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Martin Paterson
Notts County
Leicester City
Notts County
5-3-2 · 4-1-4-1
Leicester City
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
208332 EUR · live
Away
36.0 · implied 2.8%
58.1%
+55.3 vs price
Draw
1.05 · implied 95.2%
28.5%
-66.7 vs price
Home
50.0 · implied 2.0%
13.4%
+11.3 vs price
Half time
334 EUR
Home
4.6 · implied 21.7%
51.5%
+29.8 vs price
Away
2.82 · implied 35.5%
40.4%
+5.0 vs price
Draw
2.34 · implied 42.7%
7.5%
-35.2 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
105124 EUR · live
Under
1.02 · implied 98.0%
84.1%
-14.0 vs price
Over
36.0 · implied 2.8%
16.0%
+13.2 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
604 EUR
Under
1.14 · implied 87.7%
66.8%
-20.9 vs price
Over
8.6 · implied 11.6%
32.9%
+21.3 vs price
14 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
15'
J. Evans · Foul
21'
M. Paterson · Argument
43'
J. Gibbons · Argument
44'
W. Alves · Foul
Half-time · 0–0
62'
⚽
J. Joseph · assist S. Braybrooke0–1
67'
🔁
C. Grant ◂ J. Evans
67'
🔁
H. Mustapha ◂ C. Roberts
67'
🔁
E. Acquah ◂ L. Smyth
70'
🔁
T. Watson ◂ W. Burns
71'
🔁
H. Choudhury ◂ B. De Cordova-Reid
77'
🔁
H. Howell ◂ W. Alves
81'
⚽
C. Grant1–1
83'
🔁
S. Robertson ◂ D. Campbell
84'
🔁
A. Bristrić ◂ L. Cullen
Full-time · 1–1
Coaches
Martin PatersonRussell Martin 
Recent form
Notts CountyDABurnley1-1
DAWalsall0-0
LHNottingham Forest0-2
LARanders FC1-3
LAViborg FF0-2
Leicester CityWHNorthampton Town1-0
LHGenoa0-1
DAMálaga CF3-3
WACádiz1-0
WABurton Albion3-0
Where to watch
Sky Sports FootballSky Sports Main Event
Arena Sport 1 HR
Sky Sports FootballSky Sports Main Event
Match facts
Stadium
Meadow Lane
City
Nottingham
Kickoff
15 Aug, 11:30 UTC
Competition
League One
Highlights & clips
Notts County
5-3-2 · 4-1-4-1
Leicester City
1
J. Belshaw
6.6
25
N. Tsaroulla
6.8
2
J. Gibbons
6.3
12
L. Ness
7.0
4
J. Bedeau
6.4
14
D. Lipsiuc
6.5
8
O. Cooper
7.1
20
S. Robertson
6.6
↑ 83'
42
H. Mustapha
6.4
↑ 67'
33
E. Acquah
6.5
↑ 67'
11
C. Grant
7.9
↑ 67'
29
A. McCarthy
6.9
2
J. Joseph
7.9
5
C. Okoli
7.2
15
H. Souttar
6.5
33
L. Thomas
7.1
22
O. Skipp
6.3
23
T. Watson
6.6
↑ 70'
36
S. Braybrooke
6.8
9
A. Bristrić
6.5
↑ 84'
20
H. Howell
7.0
↑ 77'
17
H. Choudhury
6.5
↑ 71'
Substitutes
21GH. Griffiths
44DM. Baker
16MD. Campbell↓ 83'7.0
7MC. Roberts↓ 67'6.9
15MJ. Evans↓ 67'6.0
17MQ. Kouhyar
19FL. Smyth↓ 67'6.4
Coach: Martin Paterson
Substitutes
1GJ. Stolarczyk
18DC. McFarlane
56DO. Aluko
37MW. Alves↓ 77'7.3
7MW. Burns↓ 70'6.9
11FL. Cullen↓ 84'6.8
14FB. De cordova-Reid↓ 71'5.7
Coach: Russell Martin
Top stats
31%Possession69%
2.27Expected goals (xG)0.78
16Total shots11
2Shots on target2
6Big chances1
3Corners5
Shots
12Shots off target5
2Blocked shots4
11Shots inside box8
5Shots outside box3
2Hit woodwork0
1Big chances scored0
5Big chances missed1
-0.58Goals prevented0.21
Attack
39Touches in box16
51Final third entries64
3Offsides1
11Free kicks15
3Fouled in final third1
Passing
277Passes638
197Accurate passes562
20/46 (43%)Long balls14/39 (36%)
7/18 (39%)Crosses4/20 (20%)
10Throw-ins17
Duels
45Duels55
36/76 (47%)Ground duels40/76 (53%)
11/28 (39%)Aerial duels17/28 (61%)
5/10 (50%)Dribbles12/19 (63%)
8Dispossessed13
Defending
20Tackles13
75Tackles won46
8Interceptions5
13Clearances28
59Recoveries53
Discipline
15Fouls11
2Yellow cards1
Goalkeeping
1Saves1
11Goal kicks9
0Punches3
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 68 bookmakers
Who winsLeicester to win (DNB) 64% · 1.55 @ forbet
1X2Leicester to win 47% · 2.40 @ efbet.net
CornersOver 9.5 corners 56% · 1.70 @ 10bet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 67% · 1.45 @ BetMGM.uk
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 52% · 1.94 @ betfair
1X2Draw 27% · 2.60 @ efbet.net
BTTSBoth teams to score 52% · 1.85 @ betfair
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 72% · 1.05 @ Novibet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 72% · 1.34 @ betfair
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 55% · 1.74 @ Pinnacle
1X2Notts County to win 26% · 4.10 @ efbet.net
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
3.61
Notts County ▼
3.40
Draw ▼
1.97
Leicester City
Double Chanceconsensus
1.75
Notts County or Draw ▼
1.28
Notts County or Leicester City
1.26
Draw or Leicester City
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.78
Yes
1.92
No ▲
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.05
Over 0.50
9.13
Under 0.50 ▲
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.29
Over 1.50
3.28
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.94
Over 2.50 ▼
1.80
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.30
Over 3.50 ▼
1.29
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
6.42
Over 4.50
1.09
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
2.62
Notts County ▼
1.44
Leicester City ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
13.75
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.04
Over 5.50
11.20
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.09
Over 6.50
6.30
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.21
Over 7.50
3.87
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.40
Over 8.50
2.68
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.63
Over 9.50
2.13
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.05
Over 10.50
1.68
Under 10.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.8%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.8%.
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