Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**Defensa y Justicia hosting Instituto in a **must-watch clash** between two sides riding identical 3W-1D-1L runs.** Both teams are hot right now, but the home crowd at Norberto Tomaghello could be the decider. 🔥
Defensa have won their last two at home (3-0 vs San Lorenzo, 2-0 at Unión), while Instituto just battered Independiente 4-1 away and dismantled Talleres 3-1 at home. Thing is, Instituto's head-to-head record is nasty — they've won 2 of the last 3 meetings, with Defensa stuck on just one win.
Key storylines:
- **Defensa's wings under pressure**: Without Sosa (suspension) and dealing with injuries to Molinas and Román, the home side's attacking flow is disrupted. Instituto's three-at-the-back setup could stifle Perrotta and Hausch's creativity.
- **Instituto's away resilience tested**: They smashed Independiente on the road but face a tougher, familiar opponent who knows their shape well.
- **Ledesma vs Defensa's finishing**: The Instituto keeper will be crucial. Defensa's recent 2-0 and 3-0 wins show they can be clinical at home — Ledesma needs a big night.
Expected lineups:
- **Defensa y Justicia**: M. Borgogno, L. Fernández, D. Martínez, V. Loza, C. Pérez, J. Lucco, T. Perrotta, D. Barbona, A. Hausch, J. M. Gutiérrez
- **Instituto De Córdoba**: M. Ledesma, L. Mosevich, J. Galván, F. Alarcón, D. Sosa, G. Cerato, G. Abregú, M. Tissera, M. Gallardo, A. Luna, J. Córdoba
Prediction:
**Defensa y Justicia 2–1 Instituto De Córdoba**. Home advantage and recent form give Defensa the slight edge, but Instituto will make them sweat it out. 💪
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.0%.
Report a data issue
Spotted something wrong on this match? Tell us what and we'll fix it.