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Johnnie Jackson
AFC Wimbledon
Wigan Athletic
AFC Wimbledon
3-5-2 · 3-4-2-1
Wigan Athletic
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
53431 EUR · live
Home
1.04 · implied 96.2%
53.9%
-42.3 vs price
Draw
26.0 · implied 3.8%
24.3%
+20.4 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
21.9%
+21.8 vs price
Half time
237 EUR · live
Away
4.9 · implied 20.4%
73.3%
+52.9 vs price
Home
3.7 · implied 27.0%
21.9%
-5.1 vs price
Draw
2.06 · implied 48.5%
3.8%
-44.8 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
13962 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
84.0%
-15.0 vs price
Over
55.0 · implied 1.8%
16.0%
+14.2 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
196 EUR · live
Under
1.06 · implied 94.3%
87.6%
-6.7 vs price
Over
55.0 · implied 1.8%
11.7%
+9.9 vs price
11 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
12'
🔁
A. Harris ◂ A. Higgins
21'
A. Harris · Argument
22'
G. Caldwell · Argument
25'
J. Mellish · Foul
Half-time · 0–0
45'+3
Weir · Foul
65'
J. Carragher · Foul
67'
🔁
O. Harrison ◂ Z. Nelson
67'
🔁
J. Nkeng ◂ J. Tilley
68'
🔁
D. McNeilly ◂ A. Sasu
68'
🔁
S. Sessegnon ◂ R. Johnson
73'
S. Sessegnon · Foul
74'
🔁
L. Harris ◂ S. Perkins
75'
O. Harrison · Foul
77'
A. Smith · Foul
84'
🔁
J. Mullen ◂ F. Burns
84'
🔁
K. Miller ◂ C. Barrett
86'
🔁
A. Yiadom ◂ I. Ogundere
88'
⚽
M. Hippolyte · assist D. McNeilly1–0
Full-time · 1–0
90'+6
S. Seddon · Time wasting
Coaches
Johnnie JacksonGary Caldwell 
Recent form
AFC WimbledonLAFulham0-3
DHReading0-0
LAHuddersfield Town0-3
DHNewport County1-1
LHQueens Park Rangers2-3
Wigan AthleticLHLeyton Orient0-2
LACambridge United2-3
DABarnsley1-1
LAGrimsby Town0-2
DASouthport FC0-0
Match facts
Highlights & clips
AFC Wimbledon
3-5-2 · 3-4-2-1
Wigan Athletic
20
J. McDonnell
7.5
17
A. Yiadom
6.6
↑ 86'
26
D. Sweeney
7.5
2
S. Sessegnon
6.6
↑ 68'
30
J. Nkeng
6.6
↑ 67'
5
O. Harrison
6.6
↑ 67'
12
A. Smith
6.6
21
M. Hippolyte
7.3
3
S. Seddon
7.5
19
D. McNeilly
6.9
↑ 68'
9
J. Stockley
6.1
1
J. Walsh
7.0
23
J. Carragher
7.8
21
K. Miller
6.4
↑ 84'
22
J. Mellish
6.8
4
J. Mullen
6.3
↑ 84'
8
M. Power
7.0
10
R. Walsh
7.0
6
Weir
6.7
11
D. Costelloe
7.4
13
L. Harris
6.2
↑ 74'
16
A. Harris
6.6
↑ 12'
Substitutes
1GN. Bishop
6DR. Johnson↓ 68'7.0
33DI. Ogundere↓ 86'6.9
10MZ. Nelson↓ 67'6.8
7MJ. Tilley↓ 67'6.7
8MC. Maycock
29FA. Sasu↓ 68'6.7
Coach: Johnnie Jackson
Substitutes
5DF. Burns↓ 84'7.3
15DL. Chapman
2MC. Barrett↓ 84'6.5
18MC. Gray
17FA. Higgins↓ 12'6.4
9FS. Perkins↓ 74'5.3
19FC. Sze
Coach: Gary Caldwell
Top stats
43%Possession57%
0.72Expected goals (xG)2.99
13Total shots16
2Shots on target5
1Big chances6
5Corners9
Shots
7Shots off target9
4Blocked shots2
7Shots inside box14
6Shots outside box2
0Hit woodwork1
1Big chances scored0
0Big chances missed6
0.43Goals prevented-0.34
Attack
19Touches in box24
66Final third entries50
1Offsides1
11Free kicks14
3Fouled in final third2
Passing
312Passes412
211Accurate passes324
21/69 (30%)Long balls23/56 (41%)
8/24 (33%)Crosses7/27 (26%)
30Throw-ins19
Duels
45Duels55
29/62 (47%)Ground duels33/62 (53%)
26/59 (44%)Aerial duels33/59 (56%)
3/9 (33%)Dribbles7/16 (44%)
9Dispossessed6
Defending
15Tackles15
53Tackles won60
8Interceptions6
21Clearances32
36Recoveries44
Discipline
14Fouls11
4Yellow cards4
Goalkeeping
5Saves1
2Big saves0
9Goal kicks7
0Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers
CornersOver 9.5 corners 55% · 1.74 @ Pinnacle
1X2Wigan to win 41% · 2.70 @ William Hill
CornersOver 8.5 corners 67% · 1.40 @ betfair
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 55% · 1.15 @ William Hill
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 76% · 1.27 @ BetVictor
1X2Draw 29% · 2.43 @ Unibet
BTTSBoth teams to score 51% · 3.55 @ 10bet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 69% · 2.27 @ 1xBet
Who winsWimbledon to win (DNB) 53% · 2.25 @ Bet365
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 55% · 1.70 @ 10bet
1X2Wimbledon to win 30% · 3.48 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
3.10
AFC Wimbledon
3.25
Draw
2.25
Wigan Athletic
Double Chanceconsensus
1.57
AFC Wimbledon or Draw
1.29
AFC Wimbledon or Wigan Athletic
1.33
Draw or Wigan Athletic
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.77
Yes
1.95
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
5.25
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
3.85
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.06
Over 0.50
8.55
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.35
Over 1.50
3.10
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.08
Over 2.50
1.72
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.73
Over 3.50
1.25
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
7.75
Over 4.50
1.06
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
2.15
AFC Wimbledon
1.62
Wigan Athletic
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.20
Over 7.50
3.70
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.39
Over 8.50
2.70
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.70
Over 9.50
2.05
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.12
Over 10.50
1.65
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.67
Over 11.50
1.36
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.8%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.8%.
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