Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
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Average positions
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Guillermo Schelotto
Vélez Sarsfield
Tigre**Vélez come in hot with four straight draws, and Tigre are limping in on a three-game losing streak** — this feels like a mismatch waiting to happen. 🔵
Vélez have been rock-solid lately, picking up a win plus three draws to steadily climb. Tigre, meanwhile, are winless in their last four and missing two key defenders with knee injuries. The hosts should feel confident here.
Key storylines:
- **Vélez's defensive stability** has been the foundation of their recent run, with E. Gómez and T. Silvero anchoring a solid backline
- **Tigre's attacking depth** will be tested without their injured wings; J. Saralegui and I. Russo need to carry the load
- **M. Lanzini's creativity** in midfield could be the difference-maker for Vélez's fluid setup
Expected lineups:
- **Vélez Sarsfield**: T. Marchiori, E. Gómez, T. Silvero, L. Magallán, R. Aliendro, L. Robertone, Á. Verón, M. Lanzini, M. Pellegrini, D. Godoy
- **Tigre**: F. Zenobio, N. Banegas, A. Barrionuevo, J. Laso, S. López, V. Moreno, S. González, J. Saralegui, I. Russo, M. Méndez
Prediction:
**Vélez Sarsfield 2–0 Tigre**
Vélez's form and home advantage give them a clear edge; Tigre's injury crisis makes this a tough night away. 🎯
Vélez Sarsfield
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Tigre
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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