Racing Club 1-1 CA Independiente: Stats & xG – Oct 18, 2026

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Racing Club 1-1 CA Independiente.

90+3'

J. M. Arrayago

Attempt missed. J. M. Arrayago (CA Independiente), header from a set piece. xG 0.02.

90+3'

L. Pérez

Yellow card for L. Pérez (Racing Club) for foul.

90+2'

L. Godoy

Yellow card for L. Godoy (CA Independiente) for foul.

90'

4 minutes of added time.

89'

Racing Club

Corner, Racing Club.

89'

M. Meza

Substitution, CA Independiente: L. Millán comes on for M. Meza.

87'

I. Morales

Yellow card for I. Morales (CA Independiente) for foul.

86'

N. Banegas

Substitution, CA Independiente: F. Zabala comes on for N. Banegas.

85'

Racing Club

Corner, Racing Club.

81'

L. Díaz

Substitution, Racing Club: E. Torres comes on for L. Díaz.

79'

M. Pérez

Attempt missed. M. Pérez (CA Independiente), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.01.

78'

CA Independiente

Corner, CA Independiente.

78'

C. Ávila

Substitution, CA Independiente: I. Morales comes on for C. Ávila.

78'

S. Arias

Substitution, CA Independiente: L. Godoy comes on for S. Arias.

76'

U. Ortegoza

Attempt saved. U. Ortegoza (Racing Club), left-footed shot. xG 0.17.

76'

J. Barinaga

Substitution, Racing Club: E. Cannavo comes on for J. Barinaga.

73'

M. Kranevitter

Substitution, Racing Club: L. Pérez comes on for M. Kranevitter.

72'

T. Conechny

Substitution, Racing Club: D. Vergara comes on for T. Conechny.

72'

M. Zaracho

Substitution, Racing Club: U. Ortegoza comes on for M. Zaracho.

70'

M. Meza

Attempt saved. M. Meza (CA Independiente), right-footed shot. xG 0.01.

69'

Racing Club

Offside, Racing Club.

68'

Racing Club

Corner, Racing Club.

67'

Racing Club

Corner, Racing Club.

67'

M. Kranevitter

Attempt blocked. M. Kranevitter (Racing Club), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

65'

M. Meza

Goal! Racing Club 1-1 CA Independiente. M. Meza (CA Independiente) converts the penalty.

64'

G. Escudero

Yellow card for G. Escudero (Racing Club) for foul.

59'

M. Meza

Attempt saved. M. Meza (CA Independiente), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

59'

CA Independiente

Corner, CA Independiente.

57'

S. Montiel

Attempt blocked. S. Montiel (CA Independiente), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

55'

S. Montiel

Attempt blocked. S. Montiel (CA Independiente), left-footed shot. xG 0.09.

55'

CA Independiente

Corner, CA Independiente.

49'

M. Martínez

Yellow card for M. Martínez (Racing Club) for argument.

48'

Racing Club

Corner, Racing Club.

46'

L. Cabral

Substitution, CA Independiente: M. Abaldo comes on for L. Cabral.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Racing Club 1-0 CA Independiente.

45+3'

G. Escudero

Attempt missed. G. Escudero (Racing Club), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.05.

45+3'

Racing Club

Corner, Racing Club.

45+1'

CA Independiente

Offside, CA Independiente.

45+1'

CA Independiente

Offside, CA Independiente.

45'

4 minutes of added time.

45'

C. Ávila

Attempt missed. C. Ávila (CA Independiente), left-footed shot. xG 0.06.

43'

M. Zaracho

Attempt missed. M. Zaracho (Racing Club), right-footed shot. xG 0.01.

37'

C. Ávila

Attempt missed. C. Ávila (CA Independiente), header. xG 0.03.

34'

C. Ávila

Attempt missed. C. Ávila (CA Independiente), header. xG 0.02.

29'

A. Martínez

Cleared off the line! A. Martínez (Racing Club), header. xG 0.17.

29'

M. Zaracho

Goal! Racing Club 1-0 CA Independiente. M. Zaracho (Racing Club) scores.

24'

M. Kranevitter

Attempt missed. M. Kranevitter (Racing Club), right-footed shot. xG 0.01.

20'

G. Lodico

Attempt missed. G. Lodico (Racing Club), right-footed shot. xG 0.01.

17'

M. Zaracho

Yellow card for M. Zaracho (Racing Club) for foul.

13'

Racing Club

Corner, Racing Club.

11'

M. Zaracho

Attempt blocked. M. Zaracho (Racing Club), left-footed shot. xG 0.09.

6'

J. Barinaga

Yellow card for J. Barinaga (Racing Club) for foul.

5'

Racing Club

Corner, Racing Club.

2'

CA Independiente

Corner, CA Independiente.

1'

Kick-off: Racing Club vs CA Independiente.

Where the money is

248887 EUR matched · captured 1 week, 6 days ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 117482 EUR · live

Home 48.0 · implied 2.1%

57.8%

+55.7 vs price

Draw 1.02 · implied 98.0%

31.7%

-66.4 vs price

Away 28.0 · implied 3.6%

11.1%

+7.5 vs price

Half time 1382 EUR · live

Draw 9.2 · implied 10.9%

58.5%

+47.7 vs price

Home 1.1 · implied 90.9%

27.4%

-63.5 vs price

Away 100.0 · implied 1.0%

14.0%

+13.0 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 42162 EUR · live

Under 1.01 · implied 99.0%

78.4%

-20.6 vs price

Over 14.0 · implied 7.1%

22.9%

+15.7 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 1507 EUR · live

Under 1.03 · implied 97.1%

93.2%

-3.9 vs price

Over 29.0 · implied 3.4%

6.8%

+3.3 vs price

13 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 1 clip

Player of the match

Match events

6' J. Barinaga · Foul

17' M. Zaracho · Foul

29' ⚽ M. Zaracho1–0

Half-time · 1–0

46' 🔁 M. Abaldo ◂ L. Cabral

49' M. Martínez · Argument

64' G. Escudero · Foul

65' ⚽ M. Meza (pen)1–1

72' 🔁 U. Ortegoza ◂ M. Zaracho

72' 🔁 D. Vergara ◂ T. Conechny

73' 🔁 L. Pérez ◂ M. Kranevitter

76' 🔁 E. Cannavo ◂ J. Barinaga

78' 🔁 L. Godoy ◂ S. Arias

78' 🔁 I. Morales ◂ C. Ávila

81' 🔁 E. Torres ◂ L. Díaz

86' 🔁 F. Zabala ◂ N. Banegas

87' I. Morales · Foul

89' 🔁 L. Millán ◂ M. Meza

Full-time · 1–1

90'⁺² L. Godoy · Foul

90'⁺³ L. Pérez · Foul

Coaches

Sebastián Romero

Jadson Viera

Recent form

Racing Club

LHClub Atlético Belgrano0-2

WAEstudiantes de Río Cuarto2-1

WHSarmiento3-1

LAHuracán1-2

LHAtlético Tucumán1-2

CA Independiente

DACA Talleres0-0

LHInstituto De Córdoba1-4

WAClub Atlético Unión de Santa Fe2-1

DHSan Lorenzo1-1

WACentral Córdoba1-0

About this match

**Racing's hosting duties against Independiente carry real weight** — this is a classic Buenos Aires derby clash with playoff implications written all over it. 🏟️

Racing just took a hiding from Belgrano but bounced back with consecutive wins; Independiente, meanwhile, has been inconsistent, mixing draws with both thrashings and comebacks. Both teams have injury concerns, but neither is completely crippled.

Key storylines:

- **Racing's attack** hinges on T. Conechny and A. Martínez linking up behind L. Díaz — they'll need to stay sharp against a solid Independiente backline
- **Independiente's midfield** (M. Meza, I. Marcone, L. Godoy) has to control tempo; let Racing run wild and this could get messy
- **Head-to-head edge** belongs to Independiente (13 wins to 8), but Racing's home record and recent form give them real hope

Expected lineups:

- **Racing Club**: F. Cambeses, I. Rodríguez, M. Martínez, G. Escudero, E. Cannavo, G. Lodico, L. Pérez, U. Ortegoza, T. Conechny, A. Martínez, L. Díaz
- **CA Independiente**: R. Rey, N. Banegas, J. M. Arrayago, J. Fedorco, L. Godoy, M. Meza, I. Marcone, M. Pérez, M. Abaldo, C. Ávila, S. Montiel

Prediction:

**Racing 1–1 Independiente**. Both sides have enough firepower to trouble the other, but defensive lapses and injury absences point to a cagey draw. 📊

Where to watch

ESPN Premium ArgentinaTNT Sports ArgentinaViX

Match facts

Stadium

Estadio Presidente Perón

City

Buenos Aires

Referee

Facundo Raul Tello Figueroa

4.67 yellows/match · 64 matches

Kickoff

18 Oct, 17:45 UTC

Competition

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Highlights & clips

Racing Club 4-2-3-1 · 4-3-3 CA Independiente

25 F. Cambeses 6.9 4 E. Cannavo 7.0 ↑ 76' 38 M. Martínez 6.3 43 G. Escudero 6.1 19 I. Rodríguez 6.9 20 G. Lodico 7.4 33 L. Pérez 6.9 ↑ 73' 16 U. Ortegoza 6.8 ↑ 72' 22 E. Torres 6.4 ↑ 81' 7 D. Vergara 6.6 ↑ 72' 9 A. Martínez 5.7 33 R. Rey 7.1 29 L. Godoy 6.6 ↑ 78' 36 S. Valdez 7.0 35 J. M. Arrayago 7.3 22 F. Zabala 6.9 ↑ 86' 16 M. Pérez 23 I. Marcone 8.1 14 L. Millán ↑ 89' 7 S. Montiel 6.2 9 I. Morales 6.3 ↑ 78' 19 M. Abaldo 6.6 ↑ 46'

Substitutes

30GM. Tagliamonte 14DJ. Barinaga↓ 76'6.1 2DM. Pérez 23DN. Colombo 18DPacha 5MM. Kranevitter↓ 73'6.8 11MM. Zaracho↓ 72'6.7 46MA. Tello 24MA. Fernandez 17FT. Conechny↓ 72'6.9 32FL. Díaz↓ 81'6.0 40FF. Fraga

Coach: Sebastián Romero

Substitutes

77GS. Mele 5DN. Banegas↓ 86'7.3 4DS. Arias↓ 78'6.5 2DF. Calderón 13DJ. Fedorco 8MM. Meza↓ 89'8.2 10ML. Cabral↓ 46'7.0 32MD. Martínez 30MT. Parmo 24MJ. Palais 6FC. Ávila↓ 78'6.9 34FF. Tempone

Coach: Jadson Viera

Top stats

53%Possession47%

1.24Expected goals (xG)1.06

9Total shots10

3Shots on target3

1Big chances1

8Corners4

Shots

4Shots off target5

2Blocked shots2

6Shots inside box6

3Shots outside box4

1Big chances scored1

0.11Goals prevented0.1

Attack

28Touches in box19

74Final third entries67

2Offsides1

9Free kicks15

2Fouled in final third2

Passing

404Passes372

306Accurate passes264

29/69 (42%)Long balls33/73 (45%)

5/24 (21%)Crosses6/11 (55%)

17Throw-ins24

Duels

40Duels60

34/70 (49%)Ground duels36/70 (51%)

19/64 (30%)Aerial duels45/64 (70%)

7/19 (37%)Dribbles6/15 (40%)

3Dispossessed9

Defending

18Tackles15

78Tackles won80

8Interceptions10

29Clearances18

60Recoveries61

Discipline

16Fouls9

5Yellow cards2

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

2Saves1

1Big saves0

10Goal kicks7

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 15 bookmakers

Racing 46%

30%

Independiente 23%

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 60% · 1.57 @ Bet365

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 78% · 1.20 @ Bet365

1X2Draw 30% · 2.00 @ Bet365

BTTSBTTS: No 53% · 1.79 @ Betsson

CornersOver 8.5 corners 61% · 1.80 @ Bet365

1X2Racing to win 46% · 2.75 @ Bet365

Who winsRacing to win (DNB) 60% · 1.67 @ Unibet

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 63%

CornersUnder 9.5 corners 51%

1X2Independiente to win 23% · 4.50 @ Bet365

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 67% · 1.40 @ Bet365

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

2.01

Racing Club

3.10

Draw

4.00

CA Independiente

Double Chanceconsensus

1.22

Racing Club or Draw

1.36

Racing Club or CA Independiente

1.73

Draw or CA Independiente

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

2.05

Yes

1.70

No

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.10

Over 0.50

7.00

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.40

Over 1.50

2.75

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

2.35

Over 2.50

1.57

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

4.33

Over 3.50

1.20

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

10.00

Over 4.50

1.06

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.61

Racing Club

2.17

CA Independiente

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.80

Over 8.50

1.91

Under 8.50

1X2 (1st Half)consensus

2.75

Racing Club

2.00

Draw

4.50

CA Independiente

Full odds via API →

No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.0%.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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