win 27% · 4.00 @ Bet365
1X2Vélez Sarsfield to win 40% · 3.20 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 62% · 1.50 @ Bet365
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.32
Vélez Sarsfield
2.85
Draw
3.50
Estudiantes de La Plata
Double Chanceconsensus
1.29
Vélez Sarsfield or Draw
1.40
Vélez Sarsfield or Estudiantes de La Plata
1.53
Draw or Estudiantes de La Plata
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
2.28
Yes
1.56
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.12
Over 0.50
6.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.50
Over 1.50
2.50
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.70
Over 2.50
1.44
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
5.50
Over 3.50
1.14
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
13.00
Over 4.50
1.04
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.57
Vélez Sarsfield
2.30
Estudiantes de La Plata
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.80
Over 8.50
1.91
Under 8.50
Total Cards 4.50consensus
1.83
Over 4.50
1.83
Under 4.50
1X2 (1st Half)consensus
3.20
Vélez Sarsfield
1.91
Draw
4.00
Estudiantes de La Plata
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Under 3.5 goals
✓
84% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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