Sarmiento 1-1 Barracas Central: Stats & xG – Oct 19, 2026

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Sarmiento 1-1 Barracas Central.

90+12'

S. Salle

Attempt blocked. S. Salle (Sarmiento), left-footed shot. xG 0.06.

90+8'

L. Suárez

VAR: red card for L. Suárez (Sarmiento).

90+4'

N. Orsini

Substitution, Barracas Central: F. Bruera comes on for N. Orsini.

90+4'

N. Briasco

Substitution, Barracas Central: C. Arce comes on for N. Briasco.

90+3'

Sarmiento

Offside, Sarmiento.

90'

7 minutes of added time.

87'

J. Marabel

VAR check complete: the goal for Sarmiento stands.

84'

J. Marabel

Attempt missed. J. Marabel (Sarmiento), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.05.

83'

M. Martínez

Substitution, Sarmiento: J. Herrera comes on for M. Martínez.

82'

Y. Rak

Attempt missed. Y. Rak (Barracas Central), header from a set piece. xG 0.01.

81'

L. Suárez

Yellow card for L. Suárez (Sarmiento) for foul.

78'

R. Insúa

Goal! Sarmiento 1-1 Barracas Central. R. Insúa (Barracas Central) converts the penalty.

75'

Y. Rak

VAR: no penalty for Barracas Central.

73'

Y. Rak

Attempt blocked. Y. Rak (Barracas Central), header from a set piece. xG 0.02.

71'

J. Marabel

Yellow card for J. Marabel (Sarmiento) for argument.

71'

E. Pereyra

Substitution, Barracas Central: R. Insúa comes on for E. Pereyra.

71'

I. Tapia

Substitution, Barracas Central: T. Porra comes on for I. Tapia.

70'

J. Mavilla

Substitution, Sarmiento: M. Garcia comes on for J. Mavilla.

70'

J. Contrera

Substitution, Sarmiento: U. Giménez comes on for J. Contrera.

69'

N. Demartini

Attempt missed. N. Demartini (Barracas Central), header from a corner. xG 0.01.

68'

Barracas Central

Corner, Barracas Central.

60'

J. Marabel

Attempt missed. J. Marabel (Sarmiento), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.20.

59'

R. Bogarín

Substitution, Barracas Central: G. Maroni comes on for R. Bogarín.

57'

E. Rolón

Attempt blocked. E. Rolón (Barracas Central), right-footed shot. xG 0.01.

52'

Sarmiento

Corner, Sarmiento.

49'

R. Barrios

Attempt missed. R. Barrios (Barracas Central), header. xG 0.21.

49'

R. Bogarín

Attempt saved. R. Bogarín (Barracas Central), right-footed shot. xG 0.09.

46'

J. Rentería

Substitution, Sarmiento: G. González comes on for J. Rentería.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Sarmiento 1-0 Barracas Central.

45+2'

Barracas Central

Corner, Barracas Central.

45'

1 minute of added time.

45'

N. Orsini

Attempt missed. N. Orsini (Barracas Central), header from a throw-in. xG 0.02.

44'

J. Contrera

Attempt missed. J. Contrera (Sarmiento), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.01.

43'

N. Demartini

Yellow card for N. Demartini (Barracas Central) for argument.

41'

N. Orsini

Attempt missed. N. Orsini (Barracas Central), header from a throw-in. xG 0.07.

35'

Y. Rak

Attempt missed. Y. Rak (Barracas Central), right-footed shot. xG 0.01.

28'

E. Taborda

Attempt missed. E. Taborda (Barracas Central), left-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.02.

26'

E. Taborda

Attempt saved. E. Taborda (Barracas Central), right-footed shot. xG 0.13.

24'

R. Bogarín

Off the woodwork! R. Bogarín (Barracas Central), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.11.

20'

N. Orsini

Attempt missed. N. Orsini (Barracas Central), header. xG 0.84.

19'

R. Bogarín

Attempt saved. R. Bogarín (Barracas Central), right-footed shot. xG 0.01.

19'

J. Marabel

Attempt saved. J. Marabel (Sarmiento), right-footed shot. xG 0.26.

17'

N. Briasco

Attempt missed. N. Briasco (Barracas Central), right-footed shot. xG 0.06.

14'

J. Rentería

Goal! Sarmiento 1-0 Barracas Central. J. Rentería (Sarmiento) scores, assisted by C. Zabala.

11'

N. Orsini

Cleared off the line! N. Orsini (Barracas Central), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.17.

10'

Barracas Central

Corner, Barracas Central.

9'

Barracas Central

Corner, Barracas Central.

9'

I. Tapia

Attempt blocked. I. Tapia (Barracas Central), right-footed shot. xG 0.01.

8'

Barracas Central

Offside, Barracas Central.

8'

J. Marabel

Attempt missed. J. Marabel (Sarmiento), right-footed shot. xG 0.06.

7'

R. Bogarín

Attempt saved. R. Bogarín (Barracas Central), right-footed shot. xG 0.01.

5'

E. Pereyra

Attempt blocked. E. Pereyra (Barracas Central), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

1'

J. Marabel

Attempt missed. J. Marabel (Sarmiento), header. xG 0.07.

1'

Kick-off: Sarmiento vs Barracas Central.

Where the money is

264306 EUR matched · captured 3 weeks, 5 days ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 123028 EUR · live

Home 19.0 · implied 5.3%

61.3%

+56.0 vs price

Draw 1.05 · implied 95.2%

29.3%

-65.9 vs price

Away 24.0 · implied 4.2%

12.0%

+7.8 vs price

Half time 1444 EUR · live

Draw 5.4 · implied 18.5%

63.0%

+44.5 vs price

Away 36.0 · implied 2.8%

35.2%

+32.4 vs price

Home 1.3 · implied 76.9%

1.7%

-75.3 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 50404 EUR · live

Under 1.06 · implied 94.3%

77.1%

-17.3 vs price

Over 22.0 · implied 4.5%

22.9%

+18.4 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 1304 EUR · live

Under 1.15 · implied 87.0%

84.7%

-2.3 vs price

Over 8.2 · implied 12.2%

15.3%

+3.1 vs price

13 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 2 clips

Player of the match

Match events

14' ⚽ J. Rentería · assist C. Zabala1–0

43' N. Demartini · Argument

Half-time · 1–0

46' 🔁 G. González ◂ J. Rentería

59' 🔁 G. Maroni ◂ R. Bogarín

70' 🔁 U. Giménez ◂ J. Contrera

70' 🔁 M. Garcia ◂ J. Mavilla

71' J. Marabel · Argument

71' 🔁 T. Porra ◂ I. Tapia

71' 🔁 R. Insúa ◂ E. Pereyra

75' VAR Penalty check · Y. Rak

78' ⚽ R. Insúa (pen)1–1

81' L. Suárez · Foul

83' 🔁 J. Herrera ◂ M. Martínez

87' VAR Goal not given after review · J. Marabel

Full-time · 1–1

90'⁺⁴ 🔁 C. Arce ◂ N. Briasco

90'⁺⁴ 🔁 F. Bruera ◂ N. Orsini

90'⁺⁸ VAR Red card check · L. Suárez

Coaches

Facundo Sava

Damián Ayude

Recent form

Sarmiento

DHRiver Plate1-1

WAAldosivi3-1

LARacing Club1-3

DHClub Atlético Belgrano1-1

WAEstudiantes de Río Cuarto2-0

Barracas Central

WHHuracán2-0

WAAtlético Tucumán3-2

LHIndependiente Rivadavia0-1

DABanfield1-1

DHArgentinos Juniors0-0

About this match

**Sarmiento host a Barracas Central side absolutely battered by the injury bug** — five players out for the visitors means this could be a golden opportunity for the home side to build some momentum. 🔵

Both teams are treading water with 2W-2D-1L records over their last five. Sarmiento showed bite with that 3-1 demolition of Aldosivi but got humbled 1-3 by Racing; Barracas hit 3-2 over Atlético Tucumán but then flopped 0-1 at home. Head-to-head? Sarmiento have the edge with 2 wins in the last six meetings, though draws have been common.

Key storylines:

- **Sarmiento's home advantage** against a depleted Barracas squad missing five players, including centre-back F. Tobio and midfielder J. Espínola
- **Barracas' defensive reshuffle** — Y. Rak and K. Jappert will need to hold down the fort in a makeshift backline
- **J. Herrera and J. Marabel** leading the Sarmiento attack against a creaking visiting defence

Expected lineups:

- **Sarmiento**: T. Ayala, N. Pasquini, J. M. Insaurralde, R. Orihuela, S. Salle, J. Mavilla, C. Zabala, M. Martínez, J. Contrera, J. Marabel, J. Herrera
- **Barracas Central**: M. A. Miño, N. Demartini, K. Jappert, Y. Rak, E. Pereyra, R. Barrios, I. Tapia, D. Miloc, E. Rolón, N. Briasco, F. Bruera

Prediction:

**Sarmiento 2–1 Barracas Central**

Home side should exploit the injury crisis and grind out a tight win.

Where to watch

TyC Sports Internacional

Match facts

Stadium

Estadio Eva Perón

City

Junin

Referee

Daniel Zamora

5.65 yellows/match · 20 matches

Kickoff

19 Oct, 22:00 UTC

Competition

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Highlights & clips

Sarmiento 3-4-2-1 · 4-4-2 Barracas Central

12 T. Ayala 7.4 44 R. Orihuela 6.3 2 J. M. Insaurralde 6.4 3 L. Suárez 7.1 8 S. Salle 6.8 15 C. Zabala 7.4 24 J. Herrera 6.5 ↑ 83' 20 U. Giménez 6.3 ↑ 70' 11 G. González 6.9 ↑ 46' 5 M. Garcia 6.9 ↑ 70' 27 J. Marabel 7.3 30 M. A. Miño 6.6 13 R. Barrios 7.3 15 Y. Rak 7.4 31 N. Demartini 6.7 6 R. Insúa 7.0 ↑ 71' 33 G. Maroni 6.8 ↑ 59' 35 E. Rolón 7.0 8 T. Porra 6.7 ↑ 71' 24 E. Taborda 7.7 19 C. Arce 6.7 ↑ 90' 77 F. Bruera 6.4 ↑ 90'

Top stats

28%Possession72%

0.74Expected goals (xG)2.7

7Total shots21

2Shots on target6

2Big chances3

1Corners4

Shots

5Shots off target11

1Blocked shots4

5Shots inside box13

2Shots outside box8

0Hit woodwork1

1Big chances scored1

2Big chances missed2

0.62Goals prevented-0.3

Attack

14Touches in box26

61Final third entries79

1Offsides1

12Free kicks16

1Fouled in final third4

Passing

196Passes484

119Accurate passes400

23/68 (34%)Long balls26/58 (45%)

2/9 (22%)Crosses7/32 (22%)

17Throw-ins22

Duels

51Duels49

40/79 (51%)Ground duels39/79 (49%)

17/32 (53%)Aerial duels15/32 (47%)

5/14 (36%)Dribbles8/17 (47%)

6Dispossessed15

Defending

24Tackles15

46Tackles won53

8Interceptions4

37Clearances14

39Recoveries48

Discipline

17Fouls12

2Yellow cards1

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

4Saves1

12Goal kicks9

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 15 bookmakers

Sarmiento 42%

32%

Barracas 26%

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 65% · 1.44 @ Bet365

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 83% · 1.14 @ Bet365

BTTSBTTS: No 57% · 1.73 @ Unibet

1X2Draw 32% · 1.91 @ Bet365

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 68%

Who winsSarmiento to win (DNB) 60% · 1.58 @ Unibet

CornersUnder 9.5 corners 56%

CornersOver 8.5 corners 55% · 1.91 @ Bet365

1X2Sarmiento to win 42% · 3.10 @ Bet365

1X2Barracas to win 26% · 4.33 @ Bet365

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 61% · 1.53 @ Bet365

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

2.20

Sarmiento

2.85

Draw

3.50

Barracas Central

Double Chanceconsensus

1.29

Sarmiento or Draw

1.40

Sarmiento or Barracas Central

1.61

Draw or Barracas Central

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

2.15

Yes

1.65

No

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.12

Over 0.50

6.00

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.53

Over 1.50

2.38

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

2.70

Over 2.50

1.44

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

5.50

Over 3.50

1.14

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

13.00

Over 4.50

1.04

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.55

Sarmiento

2.33

Barracas Central

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.91

Over 8.50

1.80

Under 8.50

1X2 (1st Half)consensus

3.10

Sarmiento

1.91

Draw

4.33

Barracas Central

Full odds via API →

Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.

Under 3.5 goals

✓

83% confidence

A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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