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Luke Williams
Peterborough United
Sheffield Wednesday
Peterborough United
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Sheffield Wednesday
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
93815 EUR · live
Away
1.03 · implied 97.1%
66.7%
-30.4 vs price
Draw
22.0 · implied 4.5%
20.8%
+16.2 vs price
Home
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
12.8%
+12.7 vs price
Half time
2279 EUR · live
Away
1.07 · implied 93.5%
71.7%
-21.8 vs price
Draw
13.5 · implied 7.4%
25.7%
+18.3 vs price
Home
9.4 · implied 10.6%
2.6%
-8.0 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
62124 EUR · live
Over
2.22 · implied 45.0%
81.8%
+36.8 vs price
Under
1.81 · implied 55.2%
18.2%
-37.1 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
3034 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
96.3%
-2.7 vs price
Over
100.0 · implied 1.0%
3.6%
+2.6 vs price
13 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
14'
🔁
D. Okagbue ◂ T. O'Connor
38'
⚽
J. Feeney0–1
43'
E. Williams · Foul
Half-time · 0–1
46'
🔁
E. Weaver ◂ L. Cooper
47'
⚽
B. Woods · assist J. Dornelly1–1
57'
🔁
B. Mitchell ◂ J. Heskey
57'
J. Heskey · Foul
58'
🔁
A. Al-Hamadi ◂ D. Keillor-Dunn
58'
🔁
M. Burstow ◂ J. Lowe
62'
C. Slattery · Foul
63'
🔁
D. Ormerod ◂ E. Williams
75'
🔁
B. Khela ◂ L. Kelly
75'
🔁
H. Ashfield ◂ H. Jones
78'
B. Khela · Foul
79'
⚽
Y. Valery · assist K. Morrison1–2
87'
🔁
L. Palmer ◂ Y. Valery
Full-time · 1–2
90'+6
K. Morrison · Foul
Coaches
Henrik Pedersen 
Recent form
DHStevenage0-0
LABlackpool0-4
WAWatford5-1
WHMansfield Town2-1
LABradford City0-2
WAWycombe Wanderers2-1
WHBromley7-2
LHWolverhampton0-2
LHBradford City0-1
WALeyton Orient2-1
Where to watch
Sky Sports+
Sky Sports+
Match facts
Kickoff
05 Sep, 11:30 UTC
Competition
League One
Highlights & clips
1
A. Bass
6.4
33
J. Dornelly
7.5
12
J. Feeney
6.3
26
D. Okagbue
6.8
↑ 14'
14
H. Mills
7.0
8
B. Khela
6.5
↑ 75'
45
H. Ashfield
6.5
↑ 75'
19
B. Shofowoke
6.1
16
B. Woods
8.1
27
D. Ormerod
6.1
↑ 63'
9
H. Leonard
6.0
1
J. Lumley
7.0
2
L. Palmer
7.5
↑ 87'
22
Otegbayo
6.5
30
E. Weaver
6.4
↑ 46'
33
R. James
7.2
16
B. Mitchell
7.0
↑ 57'
10
B. Bannan
7.3
12
A. Al-Hamadi
6.5
↑ 58'
8
C. Slattery
6.4
20
K. Morrison
6.5
48
M. Burstow
6.5
↑ 58'
Substitutes
31GB. Smith
6DT. O'Connor↓ 14'6.9
3DE. Weir
4ML. Kelly↓ 75'7.3
10ME. Williams↓ 63'6.7
7MH. Jones↓ 75'6.4
20MC. Conn-Clarke
Coach: Luke Williams
Substitutes
27GC. Trueman
7DY. Valery↓ 87'7.7
6DL. Cooper↓ 46'7.1
18MJ. Heskey↓ 57'6.6
9FJ. Lowe↓ 58'6.4
50FD. Keillor-Dunn↓ 58'6.2
19FW. Grainger
Coach: Henrik Pedersen
Top stats
56%Possession44%
2.24Expected goals (xG)0.96
20Total shots13
3Shots on target5
2Big chances0
4Corners9
Shots
10Shots off target5
7Blocked shots3
12Shots inside box12
8Shots outside box1
1Hit woodwork0
1Big chances scored0
1Big chances missed0
-1.26Goals prevented-0.01
Attack
39Touches in box24
80Final third entries47
0Offsides3
10Free kicks9
Passing
477Passes378
378Accurate passes285
17/63 (27%)Long balls19/60 (32%)
8/20 (40%)Crosses5/19 (26%)
32Throw-ins18
Duels
49Duels51
37/71 (52%)Ground duels34/71 (48%)
15/36 (42%)Aerial duels21/36 (58%)
4/14 (29%)Dribbles4/15 (27%)
13Dispossessed12
Defending
23Tackles23
65Tackles won48
7Interceptions9
23Clearances33
49Recoveries44
Discipline
9Fouls10
2Yellow cards3
Goalkeeping
3Saves2
1Big saves0
8Goal kicks11
1Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 21 bookmakers
Who winsPeterborough Utd to win (DNB) 74% · 2.25 @ Novibet
1X2Sheffield Wed to win 44% · 2.50 @ Bet365
BTTSBoth teams to score 63% · 2.62 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 61% · 3.20 @ William Hill
CornersOver 9.5 corners 53% · 1.61 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 64% · 1.30 @ 1xBet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 81% · 1.75 @ Unibet
1X2Draw 25% · 2.75 @ 10bet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 58% · 1.96 @ Unibet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 61% · 1.62 @ Pinnacle
1X2Peterborough Utd to win 31% · 3.24 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
3.08
Peterborough United
3.69
Draw
2.11
Sheffield Wednesday
Double Chanceconsensus
1.67
Peterborough United or Draw
1.25
Peterborough United or Sheffield Wednesday
1.34
Draw or Sheffield Wednesday
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.46
Yes
2.55
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
6.50
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
4.50
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.02
Over 0.50
17.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.14
Over 1.50
5.00
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.53
Over 2.50
2.35
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.36
Over 3.50
1.57
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
4.20
Over 4.50
1.20
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.90
Peterborough United
1.83
Sheffield Wednesday
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.15
Over 7.50
4.26
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.30
Over 8.50
3.20
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.56
Over 9.50
2.25
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
1.95
Over 10.50
1.80
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.44
Over 11.50
1.48
Under 11.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Over 1.5 goals
✓
81% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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