Newell's Old Boys 2-1 Central Córdoba: Stats & xG

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Newell's Old Boys 2-1 Central Córdoba.

90+2'

F. Gauch

Substitution, Newell's Old Boys: J. Russo comes on for F. Gauch.

90+1'

M. Iacobellis

Yellow card for M. Iacobellis (Central Córdoba) for argument.

90'

4 minutes of added time.

88'

W. Mazzantti

Attempt blocked. W. Mazzantti (Newell's Old Boys), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.08.

88'

J. I. Ramírez

Attempt missed. J. I. Ramírez (Newell's Old Boys), right-footed shot. xG 0.15.

88'

J. G. Mattar

Substitution, Newell's Old Boys: L. Gómez comes on for J. G. Mattar.

87'

M. Cóccaro

Substitution, Newell's Old Boys: J. I. Ramírez comes on for M. Cóccaro.

85'

L. Sequeira

Attempt saved. L. Sequeira (Central Córdoba), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.05.

80'

L. Sequeira

Goal! Newell's Old Boys 2-1 Central Córdoba. L. Sequeira (Central Córdoba) scores, assisted by H. Tijanovich.

79'

M. Ortega

Attempt missed. M. Ortega (Newell's Old Boys), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.02.

78'

Newell's Old Boys

Corner, Newell's Old Boys.

78'

Y. Casermeiro

Yellow card for Y. Casermeiro (Central Córdoba) for foul.

76'

M. Ortega

Yellow card for M. Ortega (Newell's Old Boys) for foul.

74'

D. Barrera

Substitution, Central Córdoba: H. Tijanovich comes on for D. Barrera.

74'

M. Santos

Substitution, Central Córdoba: L. Varaldo comes on for M. Santos.

71'

S. Solari

Substitution, Newell's Old Boys: A. Soñora comes on for S. Solari.

69'

S. Solari

Goal! Newell's Old Boys 2-0 Central Córdoba. S. Solari (Newell's Old Boys) scores.

67'

S. Solari

Attempt blocked. S. Solari (Newell's Old Boys), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

66'

Central Córdoba

Offside, Central Córdoba.

63'

D. Barrera

Attempt missed. D. Barrera (Central Córdoba), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

61'

D. Cáceres

Yellow card for D. Cáceres (Central Córdoba) for foul.

61'

W. Mazzantti

Attempt missed. W. Mazzantti (Newell's Old Boys), left-footed shot. xG 0.04.

60'

Central Córdoba

Corner, Central Córdoba.

59'

S. Solari

Yellow card for S. Solari (Newell's Old Boys) for foul.

56'

J. G. Mattar

Attempt missed. J. G. Mattar (Newell's Old Boys), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

53'

M. Cóccaro

Attempt blocked. M. Cóccaro (Newell's Old Boys), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.04.

53'

J. G. Mattar

Attempt missed. J. G. Mattar (Newell's Old Boys), left-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.01.

49'

Central Córdoba

Corner, Central Córdoba.

49'

L. Sequeira

Attempt blocked. L. Sequeira (Central Córdoba), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

49'

D. Barrera

Attempt blocked. D. Barrera (Central Córdoba), right-footed shot. xG 0.01.

48'

M. Cóccaro

Yellow card for M. Cóccaro (Newell's Old Boys) for foul.

46'

W. Mazzantti

Attempt missed. W. Mazzantti (Newell's Old Boys), header from a corner. xG 0.01.

46'

Newell's Old Boys

Corner, Newell's Old Boys.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Newell's Old Boys 1-0 Central Córdoba.

45+2'

F. Martínez

Yellow card for F. Martínez (Central Córdoba) for foul.

45'

1 minute of added time.

45'

Central Córdoba

Offside, Central Córdoba.

42'

S. Solari

Attempt missed. S. Solari (Newell's Old Boys), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

36'

L. Carrizo

Attempt blocked. L. Carrizo (Newell's Old Boys), left-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.03.

35'

M. Vera

Yellow card for M. Vera (Central Córdoba) for foul.

33'

M. Cóccaro

Attempt saved. M. Cóccaro (Newell's Old Boys), left-footed shot. xG 0.12.

33'

M. Cóccaro

Attempt saved. M. Cóccaro (Newell's Old Boys), left-footed shot. xG 0.11.

31'

J. G. Mattar

Goal! Newell's Old Boys 1-0 Central Córdoba. J. G. Mattar (Newell's Old Boys) scores.

28'

S. Solari

Attempt saved. S. Solari (Newell's Old Boys), header from a corner. xG 0.02.

28'

B. Cabrera

Attempt blocked. B. Cabrera (Newell's Old Boys), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.14.

28'

Newell's Old Boys

Corner, Newell's Old Boys.

27'

Newell's Old Boys

Corner, Newell's Old Boys.

21'

F. Gauch

Attempt saved. F. Gauch (Newell's Old Boys), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

21'

Newell's Old Boys

Corner, Newell's Old Boys.

15'

L. González

Attempt missed. L. González (Central Córdoba), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.05.

13'

D. Barrera

Attempt missed. D. Barrera (Central Córdoba), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.02.

11'

Newell's Old Boys

Offside, Newell's Old Boys.

7'

Newell's Old Boys

Corner, Newell's Old Boys.

5'

J. G. Mattar

Attempt saved. J. G. Mattar (Newell's Old Boys), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

5'

Newell's Old Boys

Offside, Newell's Old Boys.

1'

Kick-off: Newell's Old Boys vs Central Córdoba.

Where the money is

199699 EUR matched · captured 1 week, 4 days ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 124523 EUR · live

Home 1.01 · implied 99.0%

88.8%

-10.2 vs price

Away 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

5.8%

+5.7 vs price

Draw 100.0 · implied 1.0%

5.4%

+4.4 vs price

Half time 2699 EUR · live

Home 1.01 · implied 99.0%

55.4%

-43.7 vs price

Away 660.0 · implied 0.2%

31.5%

+31.4 vs price

Draw 21.0 · implied 4.8%

13.1%

+8.3 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 11306 EUR · live

Under 1.5 · implied 66.7%

60.4%

-6.3 vs price

Over 2.5 · implied 40.0%

45.2%

+5.2 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 6276 EUR · live

Under 1.01 · implied 99.0%

97.9%

-1.1 vs price

Over 36.0 · implied 2.8%

2.1%

-0.7 vs price

13 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 2 clips

Player of the match

Match events

31' ⚽ J. G. Mattar1–0

35' M. Vera · Foul

Half-time · 1–0

45'⁺² F. Martínez · Foul

48' M. Cóccaro · Foul

59' S. Solari · Foul

61' D. Cáceres · Foul

69' ⚽ S. Solari2–0

71' 🔁 A. Soñora ◂ S. Solari

74' 🔁 L. Varaldo ◂ M. Santos

74' 🔁 H. Tijanovich ◂ D. Barrera

76' M. Ortega · Foul

78' Y. Casermeiro · Foul

80' ⚽ L. Sequeira · assist H. Tijanovich2–1

87' 🔁 J. I. Ramírez ◂ M. Cóccaro

88' 🔁 L. Gómez ◂ J. G. Mattar

Full-time · 2–1

90'⁺¹ M. Iacobellis · Argument

90'⁺² 🔁 J. Russo ◂ F. Gauch

Coaches

Frank Kudelka

Sebastian Enrique Dominguez

Recent form

Newell's Old Boys

LAGimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza0-1

DHCA Lanús0-0

WAClub Atlético Platense1-0

DHVélez Sarsfield1-1

DARosario Central1-1

Central Córdoba

DHEstudiantes de La Plata2-2

DADeportivo Riestra1-1

DHDefensa y Justicia2-2

LABoca Juniors1-3

LHCA Independiente0-1

About this match

**Newell's at home with the upper hand, but Central Córdoba's drawing ways make this trickier than it looks.** 🔴⚪

Newell's have a 4-3 edge in the head-to-head and are clicking at home (1W 3D on this run), while Central Córdoba are stuck in a rut — winless in five with three draws that hint at defensive solidity but zero killer instinct. Still, Newell's are without some key bodies and can't afford to sleepwalk.

Key storylines:

- **Newell's Old Boys** are battle-tested at Estadio Marcelo Bielsa but missing **A. Montero**, **G. Arias**, and **L. Giannetti** — depth will be tested
- **F. Gauch** and **M. Cóccaro** lead the Newell's attack, looking to break down a stubborn **Central Córdoba** backline anchored by **D. Barrera** and **A. Maciel**
- Central Córdoba's 3D2L slump screams vulnerability away from home — **L. Sequeira** and **M. Santos** need to create tempo upfield

Expected lineups:

- **Newell's Old Boys**: J. Reinatti, J. Russo, L. Carrizo, B. Cabrera, M. Ortega, L. Regiardo, R. Herrera, L. Rios, W. Mazzantti, F. Gauch, M. Cóccaro
- **Central Córdoba**: A. Aguerre, D. Barrera, A. Maciel, F. Mansilla, F. Martínez, M. Vera, L. González, D. Cáceres, M. Iacobellis, M. Santos, L. Sequeira

Prediction:

**Newell's 2–1 Central Córdoba.** Newell's lean on their home record and H2H edge; Central Córdoba's form and injuries hand the edge to the locals.

Where to watch

TyC Sports Internacional

Match facts

Stadium

Estadio Marcelo Bielsa

City

Rosario

Referee

Hernan Mastrangelo

4.64 yellows/match · 36 matches

Kickoff

19 Oct, 22:00 UTC

Competition

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Highlights & clips

Newell's Old Boys 4-3-3 · 4-1-4-1 Central Córdoba

30 J. Reinatti 6.6 6 M. Ortega 5.9 25 B. Cabrera 7.0 16 L. Carrizo 8.1 24 F. Escobar 7.0 26 R. Herrera 7.3 27 L. Gómez ↑ 88' 28 J. Russo ↑ 90' 7 W. Mazzantti 7.8 99 J. I. Ramírez ↑ 87' 15 A. Soñora 6.3 ↑ 71' 1 A. Aguerre 6.7 20 F. Martínez 6.5 17 Y. Casermeiro 7.0 2 A. Maciel 6.6 23 D. Cáceres 6.6 22 M. Vera 6.5 28 L. Sequeira 7.3 10 M. Iacobellis 6.4 18 L. González 6.4 11 H. Tijanovich 6.9 ↑ 74' 9 L. Varaldo 6.3 ↑ 74'

Substitutes

31GF. Sciarini 23DN. Goitea 22DO. Salomón 4DA. Montero 19MJ. G. Mattar↓ 88'8.0 20MF. Gauch↓ 90'7.6 8MD. Sotelo 32FS. Solari↓ 71'7.3 9FM. Cóccaro↓ 87'6.7 39FL. Rios 36FF. Scarpeccio 33FW. Nuñez

Coach: Frank Kudelka

Substitutes

25GJ. Vallejos 21DF. Aguilar 32DN. Garrido 13DJ. Gómez 3DL. Marchi 41MT. Ramirez 55MJ. Cardozo 7FD. Barrera↓ 74'6.6 27FM. Santos↓ 74'6.2 44FK. Ibañez 47FM. Cuitiño 43FI. Santillán

Coach: Sebastian Enrique Dominguez

Top stats

61%Possession39%

1.92Expected goals (xG)0.4

19Total shots7

7Shots on target2

4Big chances1

6Corners3

Shots

7Shots off target3

5Blocked shots2

10Shots inside box4

9Shots outside box3

1Big chances scored1

3Big chances missed0

-0.48Goals prevented0.03

Attack

27Touches in box9

60Final third entries35

2Offsides2

14Free kicks14

3Fouled in final third4

Passing

409Passes263

332Accurate passes186

37/64 (58%)Long balls24/57 (42%)

7/30 (23%)Crosses3/18 (17%)

23Throw-ins13

Duels

55Duels45

39/79 (49%)Ground duels40/79 (51%)

27/41 (66%)Aerial duels14/41 (34%)

6/18 (33%)Dribbles7/15 (47%)

7Dispossessed11

Defending

19Tackles19

63Tackles won84

12Interceptions10

17Clearances27

58Recoveries50

Discipline

14Fouls14

3Yellow cards5

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

1Saves5

0Big saves2

4Goal kicks12

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 15 bookmakers

Newell's 48%

31%

Central Córdoba 21%

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 61% · 1.53 @ Bet365

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 80% · 1.18 @ Bet365

BTTSBTTS: No 56% · 1.75 @ 888Sport

1X2Draw 31% · 2.00 @ Bet365

1X2Newell's to win 48% · 2.75 @ Bet365

Who winsNewell's to win (DNB) 62% · 1.31 @ Betano

CornersOver 8.5 corners 58% · 1.80 @ Bet365

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 65%

CornersUnder 9.5 corners 53%

1X2Central Córdoba to win 21% · 4.75 @ Bet365

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 65% · 1.44 @ Bet365

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

1.96

Newell's Old Boys

3.10

Draw

4.50

Central Córdoba

Double Chanceconsensus

1.18

Newell's Old Boys or Draw

1.36

Newell's Old Boys or Central Córdoba

1.80

Draw or Central Córdoba

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

2.00

Yes

1.70

No

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.10

Over 0.50

7.00

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.44

Over 1.50

2.62

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

2.40

Over 2.50

1.53

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

4.50

Over 3.50

1.18

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

11.00

Over 4.50

1.05

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.29

Newell's Old Boys

3.30

Central Córdoba

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.80

Over 8.50

1.91

Under 8.50

1X2 (1st Half)consensus

2.75

Newell's Old Boys

2.00

Draw

4.75

Central Córdoba

Full odds via API →

No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.0%.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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