Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**Defensa y Justicia's on a roll, but San Lorenzo's injury crisis just hit another level** — this could get messy for the visitors. 🔴
Defensa's won 3 of their last 5 and are cooking at home, while San Lorenzo have limped to 1W in their last 5 and now roll in without D. Herrera, I. Perruzzi, M. Insaurralde, and N. Barrios. That's a gutted lineup.
Key storylines:
- **Defensa y Justicia's attacking spark**: S. Lucero and L. Fernández running the midfield tempo against a San Lorenzo side stretched thin
- **San Lorenzo's backline under siege**: E. Amor and D. Arboleda will be overworked without key defenders D. Herrera and N. Barrios out
- **Home dominance matters**: Defensa's 2-0 win vs Gimnasia shows they can control this stage; San Lorenzo are winless in their last two away
Expected lineups:
- **Defensa y Justicia**: M. Borgogno, F. Román, D. Fernández, D. Martínez, L. Souto, S. Sosa, S. Lucero, L. Fernández, D. Barbona, A. Hausch, J. M. Gutiérrez
- **San Lorenzo**: J. Devecchi, M. D. Ritis, E. Amor, D. Arboleda, E. Herrera, T. R. Pagano, N. Tripichio, J. Rattalino, M. Reali, A. Cuello, R. Auzmendi
Prediction:
**Defensa y Justicia 2–0 San Lorenzo** — hosts lean on their form and San Lorenzo's walking wounded. 💼
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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