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Johnnie Jackson
AFC Wimbledon
Reading
AFC Wimbledon
3-5-2 · 4-2-3-1
Reading
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
41122 EUR · live
Away
11.0 · implied 9.1%
74.5%
+65.4 vs price
Draw
1.05 · implied 95.2%
17.3%
-77.9 vs price
Home
12.5 · implied 8.0%
8.9%
+0.9 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
15299 EUR · live
Under
1.02 · implied 98.0%
88.3%
-9.7 vs price
Over
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
11.7%
+11.6 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
754 EUR · live
Under
1.07 · implied 93.5%
89.8%
-3.7 vs price
Over
9.4 · implied 10.6%
10.1%
-0.6 vs price
7 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
19'
M. Hippolyte · Foul
29'
P. O’Connor · Argument
29'
R. Johnson · Argument
38'
A. Rinomhota · Foul
Half-time · 0–0
65'
🔁
G. Earthy ◂ J. Stokes
65'
🔁
C. Savage ◂ A. Rinomhota
68'
C. Savage · Foul
75'
🔁
C. Maycock ◂ Z. Nelson
82'
🔁
A. Sasu ◂ J. Stockley
87'
🔁
P. Lane ◂ H. Roberts
87'
🔁
R. Williams ◂ D. Kyerewaa
Full-time · 0–0
90'+1
🔁
S. Sessegnon ◂ M. Hippolyte
90'+5
🔁
J. Brown ◂ K. Lisbie
Coaches
Johnnie JacksonLeam Richardson 
Recent form
AFC WimbledonLAHuddersfield Town0-3
DHNewport County1-1
LHQueens Park Rangers2-3
LAWealdstone0-1
WHCharlton Athletic2-0
ReadingLHLuton Town3-4
DABromley1-1
WHCharlton Athletic3-0
WACrawley Town1-0
WANewport County4-0
Match facts
Kickoff
22 Aug, 14:00 UTC
Competition
League One
Highlights & clips
AFC Wimbledon
3-5-2 · 4-2-3-1
Reading
20
J. McDonnell
7.6
33
I. Ogundere
7.2
26
D. Sweeney
7.2
6
R. Johnson
6.9
7
J. Tilley
7.1
8
C. Maycock
6.5
↑ 75'
12
A. Smith
6.8
2
S. Sessegnon
↑ 90'
3
S. Seddon
6.9
11
M. Browne
6.4
29
A. Sasu
6.4
↑ 82'
1
J. Pereira
7.1
2
U. Godwin-Malife
7.1
15
P. O’Connor
6.9
16
B. Ward
8.2
14
R. Williams
6.6
↑ 87'
10
L. Wing
7.0
8
C. Savage
6.6
↑ 65'
18
J. Brown
↑ 90'
17
G. Earthy
6.5
↑ 65'
32
P. Lane
6.5
↑ 87'
7
J. Marriott
6.0
Substitutes
1GN. Bishop
17DA. Yiadom
10MZ. Nelson↓ 75'7.1
21MM. Hippolyte↓ 90'6.8
5MO. Harrison
9FJ. Stockley↓ 82'7.1
16FA. Hackford
Coach: Johnnie Jackson
Substitutes
25GJ. Stevens
5DH. Roberts↓ 87'6.1
39DA. Ahmed
4MA. Rinomhota↓ 65'6.9
28MJ. Stokes↓ 65'6.7
19MK. Lisbie↓ 90'6.7
11MD. Kyerewaa↓ 87'6.4
Coach: Leam Richardson
Top stats
37%Possession63%
0.34Expected goals (xG)0.9
4Total shots12
2Shots on target3
1Big chances1
7Corners7
Shots
2Shots off target2
0Blocked shots7
4Shots inside box11
0Shots outside box1
0Hit woodwork1
1Big chances missed1
0.51Goals prevented0.07
Attack
16Touches in box33
69Final third entries54
1Offsides5
13Free kicks15
5Fouled in final third1
Passing
254Passes465
162Accurate passes371
21/69 (30%)Long balls15/57 (26%)
7/29 (24%)Crosses4/20 (20%)
23Throw-ins19
Duels
52Duels48
24/48 (50%)Ground duels24/48 (50%)
25/46 (54%)Aerial duels21/46 (46%)
2/6 (33%)Dribbles1/5 (20%)
4Dispossessed5
Defending
9Tackles8
33Tackles won50
14Interceptions6
25Clearances40
39Recoveries39
Discipline
15Fouls13
2Yellow cards3
Goalkeeping
3Saves1
1Big saves0
4Goal kicks7
1Punches2
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 68 bookmakers
CornersOver 8.5 corners 64% · 1.52 @ Unibet
1X2Reading to win 36% · 3.10 @ 888Sport
1X2Draw 27% · 2.50 @ Interwetten
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 51% · 1.15 @ 888Sport
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 74% · 1.30 @ fonbet
BTTSBoth teams to score 53% · 3.40 @ Bet365
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 55% · 2.07 @ Pinnacle
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 73% · 2.21 @ 1xBet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 59% · 1.66 @ Pinnacle
1X2Wimbledon to win 36% · 3.00 @ 1xBet
Who winsWimbledon to win (DNB) 50% · 1.86 @ forbet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.51
AFC Wimbledon ▲
3.30
Draw ▲
2.62
Reading ▼
Double Chanceconsensus
1.43
AFC Wimbledon or Draw ▲
1.29
AFC Wimbledon or Reading
1.48
Draw or Reading ▲
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.75
Yes ▼
1.94
No ▼
Home Win to Nilconsensus
4.33
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
4.50
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.05
Over 0.50
9.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.30
Over 1.50 ▼
3.19
Under 1.50 ▲
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.97
Over 2.50 ▼
1.75
Under 2.50 ▼
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.42
Over 3.50 ▼
1.27
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
7.00
Over 4.50
1.08
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
2.02
AFC Wimbledon
1.70
Reading
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.22
Over 7.50
3.35
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.44
Over 8.50
2.57
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
2.07
Over 9.50
1.64
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.21
Over 10.50
1.60
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
3.00
Over 11.50
1.32
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.8%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.8%.
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