Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**Estudiantes rolls into this with serious momentum while San Lorenzo's trying to stop the bleeding.** Home advantage, better form, and a historically favorable record make this **the Estudiantes job to lose**. 🔴⚪
Estudiantes just hammered Gimnasia 3-0 and are sitting pretty in the form table with three wins in five. San Lorenzo? They've dropped three of their last five, including a 3-0 humbling at Defensa y Justicia. The gap between these two right now is real.
Key storylines:
- **Estudiantes' attack** has teeth — A. Gaich and T. Palacios leading the charge in a 4-2-3-1 that's clicking
- San Lorenzo's **injury crisis at the back** (D. Herrera and N. Barrios both out with ACL damage) leaves E. Amor, T. R. Pagano, and D. Arboleda to hold the line in a 3-4-1-2
- **H2H lean toward draws** (10 of the last 23), but form suggests Estudiantes will break the pattern here
Expected lineups:
- **Estudiantes de La Plata**: F. Muslera, S. Núñez, L. G. Pírez, G. Benedetti, E. Mancuso, A. Castro, B. Rodriguez, M. Monsalve, T. Palacios, J. Tobio Burgos, A. Gaich
- **San Lorenzo**: J. Devecchi, E. Amor, D. Arboleda, T. R. Pagano, E. Herrera, A. Cordoba, I. Perruzzi, N. Tripichio, A. Cuello, R. Auzmendi, M. Reali
Prediction:
**Estudiantes 2–0 San Lorenzo**. Home dominance and superior depth in midfield should be too much for a patched-up visitor.
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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