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Luke Williams
Peterborough United
Stevenage
Peterborough United
4-2-3-1 · 4-4-1-1
Stevenage
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
62217 EUR · live
Home
38.0 · implied 2.6%
46.5%
+43.8 vs price
Draw
1.05 · implied 95.2%
30.6%
-64.7 vs price
Away
25.0 · implied 4.0%
23.5%
+19.5 vs price
Half time
1181 EUR · live
Draw
1.27 · implied 78.7%
58.4%
-20.3 vs price
Home
7.0 · implied 14.3%
23.6%
+9.3 vs price
Away
7.2 · implied 13.9%
17.9%
+4.0 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
27752 EUR · live
Under
1.48 · implied 67.6%
55.7%
-11.9 vs price
Over
3.1 · implied 32.3%
44.3%
+12.0 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
842 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
93.2%
-5.8 vs price
Over
34.0 · implied 2.9%
6.7%
+3.7 vs price
10 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
24'
🔁
B. Shofowoke ◂ O. Edwards
Half-time · 0–0
62'
L. James-Wildin · Foul
63'
🔁
M. Mellon ◂ J. Magennis
64'
🔁
J. Roberts ◂ O. Sanderson
70'
🔁
B. Woods ◂ B. Khela
70'
🔁
C. Conn-Clarke ◂ L. Kelly
73'
🔁
L. Thompson ◂ T. Taylor
73'
🔁
B. Broggio ◂ D. Kemp
76'
J. Feeney · Foul
84'
🔁
D. Ormerod ◂ H. Leonard
84'
🔁
J. Houghton ◂ P. Patterson
Full-time · 0–0
Coaches
Alex Revell 
Recent form
LABlackpool0-4
WAWatford5-1
WHMansfield Town2-1
LABradford City0-2
WABristol Rovers1-0
DHDoncaster Rovers2-2
LHReading0-3
LHOxford United1-2
DABurton Albion1-1
WAWycombe Wanderers2-1
Where to watch
Sky Sports+
Sky Sports+
Match facts
Kickoff
01 Sep, 18:45 UTC
Competition
League One
Highlights & clips
1
A. Bass
7.5
33
J. Dornelly
7.4
12
J. Feeney
7.1
26
D. Okagbue
7.3
14
H. Mills
7.5
20
C. Conn-Clarke
6.7
↑ 70'
7
H. Jones
6.9
19
B. Shofowoke
6.8
↑ 24'
16
B. Woods
6.7
↑ 70'
10
E. Williams
6.3
27
D. Ormerod
6.5
↑ 84'
12
D. Barden
6.7
2
L. James-Wildin
6.8
15
T. Vancooten
7.4
5
C. Piergianni
7.6
6
L. Freestone
7.1
11
J. Roberts
6.4
↑ 64'
27
B. Broggio
6.5
↑ 73'
8
D. Phillips
7.3
4
J. Houghton
6.8
↑ 84'
23
L. Thompson
6.7
↑ 73'
28
M. Mellon
6.7
↑ 63'
Substitutes
23GC. Andeng-Ndi
3DE. Weir
18DL. Mendonça
11MO. Edwards↓ 24'7.2
4ML. Kelly↓ 70'7.0
8MB. Khela↓ 70'6.5
9FH. Leonard↓ 84'6.0
Coach: Luke Williams
Substitutes
36GM. Woodford
17DJ. Pattenden
7MT. Taylor↓ 73'6.7
44MP. Patterson↓ 84'6.6
10MD. Kemp↓ 73'6.3
14MS. Earley
9FJ. Magennis↓ 63'6.5
18FO. Sanderson↓ 64'6.3
Coach: Alex Revell
Top stats
60%Possession40%
0.91Expected goals (xG)0.47
9Total shots11
0Shots on target4
3Big chances0
3Corners3
Shots
6Shots off target3
3Blocked shots4
5Shots inside box10
4Shots outside box1
3Big chances missed0
0.44Goals prevented0.0
Attack
18Touches in box21
59Final third entries66
10Free kicks8
2Fouled in final third0
Passing
509Passes338
409Accurate passes235
16/64 (25%)Long balls31/79 (39%)
3/15 (20%)Crosses5/17 (29%)
30Throw-ins22
Duels
48Duels52
27/57 (47%)Ground duels30/57 (53%)
21/43 (49%)Aerial duels22/43 (51%)
4/9 (44%)Dribbles6/10 (60%)
12Dispossessed9
Defending
13Tackles17
54Tackles won65
9Interceptions7
33Clearances32
53Recoveries46
Discipline
8Fouls10
1Yellow cards1
Goalkeeping
4Saves0
2Big saves0
6Goal kicks16
1Punches0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers
CornersOver 8.5 corners 61% · 1.48 @ Unibet
1X2Stevenage to win 35% · 3.32 @ 1xBet
1X2Draw 28% · 2.50 @ Unibet
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 51% · 1.17 @ William Hill
BTTSBoth teams to score 54% · 3.25 @ Bet365
Who winsPeterborough Utd to win (DNB) 60% · 1.77 @ 10bet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 72% · 1.33 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 73% · 2.15 @ William Hill
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 62% · 1.63 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 50% · 2.00 @ Pinnacle
1X2Peterborough Utd to win 37% · 2.80 @ 10bet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.31
Peterborough United
3.30
Draw
2.90
Stevenage
Double Chanceconsensus
1.37
Peterborough United or Draw
1.30
Peterborough United or Stevenage
1.53
Draw or Stevenage
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.70
Yes
2.05
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
4.33
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
4.75
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.05
Over 0.50
10.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.30
Over 1.50
3.40
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.94
Over 2.50
1.85
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.25
Over 3.50
1.31
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
6.50
Over 4.50
1.10
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.67
Peterborough United
2.10
Stevenage
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.25
Over 7.50
3.25
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.45
Over 8.50
2.48
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.78
Over 9.50
1.91
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.23
Over 10.50
1.58
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.85
Over 11.50
1.34
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.8%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.8%.
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