Vélez Sarsfield 1-0 Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza

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Liga Profesional de Fútbol ·Sat 17 Oct

Vélez Sarsfield

1–0

HT 0–0

Full time

Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza

Jose Amalfitani, Buenos Aires · Ref: Dario Herrera

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Vélez Sarsfield 1-0 Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza.

90+5'

B. Armoa

Attempt missed. B. Armoa (Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza), left-footed shot. xG 0.33.

90+4'

R. Martinez

Substitution, Vélez Sarsfield: D. Godoy comes on for R. Martinez.

90+4'

L. Robertone

Substitution, Vélez Sarsfield: L. Feler comes on for L. Robertone.

90+3'

J. García

Yellow card for J. García (Vélez Sarsfield).

90+2'

I. Sabatini

Attempt saved. I. Sabatini (Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza), left-footed shot. xG 0.12.

90'

5 minutes of added time.

90'

T. Aguirre

Yellow card for T. Aguirre (Vélez Sarsfield) for foul.

88'

D. Mondino

Substitution, Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza: I. Sabatini comes on for D. Mondino.

87'

M. Lanzini

Substitution, Vélez Sarsfield: C. Baeza comes on for M. Lanzini.

85'

C. Rigamonti

Yellow card for C. Rigamonti (Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza) for argument.

85'

T. Silvero

Goal! Vélez Sarsfield 1-0 Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza. T. Silvero (Vélez Sarsfield) scores, assisted by L. Robertone.

84'

Vélez Sarsfield

Corner, Vélez Sarsfield.

84'

D. Valdés

Attempt blocked. D. Valdés (Vélez Sarsfield), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

84'

M. Lanzini

Attempt blocked. M. Lanzini (Vélez Sarsfield), right-footed shot. xG 0.05.

82'

L. Paredes

Yellow card for L. Paredes (Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza) for foul.

82'

F. Antonini

Substitution, Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza: M. Úbeda comes on for F. Antonini.

79'

J. C. Policella

Substitution, Vélez Sarsfield: T. Aguirre comes on for J. C. Policella.

79'

S. Escobar

Substitution, Vélez Sarsfield: D. Valdés comes on for S. Escobar.

79'

Vélez Sarsfield

Offside, Vélez Sarsfield.

76'

Vélez Sarsfield

Corner, Vélez Sarsfield.

76'

Vélez Sarsfield

Corner, Vélez Sarsfield.

73'

S. Rodríguez

Attempt missed. S. Rodríguez (Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.03.

72'

J. García

Attempt saved. J. García (Vélez Sarsfield), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

71'

R. Martinez

Attempt blocked. R. Martinez (Vélez Sarsfield), header. xG 0.03.

70'

L. Cingolani

Substitution, Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza: B. Armoa comes on for L. Cingolani.

70'

M. Vargas

Substitution, Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza: S. Rodríguez comes on for M. Vargas.

68'

T. Marchiori

Attempt blocked. T. Marchiori (Vélez Sarsfield), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

67'

Vélez Sarsfield

Corner, Vélez Sarsfield.

66'

Vélez Sarsfield

Corner, Vélez Sarsfield.

65'

Vélez Sarsfield

Corner, Vélez Sarsfield.

64'

S. Escobar

Cleared off the line! S. Escobar (Vélez Sarsfield), left-footed shot. xG 0.09.

64'

Vélez Sarsfield

Corner, Vélez Sarsfield.

62'

A. Modica

Attempt blocked. A. Modica (Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.02.

61'

Vélez Sarsfield

Offside, Vélez Sarsfield.

60'

M. Lanzini

Yellow card for M. Lanzini (Vélez Sarsfield) for argument.

58'

F. Antonini

Yellow card for F. Antonini (Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza) for foul.

56'

R. Aliendro

Attempt missed. R. Aliendro (Vélez Sarsfield), right-footed shot. xG 0.01.

53'

Vélez Sarsfield

Corner, Vélez Sarsfield.

52'

R. Aliendro

Attempt blocked. R. Aliendro (Vélez Sarsfield), right-footed shot. xG 0.06.

46'

S. Escobar

Attempt blocked. S. Escobar (Vélez Sarsfield), left-footed shot. xG 0.08.

46'

E. Fernández

Substitution, Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza: N. Barboza comes on for E. Fernández.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Vélez Sarsfield 0-0 Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza.

45+2'

Vélez Sarsfield

Corner, Vélez Sarsfield.

45'

2 minutes of added time.

45'

M. Vargas

Attempt blocked. M. Vargas (Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.02.

45'

R. Martinez

Attempt missed. R. Martinez (Vélez Sarsfield), left-footed shot. xG 0.05.

44'

F. Lencioni

Attempt blocked. F. Lencioni (Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

43'

J. C. Policella

Attempt missed. J. C. Policella (Vélez Sarsfield), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.34.

41'

J. C. Policella

Attempt saved. J. C. Policella (Vélez Sarsfield), right-footed shot. xG 0.05.

40'

R. Martinez

Attempt saved. R. Martinez (Vélez Sarsfield), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.12.

40'

F. Lencioni

Attempt missed. F. Lencioni (Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.06.

38'

M. Lanzini

Off the woodwork! M. Lanzini (Vélez Sarsfield), header. xG 0.05.

32'

S. Escobar

Yellow card for S. Escobar (Vélez Sarsfield) for foul.

31'

Vélez Sarsfield

Corner, Vélez Sarsfield.

29'

M. Lanzini

Attempt blocked. M. Lanzini (Vélez Sarsfield), left-footed shot. xG 0.10.

29'

M. Lanzini

Attempt missed. M. Lanzini (Vélez Sarsfield), right-footed shot. xG 0.09.

28'

Vélez Sarsfield

Offside, Vélez Sarsfield.

27'

A. Modica

Attempt missed. A. Modica (Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza), right-footed shot. xG 0.13.

25'

M. Lanzini

Attempt missed. M. Lanzini (Vélez Sarsfield), left-footed shot. xG 0.08.

25'

Vélez Sarsfield

Offside, Vélez Sarsfield.

24'

Vélez Sarsfield

Corner, Vélez Sarsfield.

23'

Vélez Sarsfield

Corner, Vélez Sarsfield.

22'

L. Robertone

Attempt missed. L. Robertone (Vélez Sarsfield), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

15'

A. Modica

Attempt blocked. A. Modica (Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.02.

11'

R. Martinez

Attempt saved. R. Martinez (Vélez Sarsfield), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.15.

11'

Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza

Corner, Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza.

10'

F. Lencioni

VAR check complete: the goal for Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza stands.

D. Mondino

Attempt missed. D. Mondino (Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza), header from a corner. xG 0.02.

Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza

Corner, Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza.

A. Modica

Attempt saved. A. Modica (Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza), right-footed shot. xG 0.11.

Kick-off: Vélez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza.

Where the money is

53655 EUR matched · captured 1 week, 6 days ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 35408 EUR · live

Home 2.1 · implied 47.6%

86.2%

+38.6 vs price

Away 6.0 · implied 16.7%

8.3%

-8.4 vs price

Draw 2.8 · implied 35.7%

5.5%

-30.2 vs price

Half time 1000 EUR · live

Draw 1.73 · implied 57.8%

89.1%

+31.3 vs price

Home 3.2 · implied 31.2%

7.5%

-23.8 vs price

Away 7.0 · implied 14.3%

3.2%

-11.1 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 5195 EUR · live

Under 1.22 · implied 82.0%

80.0%

-1.9 vs price

Over 5.5 · implied 18.2%

20.0%

+1.8 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 299 EUR · live

Under 1.02 · implied 98.0%

94.1%

-3.9 vs price

Over 12.5 · implied 8.0%

5.4%

-2.6 vs price

13 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Highlights 1 clip

Player of the match

Match events

10' VAR Goal not given after review · F. Lencioni

32' S. Escobar · Foul

Half-time · 0–0

46' 🔁 N. Barboza ◂ E. Fernández

58' F. Antonini · Foul

60' M. Lanzini · Argument

70' 🔁 S. Rodríguez ◂ M. Vargas

70' 🔁 B. Armoa ◂ L. Cingolani

79' 🔁 D. Valdés ◂ S. Escobar

79' 🔁 T. Aguirre ◂ J. C. Policella

82' 🔁 M. Úbeda ◂ F. Antonini

82' L. Paredes · Foul

85' C. Rigamonti · Argument

85' ⚽ T. Silvero · assist L. Robertone1–0

87' 🔁 C. Baeza ◂ M. Lanzini

88' 🔁 I. Sabatini ◂ D. Mondino

Full-time · 1–0

90' T. Aguirre · Foul

90'⁺³ J. García

90'⁺⁴ 🔁 L. Feler ◂ L. Robertone

90'⁺⁴ 🔁 D. Godoy ◂ R. Martinez

Coaches

Guillermo Schelotto

Dario Franco

Recent form

Vélez Sarsfield

LACA Lanús0-2

DHClub Atlético Platense2-2

WHTigre3-2

DANewell's Old Boys1-1

WHEstudiantes de La Plata1-0

Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza

WHNewell's Old Boys1-0

LAEstudiantes de La Plata0-3

DHDeportivo Riestra0-0

LADefensa y Justicia0-2

DHBoca Juniors2-2

About this match

**Vélez hosting a Mendoza side that's quietly fragile** — the hosts are still humming despite some shaky moments, while Gimnasia are treading water 🔵

Vélez have mixed results lately but stay dangerous at home, winning their last two matches at the Amalfitani. Gimnasia are struggling badly away from their patch, with three straight losses and draws that scream inconsistency. The missing **M. Lanzini** and **M. Pellegrini** sting Vélez's creativity, but they've got enough firepower to exploit a soft Mendoza defense.

Key storylines:

- **Vélez** lean on home advantage and recent form; **L. Magallán** and **T. Silvero** must stay solid against a choppy Gimnasia attack
- **Gimnasia's** road woes are real — only one win in five and a brutal 0-3 drubbing to Estudiantes
- **R. Martinez** and **D. Godoy** in the Vélez front line should find space against a Mendoza side missing **F. Saavedra**

Expected lineups:

- **Vélez Sarsfield**: T. Marchiori, E. Gómez, T. Silvero, L. Magallán, J. García, L. Robertone, R. Aliendro, D. Valdés, D. Godoy, R. Martinez
- **Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza**: C. Rigamonti, E. Muñoz, M. Recalde, L. Paredes, I. Cortez, F. Antonini, E. Fernández, A. Modica

Prediction:

**Vélez 2–0 Gimnasia**. Home turf and form give the locals a clear edge. 🎯

Where to watch

TNT Sports Argentina

Match facts

Stadium

Jose Amalfitani

City

Buenos Aires

Referee

Dario Herrera

5.48 yellows/match · 73 matches

Kickoff

17 Oct, 23:00 UTC

Competition

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Top stats

62%Possession38%

1.5Expected goals (xG)0.73

20Total shots11

6Shots on target2

3Big chances2

12Corners2

Shots

7Shots off target5

7Blocked shots4

14Shots inside box5

6Shots outside box6

1Hit woodwork0

3Big chances missed2

0.42Goals prevented-0.08

Attack

48Touches in box8

67Final third entries39

4Offsides0

11Free kicks9

Passing

495Passes320

402Accurate passes219

29/60 (48%)Long balls32/75 (43%)

9/48 (19%)Crosses2/5 (40%)

30Throw-ins16

Duels

57Duels43

40/66 (61%)Ground duels26/66 (39%)

15/31 (48%)Aerial duels16/31 (52%)

7/13 (54%)Dribbles3/10 (30%)

8Dispossessed16

Defending

23Tackles14

78Tackles won86

12Interceptions15

5Clearances41

63Recoveries58

Discipline

9Fouls11

4Yellow cards3

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

2Saves5

1Big saves0

5Goal kicks7

0Punches2

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 15 bookmakers

Vélez Sarsfield 55%

28%

Gimnasia Mendoza 18%

Who winsVélez Sarsfield to win (DNB) 71% · 1.31 @ Novibet

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 59% · 1.60 @ Bet365

1X2Vélez Sarsfield to win 55% · 2.60 @ Bet365

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 78% · 1.20 @ Bet365

BTTSBTTS: No 52% · 1.80 @ Bet365

CornersOver 8.5 corners 60% · 1.67 @ Bet365

1X2Draw 28% · 2.05 @ Bet365

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 63%

CornersUnder 9.5 corners 52%

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 66% · 1.40 @ Bet365

1X2Gimnasia Mendoza to win 18% · 5.00 @ Bet365

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

1.68

Vélez Sarsfield

3.30

Draw

5.25

Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza

Double Chanceconsensus

1.18

Vélez Sarsfield or Draw

1.36

Vélez Sarsfield or Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza

1.91

Draw or Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.95

Yes

1.77

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.08

Over 0.50

8.00

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.40

Over 1.50

2.75

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

2.30

Over 2.50

1.60

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

4.33

Over 3.50

1.20

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

10.00

Over 4.50

1.06

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.30

Vélez Sarsfield

3.30

Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.67

Over 8.50

2.10

Under 8.50

1X2 (1st Half)consensus

2.60

Vélez Sarsfield

2.05

Draw

5.00

Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza

Full odds via API →

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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