Aldosivi 1-3 Sarmiento: Stats, xG & Lineups – Oct 9, 2026

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Aldosivi 1-3 Sarmiento.

90+4'

G. González

Attempt missed. G. González (Sarmiento), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.23.

90+3'

Aldosivi

Corner, Aldosivi.

90+3'

N. Zalazar

Attempt missed. N. Zalazar (Aldosivi), header from a corner. xG 0.03.

90'

4 minutes of added time.

89'

J. Herrera

Goal! Aldosivi 1-3 Sarmiento. J. Herrera (Sarmiento) scores, assisted by T. Ayala.

89'

N. Zalazar

Attempt missed. N. Zalazar (Aldosivi), header from a corner. xG 0.08.

88'

Aldosivi

Corner, Aldosivi.

86'

J. Mavilla

Goal! Aldosivi 1-2 Sarmiento. J. Mavilla (Sarmiento) scores, assisted by J. Herrera.

84'

J. Herrera

Attempt missed. J. Herrera (Sarmiento), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

84'

P. Magnin

Attempt missed. P. Magnin (Sarmiento), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.18.

83'

M. Garcia

Yellow card for M. Garcia (Aldosivi) for argument.

81'

T. Fernández

Yellow card for T. Fernández (Aldosivi) for foul.

79'

N. Gaitán

Substitution, Aldosivi: B. Dadín comes on for N. Gaitán.

78'

A. Chávez

Attempt blocked. A. Chávez (Aldosivi), left-footed shot. xG 0.09.

78'

J. Marabel

Substitution, Sarmiento: P. Magnin comes on for J. Marabel.

77'

M. Martínez

Substitution, Sarmiento: J. Herrera comes on for M. Martínez.

76'

M. Garcia

Attempt saved. M. Garcia (Aldosivi), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

75'

G. González

Attempt blocked. G. González (Sarmiento), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

73'

M. Garcia

Attempt missed. M. Garcia (Sarmiento), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.01.

72'

Sarmiento

Corner, Sarmiento.

67'

N. Zalazar

Attempt missed. N. Zalazar (Aldosivi), header from a set piece. xG 0.09.

65'

N. Cordero

Substitution, Aldosivi: A. Chávez comes on for N. Cordero.

62'

J. Marabel

Attempt missed. J. Marabel (Sarmiento), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.06.

62'

J. Rentería

Substitution, Sarmiento: G. González comes on for J. Rentería.

61'

Aldosivi

Corner, Aldosivi.

58'

U. Giménez

Substitution, Sarmiento: S. Salle comes on for U. Giménez.

58'

E. Giménez

Substitution, Sarmiento: M. Garcia comes on for E. Giménez.

57'

T. Fernández

Attempt missed. T. Fernández (Aldosivi), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.06.

56'

M. Martínez

Attempt missed. M. Martínez (Sarmiento), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

53'

N. Cordero

Attempt saved. N. Cordero (Aldosivi), header from a throw-in. xG 0.05.

51'

U. Giménez

Yellow card for U. Giménez (Sarmiento) for foul.

47'

B. Cufré

Off the woodwork! B. Cufré (Aldosivi), left-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.03.

47'

Aldosivi

Corner, Aldosivi.

46'

N. Linares

Substitution, Aldosivi: T. Fernández comes on for N. Linares.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Aldosivi 1-1 Sarmiento.

45+1'

L. Castro

Yellow card for L. Castro (Aldosivi) for foul.

45'

2 minutes of added time.

45'

J. Mavilla

Attempt missed. J. Mavilla (Sarmiento), left-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.03.

42'

C. Zabala

Attempt missed. C. Zabala (Sarmiento), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

42'

B. Palavecino

Attempt saved. B. Palavecino (Aldosivi), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.01.

38'

L. Suárez

Yellow card for L. Suárez (Sarmiento) for foul.

33'

M. Martínez

Yellow card for M. Martínez (Sarmiento) for foul.

32'

R. González

Substitution, Aldosivi: S. Moya comes on for R. González.

30'

U. Giménez

Attempt missed. U. Giménez (Sarmiento), header from a set piece. xG 0.12.

29'

N. Zalazar

Yellow card for N. Zalazar (Aldosivi) for foul.

29'

L. Sigali

Yellow card for L. Sigali (Aldosivi) for argument.

27'

J. E. Sanguinetti

Yellow card for J. E. Sanguinetti (Aldosivi) for argument.

23'

M. Garcia

Attempt blocked. M. Garcia (Aldosivi), left-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.03.

20'

L. Castro

Goal! Aldosivi 1-1 Sarmiento. L. Castro (Aldosivi) scores, assisted by M. Garcia.

19'

Aldosivi

Corner, Aldosivi.

18'

J. Marabel

Goal! Aldosivi 0-1 Sarmiento. J. Marabel (Sarmiento) scores, assisted by J. Rentería.

13'

M. Garcia

Attempt blocked. M. Garcia (Aldosivi), left-footed shot. xG 0.05.

13'

M. Martínez

Attempt missed. M. Martínez (Sarmiento), right-footed shot. xG 0.05.

10'

Aldosivi

Corner, Aldosivi.

9'

N. Linares

Attempt missed. N. Linares (Aldosivi), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

6'

M. Garcia

Attempt blocked. M. Garcia (Aldosivi), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.02.

6'

Aldosivi

Corner, Aldosivi.

1'

Kick-off: Aldosivi vs Sarmiento.

Where the money is

115915 EUR matched · captured 3 weeks, 1 day ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 35614 EUR · live

Draw 100.0 · implied 1.0%

56.9%

+55.9 vs price

Away 1.01 · implied 99.0%

29.5%

-69.6 vs price

Home 170.0 · implied 0.6%

14.1%

+13.5 vs price

Half time 610 EUR · live

Draw 1.3 · implied 76.9%

74.9%

-2.0 vs price

Away 6.0 · implied 16.7%

23.9%

+7.3 vs price

Home 5.0 · implied 20.0%

0.8%

-19.2 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 39188 EUR · live

Under 1.32 · implied 75.8%

79.3%

+3.6 vs price

Over 4.2 · implied 23.8%

20.7%

-3.1 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 92 EUR

Under 1.06 · implied 94.3%

73.9%

-20.5 vs price

Over 14.5 · implied 6.9%

25.0%

+18.1 vs price

11 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 1 clip

Player of the match

Match events

18' ⚽ J. Marabel · assist J. Rentería0–1

20' ⚽ L. Castro · assist M. Garcia1–1

27' J. E. Sanguinetti · Argument

29' L. Sigali · Argument

29' N. Zalazar · Foul

32' 🔁 S. Moya ◂ R. González

33' M. Martínez · Foul

38' L. Suárez · Foul

Half-time · 1–1

45'⁺¹ L. Castro · Foul

46' 🔁 T. Fernández ◂ N. Linares

51' U. Giménez · Foul

58' 🔁 M. Garcia ◂ E. Giménez

58' 🔁 S. Salle ◂ U. Giménez

62' 🔁 G. González ◂ J. Rentería

65' 🔁 A. Chávez ◂ N. Cordero

77' 🔁 J. Herrera ◂ M. Martínez

78' 🔁 P. Magnin ◂ J. Marabel

79' 🔁 B. Dadín ◂ N. Gaitán

81' T. Fernández · Foul

83' M. Garcia · Argument

86' ⚽ J. Mavilla · assist J. Herrera1–2

89' ⚽ J. Herrera · assist T. Ayala1–3

Full-time · 1–3

Coaches

Javier Esteban Sanguinetti

Facundo Sava

Recent form

Aldosivi

LAHuracán0-1

WHAtlético Tucumán1-0

LAIndependiente Rivadavia3-4

WHBanfield3-1

LAArgentinos Juniors1-2

Sarmiento

LARacing Club1-3

DHClub Atlético Belgrano1-1

WAEstudiantes de Río Cuarto2-0

LAClub Atlético Unión de Santa Fe1-4

WHEstudiantes de La Plata2-0

About this match

**Sarmiento head to the coast as slight favorites — they've had Aldosivi's number in recent years, winning four of the last seven meetings.** 🏴

Aldosivi are wobbling after losing to Huracán last time out, though they did bag three goals in a wild trip to Rivadavia. Sarmiento steadied the ship with a clean sheet over Estudiantes but got hammered 3-1 by Racing, so neither side is in stellar form right now.

Key storylines:

- **Sarmiento's defensive record** over Aldosivi gives them the historical edge, and they'll fancy their chances without needing to overextend themselves
- **Aldosivi's home advantage** at Jose Maria Minella has to count for something, even if injuries to **A. Sosa** and **J. Pombo** are biting
- **T. Fernández** and the Aldosivi attack need to convert chaos into chances — they've shown they can score, just not consistently

Expected lineups:

- **Aldosivi**: L. Acosta, M. Vales, L. Sigali, B. Cufré, E. López, L. Castro, N. Gaitán, A. Vombergar, M. Garcia, T. Fernández, F. Anso
- **Sarmiento**: T. Ayala, N. Pasquini, J. M. Insaurralde, R. Orihuela, S. Salle, J. Mavilla, C. Zabala, M. Martínez, J. Contrera, J. Marabel, J. Herrera

Prediction:

**1-1 draw** — both teams are fragile enough that a stalemate feels right, and Sarmiento's away-day struggles (1-3 vs Racing) suggest caution. 🤝

Where to watch

TyC Sports Internacional

Match facts

Stadium

Estadio Jose Maria Minella

City

Mar del Plata

Referee

Luis Lobo Medina

5.32 yellows/match · 50 matches

Kickoff

09 Oct, 17:30 UTC

Competition

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Highlights & clips

Aldosivi 4-4-1-1 · 4-3-3 Sarmiento

23 I. Chicco 5.5 28 S. Moya 6.5 ↑ 32' 2 L. Sigali 6.2 33 N. Zalazar 6.2 13 B. Cufré 5.9 16 B. Dadín 6.4 ↑ 79' 27 T. Fernández 6.2 ↑ 46' 19 L. Castro 7.9 11 B. Palavecino 7.4 8 M. Garcia 6.9 18 A. Chávez 6.4 ↑ 65' 12 T. Ayala 7.1 8 S. Salle 6.7 ↑ 58' 44 R. Orihuela 7.2 2 J. M. Insaurralde 6.5 3 L. Suárez 6.9 5 M. Garcia 6.9 ↑ 58' 15 C. Zabala 7.4 24 J. Herrera 8.2 ↑ 77' 11 G. González 6.3 ↑ 62' 7 P. Magnin 6.3 ↑ 78' 21 J. Mavilla 8.8

Substitutes

41GK. Báez 4DR. González↓ 32'6.3 17DF. Laurelli 25DN. Breitenbruch 10MN. Gaitán↓ 79'6.6 5MN. Linares↓ 46'6.4 15MF. Perruzzi 7MN. Guzmán 21MM. Godoy 9FN. Cordero↓ 65'6.4 24FF. Anso

Coach: Javier Esteban Sanguinetti

Substitutes

1GI. Arboleda 20DU. Giménez↓ 58'6.0 77DN. Pasquini 29DT. Santamaría 6DG. Arturia 10MJ. Rentería↓ 62'7.3 23ME. Giménez↓ 58'6.6 16MM. Martínez↓ 77'6.6 19MJ. Contrera 33MG. Díaz 17MA. Nadruz 27FJ. Marabel↓ 78'7.0

Coach: Facundo Sava

Top stats

49%Possession51%

0.79Expected goals (xG)1.71

14Total shots14

4Shots on target3

1Big chances3

6Corners1

Shots

6Shots off target10

4Blocked shots1

9Shots inside box7

5Shots outside box7

1Hit woodwork0

1Big chances scored2

0Big chances missed1

-1.28Goals prevented0.29

Attack

21Touches in box16

79Final third entries60

1Offsides0

15Free kicks17

3Fouled in final third2

Passing

322Passes348

209Accurate passes248

37/88 (42%)Long balls20/65 (31%)

7/25 (28%)Crosses1/12 (8%)

19Throw-ins16

Duels

51Duels49

35/72 (49%)Ground duels37/72 (51%)

18/31 (58%)Aerial duels13/31 (42%)

2/16 (13%)Dribbles4/13 (31%)

2Dispossessed10

Defending

19Tackles16

68Tackles won56

8Interceptions5

22Clearances46

48Recoveries57

Discipline

17Fouls15

5Yellow cards3

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

0Saves3

9Goal kicks10

2Punches0

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 15 bookmakers

Aldosivi 33%

31%

Sarmiento 36%

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 60% · 1.57 @ Bet365

CornersOver 9.5 corners 53%

CornersOver 8.5 corners 65%

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 79% · 1.18 @ Bet365

1X2Draw 31% · 2.00 @ Bet365

1X2Sarmiento to win 36% · 3.40 @ Bet365

BTTSBTTS: No 52% · 1.78 @ Novibet

Who winsAldosivi to win (DNB) 51% · 1.77 @ 10bet

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 58%

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 65% · 1.44 @ Bet365

1X2Aldosivi to win 33% · 3.60 @ Bet365

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

2.75

Aldosivi

3.00

Draw

2.57

Sarmiento

Double Chanceconsensus

1.44

Aldosivi or Draw

1.36

Aldosivi or Sarmiento

1.40

Draw or Sarmiento

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

2.05

Yes

1.70

No

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.10

Over 0.50

7.00

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.44

Over 1.50

2.62

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

2.35

Over 2.50

1.57

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

4.50

Over 3.50

1.18

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

11.00

Over 4.50

1.05

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.71

Aldosivi

2.02

Sarmiento

1X2 (1st Half)consensus

3.60

Aldosivi

2.00

Draw

3.40

Sarmiento

Full odds via API →

No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.0%.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Report a data issue