Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
**Newell's is the house favorite here, and for good reason** — they're riding solid form while Unión's been all over the map lately. 🔴
Newell's have picked up two wins in their last three and look solid at home in Rosario. Unión, meanwhile, just got blitzed 0-2 at home by Defensa y Justicia, so the confidence is clearly shaky. The head-to-head tilts toward Newell's too — they've won 7 of the last 17 meetings.
Key storylines:
- **M. Cóccaro and F. Gauch** will spearhead Newell's attack against a Unión defence missing L. Vargas at a crucial moment
- **L. Regiardo** anchoring midfield in what should be a balanced battle in the center
- **M. Estigarribia** and **C. Tarragona** need to click for Unión upfront, but their recent form is concerning
Expected lineups:
- **Newell's Old Boys**: J. Reinatti, J. Russo, L. Carrizo, L. Giannetti, M. Ortega, W. Mazzantti, L. Regiardo, L. Rios, S. Solari, F. Gauch, M. Cóccaro
- **Club Atlético Unión de Santa Fe**: M. Mansilla, L. Ayala, J. Luduena, M. Rocha, J. Pintado, B. Cuello, E. Giaccone, M. Luna, J. Palacios, C. Tarragona, M. Estigarribia
Prediction:
**Newell's 2-0 Unión.** Lean toward the hosts capitalizing on Unión's defensive fragility and home-ground edge. ⚪
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.0%.
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