Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**San Lorenzo host Deportivo Riestra in a bout between two teams desperately hunting for wins** — one's bleeding from recent thrashings, the other can't seem to break a draw curse. 🔴⚪
San Lorenzo are in freefall: three losses in their last five, including a 3-0 mauling at home to Boca. They're short **D. Herrera** and **N. Barrios** through injury, plus **M. Insaurralde** suspended. Riestra, meanwhile, have drawn four of their last five but *did* get punked 3-0 by Lanús at home — not exactly confidence-building.
Key storylines:
- **San Lorenzo's defensive fragility** continues to haunt them; Riestra's compact 5-4-1 shape could frustrate, but the hosts *need* a performance
- **Riestra's draw culture vs. San Lorenzo's hunger** — one team plays not to lose, the other can't afford another blank
- Home advantage and injury depth favor the Azulgrana, but form says hold your breath
Expected lineups:
- **San Lorenzo**: J. Devecchi, M. D. Ritis, D. Arboleda, E. Amor, E. Herrera, T. R. Pagano, N. Tripichio, I. Perruzzi, M. Reali, R. Auzmendi, A. Cuello
- **Deportivo Riestra**: I. Arce, C. Paz, F. Miño, C. Quintana, N. Sansotre, M. Bracamonte, A. Alonso, M. Celiz, B. Sánchez, Y. Goitia, A. Díaz
Prediction:
**San Lorenzo 2–1 Deportivo Riestra**. The hosts get a much-needed three points at home, but Riestra make them sweat for it. ⚽
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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