**Central Córdoba's in freefall, but they've got a sneaky home record against this lot.** Defensa y Justicia rolled in red-hot — three wins in five — and they'll be favorites to extend the pain. 🔴
Central Córdoba have won four of the last eight H2H clashes, though they're winless in five and bleeding goals. Defensa y Justicia are cruising but just dropped points to Lanús, so there's a chink there if the hosts can press early.
Key storylines:
- **Central Córdoba's home fortress** might be their only edge here — they've historically had Defensa y Justicia's number at Estadio Alfredo Terrera, but form says they're vulnerable
- **Defensa y Justicia's momentum play** — three wins in five with **C. Pérez** and **S. Sosa** controlling midfield tempo, though **A. Molinas** is out with a knee issue
- **M. Santos** and **H. Tijanovich** need to spark something up front for the hosts, or this gets ugly fast
Expected lineups:
- **Central Córdoba**: A. Aguerre, D. Barrera, A. Maciel, F. Mansilla, M. Vera, L. González, H. Tijanovich, M. Iacobellis, S. Moyano, M. Santos
- **Defensa y Justicia**: M. Borgogno, F. Román, D. Fernández, D. Martínez, C. Pérez, S. Sosa, L. Fernández, D. Barbona, A. Hausch, J. M. Gutiérrez
Prediction:
**Defensa y Justicia 2–0 Central Córdoba** — the visitors' form is too hot to ignore, and missing Molinas won't derail them here. 📍
Everything we are at least 80% sure of for this match. We publish nothing below that — across all fixtures, 86.7% of these turn out right.
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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