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Aaron Ramsey
Oxford United
Milton Keynes Dons
Oxford United
4-2-3-1 · 3-1-4-2
Milton Keynes Dons
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
100692 EUR · live
Away
15.0 · implied 6.7%
68.6%
+61.9 vs price
Draw
1.1 · implied 90.9%
19.0%
-71.9 vs price
Home
42.0 · implied 2.4%
12.4%
+10.0 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
7513 EUR · live
Over
1.23 · implied 81.3%
58.4%
-22.9 vs price
Under
5.5 · implied 18.2%
41.6%
+23.4 vs price
10 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
20'
⚽
M. Harris1–0
29'
⚽
C. Goode · assist D. Barlaser1–1
34'
⚽
A. Collins · assist R. Wintle1–2
Half-time · 1–2
51'
M. Ekpiteta · Foul
63'
C. Brannagan · Argument
64'
🔁
G. O'Donkor ◂ J. McDonnell
69'
🔁
N. Méndez-Laing ◂ A. Collins
74'
🔁
J. Matete ◂ D. Barlaser
74'
🔁
C. Paterson ◂ S. Nombe
76'
C. Goode · Foul
77'
🔁
P. Kioso ◂ B. Spencer
78'
🔁
J. Sanders ◂ C. Goode
78'
🔁
M. Missanga ◂ S. Dembélé
Full-time · 2–2
90'+1
M. Harris · Foul
90'+4
J. Matete · Foul
90'+5
⚽
C. Brown · assist G. O'Donkor2–2
Coaches
Aaron RamseyPaul Warne 
Recent form
Oxford UnitedLALeyton Orient0-2
WHIpswich Town2-0
WHCrawley Town3-1
WABarnet2-1
WAAldershot Town3-1
Milton Keynes DonsLANorwich City1-4
WACheltenham Town2-0
DABarnet0-0
LAWealdstone0-2
LATottenham Hotspur0-1
Match facts
Highlights & clips
Oxford United
4-2-3-1 · 3-1-4-2
Milton Keynes Dons
1
J. Cumming
6.5
30
P. Kioso
7.0
↑ 77'
2
S. Long
7.4
3
C. Brown
7.5
26
J. Currie
6.5
19
G. O'Donkor
6.6
↑ 64'
8
C. Brannagan
7.2
10
A. Emakhu
6.2
11
T. Goodrham
6.3
57
M. Missanga
6.6
↑ 78'
9
M. Harris
7.7
1
C. McGillivray
7.1
21
M. Ekpiteta
6.7
35
C. Nelson
6.5
32
J. Sanders
6.7
↑ 78'
28
J. Matete
6.4
↑ 74'
2
G. Jones
7.1
24
R. Wintle
7.2
26
B. Wiles
6.9
15
C. Bramall
6.2
13
C. Paterson
6.3
↑ 74'
11
N. Méndez-Laing
6.7
↑ 69'
Substitutes
13GS. Eastwood
15DB. Spencer↓ 77'6.8
6DM. Helik
18MJ. McDonnell↓ 64'6.9
23MS. Dembélé↓ 78'6.8
32ML. Sibley
27FL. Snowden
Coach: Aaron Ramsey
Substitutes
51GS. Stacey
5DC. Goode↓ 78'7.6
4MD. Barlaser↓ 74'7.6
7MD. Crowley
47MS. Troso
10FA. Collins↓ 69'7.1
9FS. Nombe↓ 74'6.3
Coach: Paul Warne
Top stats
63%Possession37%
1.14Expected goals (xG)1.76
17Total shots24
4Shots on target6
2Big chances2
8Corners9
Shots
3Shots off target11
10Blocked shots7
10Shots inside box16
7Shots outside box8
0Hit woodwork1
2Big chances scored1
0Big chances missed1
-0.46Goals prevented0.14
Attack
31Touches in box23
58Final third entries75
2Offsides3
14Free kicks14
1Fouled in final third2
Passing
390Passes218
287Accurate passes128
27/64 (42%)Long balls30/74 (41%)
5/24 (21%)Crosses10/27 (37%)
38Throw-ins24
Duels
51Duels49
41/83 (49%)Ground duels42/83 (51%)
24/44 (55%)Aerial duels20/44 (45%)
11/24 (46%)Dribbles5/11 (45%)
11Dispossessed10
Defending
16Tackles24
50Tackles won63
8Interceptions16
43Clearances24
32Recoveries43
Discipline
14Fouls14
2Yellow cards3
Goalkeeping
4Saves2
2Big saves0
10Goal kicks5
1Punches0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 68 bookmakers
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 54% · 1.80 @ betfair
CornersOver 9.5 corners 50% · 1.87 @ Novibet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 61% · 1.53 @ 888Sport
1X2Draw 28% · 2.47 @ efbet.net
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 74% · 1.04 @ Novibet
Who winsOxford Utd to win (DNB) 59% · 1.65 @ merkurxtip
BTTSBoth teams to score 50% · 1.90 @ betinasia
1X2MK Dons to win 29% · 3.60 @ 888Sport
1X2Oxford Utd to win 43% · 2.65 @ efbet.net
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 62% · 1.58 @ Pinnacle
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 70% · 1.40 @ betfair
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.19
Oxford United
3.23
Draw ▼
3.20
Milton Keynes Dons
Double Chanceconsensus
1.31
Oxford United or Draw
1.31
Oxford United or Milton Keynes Dons
1.62
Draw or Milton Keynes Dons
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.81
Yes
1.89
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.06
Over 0.50
8.52
Under 0.50 ▲
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.33
Over 1.50
3.08
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.05
Over 2.50
1.71
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.58
Over 3.50
1.25
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
7.15
Over 4.50
1.08
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.57
Oxford United ▲
2.28
Milton Keynes Dons ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.01
Over 4.50
12.41
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.06
Over 5.50
8.67
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.14
Over 6.50
5.05
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.27
Over 7.50
3.35
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.50
Over 8.50 ▼
2.42
Under 8.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.83
Over 9.50
1.86
Under 9.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.37
Over 10.50
1.51
Under 10.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.8%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.8%.
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