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Russell Martin
Leicester City
Burton Albion
Leicester City
4-1-4-1 · 3-4-2-1
Burton Albion
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
118019 EUR · live
Away
1.07 · implied 93.5%
72.1%
-21.4 vs price
Home
130.0 · implied 0.8%
17.5%
+16.8 vs price
Draw
21.0 · implied 4.8%
10.4%
+5.6 vs price
Half time
1464 EUR · live
Away
1.58 · implied 63.3%
92.2%
+28.9 vs price
Home
10.5 · implied 9.5%
6.4%
-3.2 vs price
Draw
3.45 · implied 29.0%
1.4%
-27.6 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
18583 EUR · live
Over
1.18 · implied 84.7%
67.9%
-16.8 vs price
Under
6.8 · implied 14.7%
32.1%
+17.4 vs price
14 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
5'
⚽
M. Dennis · assist K. Lofthouse0–1
17'
C. Tilt · Foul
25'
⚽
K. Chauke0–2
29'
O. Skipp · Foul
34'
🔁
H. Choudhury ◂ L. Cullen
42'
⚽
W. Burns1–2
Half-time · 1–2
54'
🔁
H. Howell ◂ W. Burns
55'
🔁
T. Watson ◂ W. Alves
55'
🔁
B. De Cordova-Reid ◂ A. Bristrić
63'
S. Krubally · Foul
64'
🔁
W. Collar ◂ S. Krubally
70'
🔁
E. Adeile ◂ M. Dennis
74'
K. Lofthouse · Foul
77'
🔁
L. Page ◂ L. Thomas
81'
G. Bowyer · Argument
83'
B. De Cordova-Reid · Argument
Full-time · 1–2
Coaches
Russell MartinGary Bowyer 
Recent form
Leicester CityDANotts County1-1
WHNorthampton Town1-0
LHGenoa0-1
DAMálaga CF3-3
WACádiz1-0
Burton AlbionDHStevenage1-1
LHBlackburn Rovers1-2
WHDerby County1-0
DASolihull Moors1-1
LHBirmingham City0-1
Match facts
Kickoff
22 Aug, 14:00 UTC
Competition
League One
Highlights & clips
Leicester City
4-1-4-1 · 3-4-2-1
Burton Albion
29
A. McCarthy
6.8
32
O. Aluko
6.1
5
C. Okoli
6.6
15
H. Souttar
7.1
25
L. Page
6.8
↑ 77'
22
O. Skipp
5.0
20
H. Howell
7.1
↑ 54'
36
S. Braybrooke
6.6
17
H. Choudhury
7.1
↑ 34'
23
T. Watson
6.3
↑ 55'
14
B. De Cordova-Reid
6.2
↑ 55'
34
C. Addai
7.0
6
T. Sibbick
6.8
26
F. Delap
7.4
16
C. Tilt
6.7
15
K. Lofthouse
6.5
12
G. Evans
6.8
14
W. Collar
6.3
↑ 64'
3
J. Armer
6.8
4
K. Chauke
8.1
8
C. Webster
6.5
23
E. Adeile
6.9
↑ 70'
Substitutes
1GJ. Stolarczyk
33DL. Thomas↓ 77'6.5
18DC. McFarlane
7MW. Burns↓ 54'7.4
37MW. Alves↓ 55'6.5
9FA. Bristrić↓ 55'6.4
11FL. Cullen↓ 34'6.0
Coach: Russell Martin
Substitutes
27GK. Dudek
24DH. Araujo
20DJ. Sraha
41MS. Krubally↓ 64'6.1
19FM. Dennis↓ 70'7.7
40FZ. Scutt
28FM. Matthews-Lewis
Coach: Gary Bowyer
Top stats
74%Possession26%
1.1Expected goals (xG)0.71
13Total shots13
3Shots on target6
1Big chances0
5Corners3
Shots
5Shots off target4
5Blocked shots3
5Shots inside box7
8Shots outside box6
0Hit woodwork0
1Big chances scored0
-0.27Goals prevented0.21
Attack
15Touches in box11
73Final third entries46
0Offsides4
19Free kicks13
6Fouled in final third2
Passing
588Passes215
502Accurate passes146
13/40 (33%)Long balls14/50 (28%)
5/23 (22%)Crosses1/6 (17%)
21Throw-ins18
Duels
49Duels51
45/89 (51%)Ground duels44/89 (49%)
11/26 (42%)Aerial duels15/26 (58%)
9/20 (45%)Dribbles3/9 (33%)
17Dispossessed11
Defending
17Tackles28
47Tackles won50
6Interceptions18
11Clearances28
45Recoveries48
Discipline
13Fouls19
1Yellow cards3
1Red cards0
Goalkeeping
4Saves2
2Big saves1
7Goal kicks9
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 66 bookmakers
Who winsLeicester to win (DNB) 79% · 1.26 @ forbet
CornersOver 9.5 corners 55% · 1.79 @ Unibet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 67% · 1.49 @ Unibet
1X2Draw 27% · 2.85 @ Unibet
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 51% · 1.22 @ 1xBet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 73% · 1.50 @ msport
BTTSBoth teams to score 53% · 3.30 @ William Hill
1X2Burton to win 31% · 5.20 @ 1xBet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 73% · 1.91 @ 888Sport
1X2Leicester to win 42% · 1.85 @ 10bet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 63% · 1.73 @ Pinnacle
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.48
Leicester City ▲
4.28
Draw ▲
5.73
Burton Albion ▲
Double Chanceconsensus
1.12
Leicester City or Draw ▲
1.19
Leicester City or Burton Albion ▲
2.44
Draw or Burton Albion ▼
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.74
Yes ▲
1.95
No ▼
Home Win to Nilconsensus
2.65
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
9.50
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.02
Over 0.50
13.35
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.19
Over 1.50 ▲
4.21
Under 1.50 ▼
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.63
Over 2.50 ▲
2.16
Under 2.50 ▲
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.55
Over 3.50 ▲
1.45
Under 3.50 ▼
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.00
Over 4.50
1.17
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.17
Leicester City
4.48
Burton Albion
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.20
Over 7.50
3.55
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.36
Over 8.50
2.72
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.66
Over 9.50
2.10
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.45
Over 10.50
1.44
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.88
Over 11.50
1.36
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.8%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.8%.
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