Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
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**Talleres are desperate for a W, and Unión smell blood.** 🔴 The hosts haven't won in five matches while their visitors have bagged three wins in their last five — a stark form contrast that could decide this one.
Talleres are leaking goals and grinding out draws; Unión are clinical in attack, especially at home where they've torched defenses (3-2, 4-1, 3-1 in their last three). The head-to-head leans slightly Unión's way too (3-2-4 over nine meetings).
Key storylines:
- **Talleres' injury crisis** has depleted them badly — Valoyes, Fattori, Cáceres, and Gómez all out, leaving less creative depth on the wings and in midfield.
- **Unión's attacking firepower** in recent weeks has been relentless; M. Estigarribia and J. Palacios will be key if Talleres can't shore up the flanks.
- **Home advantage + momentum** favors the visitors, despite Kempes being a tough stadium — Unión's three consecutive wins suggest they're hitting form at exactly the right time.
Expected lineups:
- **CA Talleres**: E. Unsaín, G. Báez, V. Fascendini, A. Schott, R. Riquelme, M. Catalán, Rick, F. Cristaldo, V. Depietri, A. Álvarez
- **Club Atlético Unión de Santa Fe**: M. Mansilla, J. Luduena, M. Rodriguez, L. Ayala, J. Pintado, L. Menossi, E. Giaccone, B. Cuello, J. Palacios, M. Estigarribia
Prediction:
**Unión 2-1 Talleres.** Unión have the form and edge in attack; Talleres can't quite plug the gaps.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
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