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Alex Revell
Stevenage
Doncaster Rovers
Stevenage
3-4-1-2 · 4-2-2-2
Doncaster Rovers
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
52488 EUR · live
Home
10.5 · implied 9.5%
79.8%
+70.3 vs price
Draw
1.1 · implied 90.9%
12.4%
-78.5 vs price
Away
12.5 · implied 8.0%
8.7%
+0.7 vs price
Half time
124 EUR · live
Draw
1.7 · implied 58.8%
67.1%
+8.3 vs price
Away
5.2 · implied 19.2%
31.5%
+12.3 vs price
Home
0.0%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
9890 EUR · live
Under
1.54 · implied 64.9%
73.0%
+8.1 vs price
Over
2.7 · implied 37.0%
27.0%
-10.1 vs price
4 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
40'
I. Hutchinson · Foul
Half-time · 0–0
46'
🔁
B. McCann ◂ H. Adelakun
56'
J. McGrath · Foul
57'
⚽
J. Magennis · assist P. Patterson1–0
63'
🔁
G. Broadbent ◂ D. Robinson
64'
🔁
B. Hanlan ◂ I. Hutchinson
64'
🔁
S. Grehan ◂ J. McGrath
64'
🔁
L. Ayinde ◂ T. O'Reilly
70'
⚽
J. Senior1–1
71'
🔁
M. Mellon ◂ J. Roberts
71'
🔁
T. Taylor ◂ L. Thompson
71'
🔁
O. Sanderson ◂ J. Magennis
76'
J. Senior · Foul
80'
⚽
O. Bailey · assist B. McCann1–2
82'
⚽
O. Sanderson · assist P. Patterson2–2
Full-time · 2–2
90'+4
🔁
S. Earley ◂ P. Patterson
Coaches
Alex RevellGrant McCann 
Recent form
StevenageLHReading0-3
LHOxford United1-2
DABurton Albion1-1
WAWycombe Wanderers2-1
WHColchester United1-0
Doncaster RoversLHMiddlesbrough1-3
DHBarnsley0-0
LAMansfield Town1-2
DAStockport County1-1
LHLincoln City0-1
Match facts
Kickoff
29 Aug, 14:00 UTC
Competition
League One
Highlights & clips
Stevenage
3-4-1-2 · 4-2-2-2
Doncaster Rovers
1
F. Marschall
6.0
15
T. Vancooten
6.4
5
C. Piergianni
6.5
6
L. Freestone
6.9
2
L. James-Wildin
6.8
7
T. Taylor
6.7
↑ 71'
8
D. Phillips
6.8
14
S. Earley
↑ 90'
10
D. Kemp
6.6
18
O. Sanderson
7.7
↑ 71'
28
M. Mellon
6.6
↑ 71'
1
T. Simkin
6.0
4
O. Bailey
7.1
12
N. Byrne
6.5
27
S. Grehan
6.4
↑ 64'
23
J. Senior
6.7
8
G. Broadbent
6.5
↑ 63'
22
R. Gotts
7.1
11
L. Ayinde
6.2
↑ 64'
25
B. McCann
6.0
↑ 46'
10
A. May
6.3
9
B. Hanlan
6.2
↑ 64'
Substitutes
12GD. Barden
44MP. Patterson↓ 90'7.3
23ML. Thompson↓ 71'6.9
11MJ. Roberts↓ 71'6.7
4MJ. Houghton
26MJ. Knight
9FJ. Magennis↓ 71'7.4
Coach: Alex Revell
Substitutes
42GJ. Clarke
6DJ. McGrath↓ 64'6.6
7MT. O'Reilly↓ 64'6.2
21MI. Hutchinson↓ 64'6.2
20MD. Robinson↓ 63'6.1
19MJ. Thomas
47FH. Adelakun↓ 46'6.6
Coach: Grant McCann
Top stats
46%Possession54%
0.47Expected goals (xG)0.65
9Total shots12
5Shots on target4
2Big chances1
9Corners9
Shots
2Shots off target1
2Blocked shots7
7Shots inside box6
2Shots outside box6
0Hit woodwork0
1Big chances scored1
1Big chances missed0
-1.3Goals prevented-0.96
Attack
13Touches in box14
78Final third entries55
3Offsides1
16Free kicks9
2Fouled in final third3
Passing
307Passes357
210Accurate passes252
25/75 (33%)Long balls18/58 (31%)
8/26 (31%)Crosses3/26 (12%)
22Throw-ins38
Duels
63Duels37
28/46 (61%)Ground duels18/46 (39%)
24/36 (67%)Aerial duels12/36 (33%)
3/6 (50%)Dribbles2/6 (33%)
4Dispossessed6
Defending
10Tackles7
60Tackles won100
7Interceptions5
39Clearances21
47Recoveries39
Discipline
9Fouls16
0Yellow cards3
Goalkeeping
2Saves3
0Big saves2
2Goal kicks9
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 55% · 1.14 @ William Hill
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 76% · 1.26 @ BetVictor
1X2Draw 29% · 2.38 @ Unibet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 66% · 1.57 @ betfair
CornersOver 8.5 corners 57% · 1.51 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 55% · 1.95 @ betfair
1X2Doncaster to win 30% · 3.52 @ 1xBet
BTTSBoth teams to score 51% · 3.50 @ Bet365
1X2Stevenage to win 41% · 2.62 @ 10bet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 69% · 2.30 @ William Hill
Who winsStevenage to win (DNB) 53% · 1.67 @ Bet365
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.25
Stevenage
3.25
Draw
3.10
Doncaster Rovers
Double Chanceconsensus
1.33
Stevenage or Draw
1.29
Stevenage or Doncaster Rovers
1.58
Draw or Doncaster Rovers
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.82
Yes
1.88
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
3.70
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
5.50
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.05
Over 0.50
8.50
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.36
Over 1.50
3.00
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.10
Over 2.50
1.70
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.80
Over 3.50
1.25
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
8.00
Over 4.50
1.05
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.62
Stevenage
2.15
Doncaster Rovers
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.24
Over 7.50
3.25
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.47
Over 8.50
2.45
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.81
Over 9.50
1.92
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.25
Over 10.50
1.56
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.85
Over 11.50
1.30
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.8%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.8%.
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