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Leonardo Carol Madelon
Club Atlético Unión de Santa Fe
Estudiantes de La Plata
Club Atlético Unión de Santa Fe
4-4-2 · 4-3-3
Estudiantes de La Plata
Commentary
90'
Full-time. Club Atlético Unión de Santa Fe 3-1 Estudiantes de La Plata.
90+6'
Goal! Club Atlético Unión de Santa Fe 3-1 Estudiantes de La Plata. E. Ramírez (Club Atlético Unión de Santa Fe) scores, assisted by C. Tarragona.
90+3'
Attempt saved. B. Rodriguez (Estudiantes de La Plata), right-footed shot. xG 0.01.
90+2'
Attempt saved. B. Rodriguez (Estudiantes de La Plata), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.02.
90'
6 minutes of added time.
85'
Substitution, Club Atlético Unión de Santa Fe: I. Malcorra comes on for J. Palacios.
74'
Substitution, Club Atlético Unión de Santa Fe: E. Ramírez comes on for M. Estigarribia.
68'
Attempt missed. B. Cuello (Club Atlético Unión de Santa Fe), header from a corner. xG 0.02.
67'
Attempt missed. B. Rodriguez (Estudiantes de La Plata), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.01.
64'
Attempt missed. T. Palacios (Estudiantes de La Plata), header from a set piece. xG 0.03.
64'
Goal! Club Atlético Unión de Santa Fe 2-1 Estudiantes de La Plata. M. Estigarribia (Club Atlético Unión de Santa Fe) scores.
61'
Attempt missed. C. Tarragona (Club Atlético Unión de Santa Fe), right-footed shot. xG 0.10.
60'
Attempt missed. M. Estigarribia (Club Atlético Unión de Santa Fe), header. xG 0.02.
51'
Goal! Club Atlético Unión de Santa Fe 1-1 Estudiantes de La Plata. C. Tarragona (Club Atlético Unión de Santa Fe) scores, assisted by J. Pintado.
46'
The second half is under way.
45'
Half-time. Club Atlético Unión de Santa Fe 0-1 Estudiantes de La Plata.
45+4'
Attempt saved. E. Cetré (Estudiantes de La Plata), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.02.
45'
3 minutes of added time.
45'
Attempt saved. E. Cetré (Estudiantes de La Plata), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.02.
40'
Goal! Club Atlético Unión de Santa Fe 0-1 Estudiantes de La Plata. Own goal by L. Ayala.
33'
Attempt missed. L. G. Pírez (Estudiantes de La Plata), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.08.
25'
Attempt saved. M. Estigarribia (Club Atlético Unión de Santa Fe), header. xG 0.25.
23'
Attempt missed. T. Palacios (Estudiantes de La Plata), header from a set piece. xG 0.04.
21'
Attempt missed. M. Estigarribia (Club Atlético Unión de Santa Fe), header. xG 0.03.
15'
Attempt blocked. T. Palacios (Estudiantes de La Plata), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.06.
6'
Attempt missed. M. Rocha (Club Atlético Unión de Santa Fe), header from a corner. xG 0.01.
3'
Attempt blocked. J. Palacios (Club Atlético Unión de Santa Fe), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.02.
3'
Attempt saved. C. Tarragona (Club Atlético Unión de Santa Fe), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.
1'
Kick-off: Club Atlético Unión de Santa Fe vs Estudiantes de La Plata.
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
86182 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
45.1%
-53.9 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
36.7%
+36.6 vs price
Draw
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
18.4%
+18.3 vs price
Half time
51 EUR
Home
3.55 · implied 28.2%
53.0%
+24.8 vs price
Draw
2.24 · implied 44.6%
45.7%
+1.1 vs price
Away
3.55 · implied 28.2%
3.8%
-24.4 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
47260 EUR · live
Under
2.42 · implied 41.3%
65.4%
+24.0 vs price
Over
1.71 · implied 58.5%
34.6%
-23.8 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
725 EUR
Under
1.09 · implied 91.7%
99.1%
+7.4 vs price
Over
11.0 · implied 9.1%
0.9%
-8.2 vs price
12 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
40'
⚽
L. Ayala0–1
44'
E. Piovi · Persistent fouling
Half-time · 0–1
46'
🔁
J. Pintado ◂ T. Rubio
46'
🔁
M. Luna ◂ M. Peresutti
51'
⚽
C. Tarragona · assist J. Pintado1–1
56'
🔁
I. Isla ◂ M. Rocha
64'
⚽
M. Estigarribia2–1
66'
🔁
B. Aguirre ◂ E. Cetré
66'
🔁
B. S. Barreiro ◂ A. Gaich
74'
🔁
E. Ramírez ◂ M. Estigarribia
75'
L. G. Pírez · Foul
77'
🔁
F. Pérez ◂ E. Mancuso
85'
🔁
I. Malcorra ◂ J. Palacios
88'
🔁
A. Castro ◂ E. Meza
89'
🔁
L. Alario ◂ E. Piovi
Full-time · 3–1
90'+6
⚽
E. Ramírez · assist C. Tarragona3–1
Coaches
Leonardo Carol MadelonAlexander Medina 
Recent form
Club Atlético Unión de Santa FeDADeportivo Riestra1-1
LHDefensa y Justicia0-2
LABoca Juniors0-3
LHCA Independiente1-2
LACA Talleres1-2
Estudiantes de La PlataDAFlamengo0-0
LHSan Lorenzo1-2
DHFlamengo0-0
DACentral Córdoba2-2
WHGimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza3-0
About this match
**Unión's in freefall and Estudiantes smell blood** — a visit from the league's hottest team to a side that's won just once in five. This is classic trap material, but the Pincha have the edge here. 🔴
Unión are limping: four losses in their last five, including hammerings from Boca (3-0) and Defensa y Justicia (2-0). Estudiantes aren't blazing either, but 1W 3D is miles better. The H2H favors the visitors heavy — Estudiantes have won 10 of the last 17 matchups.
Key storylines:
- **Unión's attack needs answers** — M. Estigarribia and C. Tarragona are tasked with breaking a leaky Estudiantes backline, but form suggests it won't happen easily
- **Estudiantes' balance key** — A. Castro and J. Tobio Burgos anchor the midfield while E. Cetré and B. Rodriguez do the creative work upfront
- **Home-field curse** — Unión haven't won at the Estadio 15 de Abril in this form; Estudiantes thrive on the road
Expected lineups:
- **Club Atlético Unión de Santa Fe**: M. Mansilla, L. Ayala, J. Luduena, M. Rocha, B. Cuello, E. Giaccone, M. Luna, C. Tarragona
- **Estudiantes de La Plata**: F. Muslera, L. G. Pírez, S. Núñez, R. Funes Mori, A. Castro, J. Tobio Burgos, E. Cetré, A. Gaich
Prediction:
**Estudiantes 2–0 Unión**. Visitors extend their dominance in this fixture; Unión's injuries and form give little resistance. 📉
Where to watch
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Match facts
Stadium
Estadio 15 de Abril
City
Santa Fe
Kickoff
26 Oct, 22:00 UTC
Competition
Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Highlights & clips
Club Atlético Unión de Santa Fe
4-4-2 · 4-3-3
Estudiantes de La Plata
21
M. Mansilla
7.4
15
J. Pintado
7.7
↑ 46'
33
I. Isla
6.9
↑ 56'
26
J. Luduena
7.4
18
L. Ayala
6.5
10
I. Malcorra
6.7
↑ 85'
11
M. Luna
7.0
↑ 46'
17
J. Mosqueira
7.0
22
B. Cuello
6.1
43
E. Ramírez
7.3
↑ 74'
25
C. Tarragona
7.9
16
F. Muslera
6.5
22
A. Castro
6.4
↑ 88'
14
L. G. Pírez
6.2
24
T. Palacios
6.1
13
G. Benedetti
5.9
10
T. Palacios
6.1
27
L. Alario
6.5
↑ 89'
31
B. Rodriguez
6.9
29
F. Pérez
6.7
↑ 77'
28
B. Aguirre
6.6
↑ 66'
41
B. S. Barreiro
6.6
↑ 66'
Substitutes
40GL. Meuli
27DT. Rubio↓ 46'6.4
4DM. Rocha↓ 56'6.4
44DT. Fagioli
12DB. Pittón
34MM. Peresutti↓ 46'6.7
20MJ. Palacios↓ 85'6.3
23MA. Solari
8ME. Giaccone
19FM. Estigarribia↓ 74'7.7
38FV. Cerrudo
31FM. Aguirre
Coach: Leonardo Carol Madelon
Top stats
36%Possession64%
1.93Expected goals (xG)0.49
15Total shots13
6Shots on target4
4Big chances0
6Corners5
Shots
7Shots off target5
2Blocked shots4
11Shots inside box8
4Shots outside box5
3Big chances scored0
1Big chances missed0
-0.6Goals prevented-0.46
Attack
23Touches in box23
68Final third entries67
4Offsides2
9Free kicks15
2Fouled in final third5
Passing
257Passes469
176Accurate passes383
26/55 (47%)Long balls35/67 (52%)
12/23 (52%)Crosses8/22 (36%)
26Throw-ins22
Duels
51Duels49
25/57 (44%)Ground duels32/57 (56%)
20/31 (65%)Aerial duels11/31 (35%)
3/8 (38%)Dribbles9/16 (56%)
5Dispossessed8
Defending
15Tackles10
67Tackles won70
6Interceptions7
24Clearances22
45Recoveries45
Discipline
15Fouls9
0Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
Goalkeeping
4Saves3
8Goal kicks13
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 14 bookmakers
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 58% · 1.61 @ Bet365
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 78% · 1.22 @ Bet365
1X2Draw 30% · 2.00 @ Bet365
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 70%
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 58%
1X2Estudiantes to win 34% · 3.50 @ Bet365
BTTSBTTS: No 50% · 1.91 @ Bet365
CornersOver 8.5 corners 54% · 2.00 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 69% · 1.36 @ Bet365
Who winsUnión de Santa Fe to win (DNB) 51% · 1.90 @ Betsson
1X2Unión de Santa Fe to win 36% · 3.40 @ Bet365
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.50
Club Atlético Unión de Santa Fe
3.00
Draw
2.70
Estudiantes de La Plata
Double Chanceconsensus
1.40
Club Atlético Unión de Santa Fe or Draw
1.36
Club Atlético Unión de Santa Fe or Estudiantes de La Plata
1.50
Draw or Estudiantes de La Plata
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.85
Yes
1.85
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.08
Over 0.50
8.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.36
Over 1.50
3.00
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.25
Over 2.50
1.61
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
4.00
Over 3.50
1.22
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
9.00
Over 4.50
1.07
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.85
Club Atlético Unión de Santa Fe
1.85
Estudiantes de La Plata
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
2.00
Over 8.50
1.73
Under 8.50
1X2 (1st Half)consensus
3.40
Club Atlético Unión de Santa Fe
2.00
Draw
3.50
Estudiantes de La Plata
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.0%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.0%.
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