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Luke Williams
Peterborough United
Mansfield Town
Peterborough United
4-2-3-1 · 3-1-4-2
Mansfield Town
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
34772 EUR · live
Away
950.0 · implied 0.1%
49.9%
+49.8 vs price
Draw
21.0 · implied 4.8%
25.8%
+21.0 vs price
Home
1.05 · implied 95.2%
24.3%
-70.9 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
1276 EUR
Over
1.73 · implied 57.8%
56.2%
-1.6 vs price
Under
2.3 · implied 43.5%
43.7%
+0.2 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
487 EUR · live
Under
1.09 · implied 91.7%
99.8%
+8.1 vs price
Over
0.0%
7 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
Half-time · 0–0
50'
⚽
B. Woods1–0
54'
B. Khela · Foul
60'
⚽
M. Smith · assist R. Oates1–1
66'
C. Johnston · Simulation
68'
🔁
O. Dodgson ◂ S. McLaughlin
68'
🔁
R. Hendry ◂ J. Russell
68'
🔁
B. Shofowoke ◂ O. Edwards
69'
🔁
E. Hewitt ◂ M. Smith
71'
🔁
C. Conn-Clarke ◂ B. Woods
77'
🔁
N. Moriah-Welsh ◂ F. Blake-Tracy
79'
R. Oates · Foul
80'
🔁
V. Masara ◂ E. Williams
80'
🔁
H. Jones ◂ L. Kelly
85'
🔁
G. Maris ◂ L. Thompson
87'
R. Sweeney · Foul
Full-time · 2–1
90'+3
⚽
H. Leonard2–1
Coaches
Luke WilliamsNigel Clough 
Recent form
Peterborough UnitedLABradford City0-2
WABristol Rovers1-0
LHWest Bromwich Albion0-2
WAYork City2-1
LABoston United0-1
Mansfield TownWHDoncaster Rovers2-1
LHSheffield United0-3
LHDerby County1-3
WAAlfreton Town FC4-0
LABarrow AFC3-4
Match facts
Kickoff
22 Aug, 14:00 UTC
Competition
League One
Highlights & clips
Peterborough United
4-2-3-1 · 3-1-4-2
Mansfield Town
1
A. Bass
6.2
2
C. Johnston
7.4
15
G. Nevett
6.9
6
T. O'Connor
7.1
3
E. Weir
7.1
7
H. Jones
6.7
↑ 80'
20
C. Conn-Clarke
6.9
↑ 71'
19
B. Shofowoke
6.7
↑ 68'
8
B. Khela
6.6
17
V. Masara
6.4
↑ 80'
9
H. Leonard
7.6
1
L. Roberts
6.0
23
A. Oshilaja
6.5
22
N. Moriah-Welsh
6.3
↑ 77'
5
R. Sweeney
6.6
25
L. Reed
7.0
7
L. Akins
6.1
24
R. Hendry
6.8
↑ 68'
10
G. Maris
6.5
↑ 85'
39
O. Dodgson
6.3
↑ 68'
18
R. Oates
7.1
4
E. Hewitt
6.3
↑ 69'
Substitutes
31GB. Smith
33DJ. Dornelly
14DH. Mills
16MB. Woods↓ 71'7.9
11MO. Edwards↓ 68'6.9
4ML. Kelly↓ 80'6.6
10ME. Williams↓ 80'6.5
Coach: Luke Williams
Substitutes
21GH. Lewis
20DF. Blake-Tracy↓ 77'7.4
3DS. McLaughlin↓ 68'6.2
2DK. Knoyle
13MJ. Russell↓ 68'6.7
16ML. Thompson↓ 85'6.5
14FM. Smith↓ 69'7.3
Coach: Nigel Clough
Top stats
65%Possession35%
1.49Expected goals (xG)1.37
15Total shots10
5Shots on target4
2Big chances3
6Corners3
Shots
5Shots off target4
5Blocked shots2
8Shots inside box7
7Shots outside box3
0Hit woodwork0
2Big chances scored1
0Big chances missed2
0.16Goals prevented-1.2
Attack
29Touches in box12
87Final third entries68
1Offsides1
18Free kicks9
2Fouled in final third1
Passing
538Passes278
441Accurate passes188
20/64 (31%)Long balls23/68 (34%)
3/25 (12%)Crosses3/15 (20%)
24Throw-ins25
Duels
50Duels50
31/65 (48%)Ground duels34/65 (52%)
19/35 (54%)Aerial duels16/35 (46%)
6/12 (50%)Dribbles10/16 (63%)
10Dispossessed4
Defending
10Tackles16
80Tackles won44
6Interceptions21
29Clearances33
50Recoveries52
Discipline
9Fouls18
2Yellow cards2
Goalkeeping
2Saves3
3Goal kicks8
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 68 bookmakers
Who winsMansfield to win (DNB) 53% · 1.78 @ forbet
CornersOver 9.5 corners 53% · 1.83 @ boylesports
CornersOver 8.5 corners 65% · 1.45 @ Unibet
BTTSBoth teams to score 57% · 2.75 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 56% · 3.60 @ 888Sport
1X2Mansfield to win 34% · 2.65 @ forbet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 78% · 1.83 @ 1xBet
1X2Draw 25% · 2.75 @ msport
1X2Peterborough Utd to win 40% · 3.00 @ betcity
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 67% · 1.57 @ betfair
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 58% · 1.78 @ Pinnacle
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.71
Peterborough United ▼
3.52
Draw ▲
2.33
Mansfield Town ▼
Double Chanceconsensus
1.54
Peterborough United or Draw ▲
1.26
Peterborough United or Mansfield Town ▼
1.41
Draw or Mansfield Town ▲
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.51
Yes
2.37
No ▼
Home Win to Nilconsensus
5.50
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
4.75
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.02
Over 0.50
13.55
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.18
Over 1.50
4.37
Under 1.50 ▲
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.61
Over 2.50
2.19
Under 2.50 ▼
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.49
Over 3.50 ▼
1.47
Under 3.50 ▼
Total Goals 4.50consensus
4.51
Over 4.50
1.17
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.96
Peterborough United
1.75
Mansfield Town
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.16
Over 7.50
3.62
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.33
Over 8.50
2.78
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.74
Over 9.50
1.95
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
1.98
Over 10.50
1.73
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.55
Over 11.50
1.44
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.8%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.8%.
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