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Gary Bowyer
Burton Albion
AFC Wimbledon
Burton Albion
3-4-2-1 · 3-5-2
AFC Wimbledon
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
43656 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
63.4%
-35.6 vs price
Away
950.0 · implied 0.1%
24.5%
+24.4 vs price
Draw
250.0 · implied 0.4%
12.1%
+11.7 vs price
Half time
1120 EUR · live
Home
1.12 · implied 89.3%
46.8%
-42.5 vs price
Draw
9.8 · implied 10.2%
32.5%
+22.3 vs price
Away
6.8 · implied 14.7%
20.5%
+5.8 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
20871 EUR · live
Over
1.23 · implied 81.3%
68.4%
-12.9 vs price
Under
5.2 · implied 19.2%
31.6%
+12.4 vs price
7 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
18'
⚽
J. Stockley · assist J. Tilley0–1
28'
⚽
G. Evans1–1
34'
⚽
A. Smith2–1
Half-time · 2–1
46'
⚽
C. Webster · assist K. Lofthouse3–1
61'
🔁
S. Sessegnon ◂ D. Sweeney
61'
🔁
C. Maycock ◂ Z. Nelson
61'
🔁
A. Sasu ◂ D. McNeilly
65'
🔁
K. Adom ◂ W. Collar
65'
🔁
J. Lewis ◂ G. Evans
72'
A. Yiadom · Foul
76'
⚽
C. Vickers · assist S. Krubally4–1
81'
🔁
E. Adeile ◂ C. Vickers
83'
J. Armer · Foul
Full-time · 4–1
90'+1
🔁
Z. Scutt ◂ K. Lofthouse
90'+1
🔁
H. Araujo ◂ J. Armer
Coaches
Gary BowyerJohnnie Jackson 
Recent form
Burton AlbionLANotts County1-2
WALeicester City2-1
DHStevenage1-1
LHBlackburn Rovers1-2
WHDerby County1-0
AFC WimbledonWHWigan Athletic1-0
LAFulham0-3
DHReading0-0
LAHuddersfield Town0-3
DHNewport County1-1
Match facts
Kickoff
02 Sep, 18:45 UTC
Competition
League One
Highlights & clips
Burton Albion
3-4-2-1 · 3-5-2
AFC Wimbledon
34
C. Addai
6.3
6
T. Sibbick
6.4
31
J. Lewis
7.3
↑ 65'
26
F. Delap
7.3
24
H. Araujo
↑ 90'
41
S. Krubally
8.2
4
K. Chauke
6.6
40
Z. Scutt
↑ 90'
29
K. Adom
6.5
↑ 65'
8
C. Webster
7.4
23
E. Adeile
6.6
↑ 81'
20
J. McDonnell
5.4
17
A. Yiadom
5.9
2
S. Sessegnon
6.4
↑ 61'
6
R. Johnson
5.8
7
J. Tilley
7.2
8
C. Maycock
6.4
↑ 61'
12
A. Smith
6.1
21
M. Hippolyte
6.3
3
S. Seddon
6.4
29
A. Sasu
6.2
↑ 61'
9
J. Stockley
7.6
Substitutes
27GK. Dudek
20DJ. Sraha
12MG. Evans↓ 65'7.6
18MC. Vickers↓ 81'7.5
3MJ. Armer↓ 90'7.1
15MK. Lofthouse↓ 90'7.0
14MW. Collar↓ 65'6.6
Coach: Gary Bowyer
Substitutes
1GN. Bishop
26DD. Sweeney↓ 61'6.0
33DI. Ogundere
10MZ. Nelson↓ 61'6.3
18MD. McCoy-Splatt
5MO. Harrison
19FD. McNeilly↓ 61'6.0
Coach: Johnnie Jackson
Top stats
50%Possession50%
0.93Expected goals (xG)1.43
10Total shots19
5Shots on target4
1Big chances2
4Corners7
Shots
3Shots off target9
2Blocked shots6
5Shots inside box14
5Shots outside box5
1Big chances scored1
0Big chances missed1
-0.49Goals prevented-3.16
Attack
15Touches in box30
51Final third entries73
1Offsides3
14Free kicks8
2Fouled in final third2
Passing
432Passes413
335Accurate passes330
23/65 (35%)Long balls21/65 (32%)
0/7 (0%)Crosses11/29 (38%)
11Throw-ins22
Duels
53Duels47
34/58 (59%)Ground duels24/58 (41%)
26/56 (46%)Aerial duels30/56 (54%)
4/8 (50%)Dribbles2/8 (25%)
11Dispossessed13
Defending
19Tackles15
63Tackles won53
6Interceptions13
33Clearances12
48Recoveries43
Discipline
8Fouls14
1Yellow cards1
Goalkeeping
2Saves2
0Big saves1
12Goal kicks5
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 21 bookmakers
CornersOver 9.5 corners 54% · 1.79 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 66% · 1.47 @ Pinnacle
Who winsBurton to win (DNB) 64% · 1.50 @ Bet365
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 54% · 1.15 @ William Hill
1X2Draw 28% · 2.48 @ Unibet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 74% · 1.30 @ Bet365
1X2Burton to win 46% · 2.55 @ 10bet
BTTSBoth teams to score 51% · 3.50 @ 10bet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 71% · 2.30 @ William Hill
1X2Wimbledon to win 25% · 3.83 @ 1xBet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 57% · 1.61 @ Pinnacle
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.10
Burton Albion
3.30
Draw
3.50
AFC Wimbledon
Double Chanceconsensus
1.28
Burton Albion or Draw
1.29
Burton Albion or AFC Wimbledon
1.70
Draw or AFC Wimbledon
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.83
Yes
1.88
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
3.50
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
5.50
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.06
Over 0.50
9.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.33
Over 1.50
3.23
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.10
Over 2.50
1.71
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.54
Over 3.50
1.26
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
7.30
Over 4.50
1.07
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.48
Burton Albion
2.52
AFC Wimbledon
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.21
Over 7.50
3.30
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.44
Over 8.50
2.54
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.76
Over 9.50
1.95
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.19
Over 10.50
1.59
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.80
Over 11.50
1.34
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.8%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.8%.
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