Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**Two sides limping into a midweek clash** — Lanús and Estudiantes both sitting on mixed form, but neither can afford to drop points in the hunt. This is a **coin flip waiting to happen**. 🎲
Lanús just hammered Riestra 3-0 away but then lost to Boca, showing that classic inconsistency. Estudiantes are the steadier outfit with two wins and two draws in their last five, though they're nursing a decimated squad with four key players out injured.
Key storylines:
- **Lanús's attacking threat** hinges on E. Salvio finding space against an Estudiantes defense that's had to shuffle badly due to injuries — especially T. Palacios unavailable
- **F. Muslera** at the back for Estudiantes will need to stay sharp; Lanús showed they can score in bunches (3-0 away) but also go missing defensively
- **Home advantage at Estadio Ciudad de Lanus** matters in the Argentine league, and Lanús have recent form to lean on with back-to-back wins before the Boca loss
Expected lineups:
- **CA Lanús**: N. Losada, C. Izquierdoz, J. Canale, T. Guidara, A. Cardozo, F. P. Biafore, L. Besozzi, F. Watson, E. Salvio, A. Wlk
- **Estudiantes de La Plata**: F. Muslera, G. Benedetti, S. Núñez, E. Mancuso, A. Castro, E. Piovi, J. Tobio Burgos, J. Sosa, E. Cetré, G. Carrillo
Prediction:
**1-1 draw** — Both teams are just talented enough to avoid a loss but neither polished enough to break through cleanly.
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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