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Paul Warne
Milton Keynes Dons
Leicester City
Milton Keynes Dons
5-3-2 · 4-1-4-1
Leicester City
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
92443 EUR · live
Away
95.0 · implied 1.1%
40.4%
+39.3 vs price
Home
20.0 · implied 5.0%
34.6%
+29.6 vs price
Draw
1.02 · implied 98.0%
26.0%
-72.1 vs price
Half time
848 EUR · live
Away
10.0 · implied 10.0%
55.8%
+45.8 vs price
Draw
1.06 · implied 94.3%
26.3%
-68.0 vs price
Home
370.0 · implied 0.3%
17.8%
+17.5 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
24209 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
64.8%
-34.2 vs price
Over
60.0 · implied 1.7%
36.1%
+34.4 vs price
11 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
36'
🔁
A. Bristrić ◂ C. Chaplin
Half-time · 0–0
48'
L. Thomas · Foul
56'
🔁
R. Barnett ◂ G. Jones
56'
🔁
C. Paterson ◂ A. Collins
60'
🔁
H. Howell ◂ W. Burns
71'
🔁
A. Gilbey ◂ B. Wiles
80'
🔁
S. Silvera ◂ D. Barlaser
80'
H. Souttar · Foul
81'
🔁
J. Sanders ◂ C. Goode
82'
🔁
L. Cullen ◂ B. De Cordova-Reid
82'
🔁
W. Alves ◂ T. Watson
Full-time · 0–0
90'+2
L. Cullen · Argument
Coaches
Paul WarneRussell Martin 
Recent form
Milton Keynes DonsDHHuddersfield Town1-1
DAOxford United2-2
LANorwich City1-4
WACheltenham Town2-0
DABarnet0-0
Leicester CityLAIpswich Town1-3
LHBurton Albion1-2
DANotts County1-1
WHNorthampton Town1-0
LHGenoa0-1
Where to watch
Sky Sports+
Sky Sports+
Match facts
Kickoff
29 Aug, 11:30 UTC
Competition
League One
Highlights & clips
Milton Keynes Dons
5-3-2 · 4-1-4-1
Leicester City
1
C. McGillivray
9.4
19
R. Barnett
7.2
↑ 56'
21
M. Ekpiteta
6.9
32
J. Sanders
6.6
↑ 81'
35
C. Nelson
7.5
15
C. Bramall
6.6
24
R. Wintle
6.6
17
S. Silvera
6.5
↑ 80'
8
A. Gilbey
6.5
↑ 71'
13
C. Paterson
6.7
↑ 56'
9
S. Nombe
6.6
1
J. Stolarczyk
7.1
2
J. Joseph
7.7
15
H. Souttar
8.3
33
L. Thomas
7.2
18
C. McFarlane
7.5
25
L. Page
7.1
20
H. Howell
6.9
↑ 60'
9
A. Bristrić
6.6
↑ 36'
36
S. Braybrooke
6.7
37
W. Alves
6.9
↑ 82'
11
L. Cullen
6.7
↑ 82'
Substitutes
23GW. Dennis
5DC. Goode↓ 81'6.9
4MD. Barlaser↓ 80'7.2
2MG. Jones↓ 56'6.6
26MB. Wiles↓ 71'6.6
7MD. Crowley
10FA. Collins↓ 56'6.5
Coach: Paul Warne
Substitutes
29GA. McCarthy
32DO. Aluko
24DI. Kangasniemi
23MT. Watson↓ 82'6.6
14MB. De Cordova-Reid↓ 82'6.5
8MC. Chaplin↓ 36'6.3
7MW. Burns↓ 60'6.2
Coach: Russell Martin
Top stats
24%Possession76%
0.57Expected goals (xG)1.53
7Total shots24
1Shots on target7
1Big chances2
4Corners9
Shots
5Shots off target9
1Blocked shots8
6Shots inside box11
1Shots outside box13
0Hit woodwork2
1Big chances missed2
1.58Goals prevented0.18
Attack
15Touches in box41
41Final third entries82
1Offsides1
6Free kicks9
1Fouled in final third2
Passing
197Passes643
128Accurate passes574
22/58 (38%)Long balls9/29 (31%)
3/18 (17%)Crosses7/29 (24%)
18Throw-ins23
Duels
40Duels60
21/50 (42%)Ground duels29/50 (58%)
11/30 (37%)Aerial duels19/30 (63%)
4/10 (40%)Dribbles7/11 (64%)
7Dispossessed8
Defending
12Tackles13
25Tackles won77
8Interceptions3
39Clearances18
47Recoveries49
Discipline
9Fouls6
0Yellow cards3
Goalkeeping
7Saves1
2Big saves0
16Goal kicks4
1Punches0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 23 bookmakers
Who winsMK Dons to win (DNB) 76% · 1.75 @ Betsson
CornersOver 9.5 corners 53% · 1.60 @ betfair
CornersOver 8.5 corners 64% · 1.33 @ betfair
BTTSBoth teams to score 59% · 2.90 @ William Hill
1X2Leicester to win 36% · 2.89 @ 1xBet
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 55% · 4.00 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 77% · 1.95 @ William Hill
1X2Draw 27% · 2.60 @ Bet365
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 66% · 1.46 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 58% · 1.92 @ Pinnacle
1X2MK Dons to win 37% · 3.10 @ 10bet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.49
Milton Keynes Dons
3.45
Draw
2.63
Leicester City
Double Chanceconsensus
1.44
Milton Keynes Dons or Draw
1.27
Milton Keynes Dons or Leicester City
1.47
Draw or Leicester City
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.55
Yes
2.30
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
5.50
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
4.50
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.02
Over 0.50
13.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.22
Over 1.50
3.99
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.72
Over 2.50
2.10
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.75
Over 3.50
1.41
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.22
Over 4.50
1.13
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.70
Milton Keynes Dons
2.05
Leicester City
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.14
Over 7.50
4.25
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.30
Over 8.50
3.00
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.52
Over 9.50
2.32
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
1.85
Over 10.50
1.85
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.29
Over 11.50
1.54
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.8%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.8%.
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