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Paul Warne
Milton Keynes Dons
Huddersfield Town
Milton Keynes Dons
3-1-4-2 · 3-4-1-2
Huddersfield Town
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Over/Under 2.5 goals
2212 EUR · live
Over
2.06 · implied 48.5%
74.4%
+25.9 vs price
Under
1.93 · implied 51.8%
25.6%
-26.2 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
458 EUR · live
Under
1.17 · implied 85.5%
69.9%
-15.6 vs price
Over
5.9 · implied 16.9%
29.9%
+13.0 vs price
5 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
9'
⚽
J. Taylor · assist R. Ledson0–1
Half-time · 0–1
54'
⚽
A. Collins · assist B. Wiles1–1
61'
A. Collins · Simulation
65'
🔁
B. Radulović ◂ J. Taylor
69'
🔁
C. Paterson ◂ S. Nombe
69'
🔁
R. Barnett ◂ G. Jones
75'
🔁
D. Kasumu ◂ A. Fletcher
80'
B. Radulović · Foul
82'
D. Kasumu · Foul
84'
🔁
G. Sebine ◂ D. S. Fernandes
84'
🔁
D. Crowley ◂ A. Collins
Full-time · 1–1
Coaches
Paul WarneMartin Drury 
Recent form
Milton Keynes DonsDAOxford United2-2
LANorwich City1-4
WACheltenham Town2-0
DABarnet0-0
LAWealdstone0-2
Huddersfield TownWHAFC Wimbledon3-0
DAPreston North End1-1
DHBlackburn Rovers1-1
WAMiddlesbrough3-1
WHOldham Athletic3-1
Match facts
Kickoff
22 Aug, 14:00 UTC
Competition
League One
Highlights & clips
Milton Keynes Dons
3-1-4-2 · 3-4-1-2
Huddersfield Town
1
C. McGillivray
8.4
21
M. Ekpiteta
7.9
35
C. Nelson
7.2
5
C. Goode
6.8
4
D. Barlaser
8.3
19
R. Barnett
7.0
↑ 69'
24
R. Wintle
7.1
26
B. Wiles
6.4
15
C. Bramall
7.4
13
C. Paterson
6.4
↑ 69'
7
D. Crowley
6.6
↑ 84'
1
M. Young
6.9
12
R. Balker
7.1
3
M. Wallace
6.9
15
I. Bowat
6.9
22
I. Bronkhorst
7.0
4
R. Ledson
6.8
10
M. Harness
6.3
27
J. Smith-Sway
7.3
26
G. Sebine
6.6
↑ 84'
18
D. Kasumu
6.4
↑ 75'
25
B. Radulović
6.4
↑ 65'
Substitutes
51GS. Stacey
32DJ. Sanders
2MG. Jones↓ 69'6.4
10MA. Collins↓ 84'
28MJ. Matete
9FS. Nombe↓ 69'7.0
11FN. Méndez-Laing
Coach: Paul Warne
Substitutes
33GN. Tzanev
5DJ. Low
30MD. S. Fernandes↓ 84'6.6
7ML. Gooch
8MA. Collins
9FJ. Taylor↓ 65'8.1
11FA. Fletcher↓ 75'6.5
Coach: Martin Drury
Top stats
53%Possession47%
1.33Expected goals (xG)2.57
15Total shots18
3Shots on target8
1Big chances7
3Corners4
Shots
8Shots off target7
4Blocked shots3
14Shots inside box15
1Shots outside box3
0Hit woodwork2
0Big chances scored1
1Big chances missed6
0.7Goals prevented-0.24
Attack
32Touches in box28
92Final third entries53
0Offsides1
14Free kicks6
2Fouled in final third0
Passing
375Passes348
285Accurate passes263
34/79 (43%)Long balls26/66 (39%)
14/30 (47%)Crosses2/14 (14%)
19Throw-ins23
Duels
56Duels44
31/53 (58%)Ground duels22/53 (42%)
37/69 (54%)Aerial duels32/69 (46%)
4/10 (40%)Dribbles5/13 (38%)
7Dispossessed5
Defending
13Tackles13
77Tackles won77
9Interceptions8
30Clearances46
54Recoveries49
Discipline
6Fouls14
1Yellow cards2
Goalkeeping
6Saves2
2Big saves0
6Goal kicks9
0Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 69 bookmakers
CornersOver 9.5 corners 54% · 1.77 @ 10bet
1X2MK Dons to win 51% · 2.90 @ 888Sport
CornersOver 8.5 corners 62% · 1.45 @ Unibet
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 56% · 4.50 @ 888Sport
BTTSBoth teams to score 56% · 3.25 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 78% · 2.05 @ 888Sport
1X2Draw 24% · 2.50 @ Bet365
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 67% · 1.40 @ Betway
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 61% · 1.73 @ betfair
1X2Huddersfield to win 25% · 2.95 @ msport
Who winsMK Dons to win (DNB) 51% · 1.83 @ merkurxtip
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.56
Milton Keynes Dons
3.28
Draw ▼
2.57
Huddersfield Town
Double Chanceconsensus
1.45
Milton Keynes Dons or Draw
1.29
Milton Keynes Dons or Huddersfield Town ▼
1.45
Draw or Huddersfield Town
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.66
Yes
2.08
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
4.50
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
4.50
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50
9.34
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.26
Over 1.50
3.51
Under 1.50 ▲
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.85
Over 2.50 ▲
1.88
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.05
Over 3.50 ▲
1.33
Under 3.50 ▲
Total Goals 4.50consensus
6.00
Over 4.50
1.10
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.82
Milton Keynes Dons
1.87
Huddersfield Town
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.21
Over 7.50
3.35
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.40
Over 8.50
2.50
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.70
Over 9.50
2.01
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.15
Over 10.50
1.64
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.75
Over 11.50
1.37
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.8%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.8%.
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