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Gary Bowyer
Burton Albion
Cambridge United
Burton Albion
3-4-2-1 · 3-4-2-1
Cambridge United
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
29108 EUR · live
Away
21.0 · implied 4.8%
65.9%
+61.1 vs price
Draw
1.09 · implied 91.7%
21.6%
-70.2 vs price
Home
25.0 · implied 4.0%
14.2%
+10.2 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
13439 EUR · live
Over
1.85 · implied 54.1%
58.4%
+4.3 vs price
Under
2.1 · implied 47.6%
41.6%
-6.0 vs price
6 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
16'
D. Ball · Foul
19'
⚽
F. Delap1–0
31'
S. Krubally · Foul
43'
⚽
G. Ahadme · assist O. Moxon1–1
Half-time · 1–1
56'
🔁
P. Mpanzu ◂ O. Moxon
57'
🔁
S. Kaikai ◂ I. Heath
60'
🔁
K. Adom ◂ R. Rodrigues
61'
🔁
W. Collar ◂ S. Krubally
65'
⚽
G. Ahadme · assist Z. Bradshaw1–2
69'
🔁
R. Bangura-Williams ◂ B. Knight
70'
🔁
L. Appéré ◂ G. Ahadme
74'
🔁
J. Lewis ◂ F. Delap
74'
🔁
Z. Scutt ◂ C. Vickers
Full-time · 2–2
90'
⚽
C. Tilt · assist K. Lofthouse2–2
90'
N. Harris · Argument
90'+2
C. Perry · Argument
Coaches
Gary BowyerNeil Harris 
Recent form
Burton AlbionWHAFC Wimbledon4-1
LANotts County1-2
WALeicester City2-1
DHStevenage1-1
LHBlackburn Rovers1-2
Cambridge UnitedWABradford City2-1
LHHuddersfield Town1-2
LHMillwall0-1
DABromley1-1
WHWigan Athletic3-2
Match facts
Kickoff
05 Sep, 14:00 UTC
Competition
League One
Highlights & clips
Burton Albion
3-4-2-1 · 3-4-2-1
Cambridge United
34
C. Addai
5.9
6
T. Sibbick
6.7
31
J. Lewis
6.7
↑ 74'
16
C. Tilt
7.7
15
K. Lofthouse
6.5
14
W. Collar
6.6
↑ 61'
4
K. Chauke
7.3
3
J. Armer
6.5
40
Z. Scutt
6.5
↑ 74'
8
C. Webster
7.5
29
K. Adom
6.4
↑ 60'
1
J. Eastwood
6.7
15
C. Heffernan
5.9
6
K. Watts
6.5
3
C. Perry
6.6
2
L. Bennett
6.0
4
D. Ball
6.5
17
P. Mpanzu
6.2
↑ 56'
22
Z. Bradshaw
6.7
44
R. Bangura-Williams
5.8
↑ 69'
11
S. Kaikai
6.5
↑ 57'
9
L. Appéré
6.5
↑ 70'
Substitutes
27GK. Dudek
26DF. Delap↓ 74'7.4
20DJ. Sraha
23DE. Adeile
18MC. Vickers↓ 74'7.1
17MR. Rodrigues↓ 60'6.4
41MS. Krubally↓ 61'6.4
Coach: Gary Bowyer
Substitutes
13GG. Breeze
29DS. Curtis
8MO. Moxon↓ 56'7.1
7MI. Heath↓ 57'6.7
14FG. Ahadme↓ 70'8.3
10FB. Knight↓ 69'6.0
19FS. Lavery
Coach: Neil Harris
Top stats
56%Possession44%
2.31Expected goals (xG)0.9
13Total shots10
3Shots on target3
3Big chances2
2Corners7
Shots
6Shots off target7
4Blocked shots0
7Shots inside box8
6Shots outside box2
1Hit woodwork0
2Big chances scored2
1Big chances missed0
-1.02Goals prevented0.23
Attack
16Touches in box35
67Final third entries61
0Offsides1
18Free kicks12
4Fouled in final third6
Passing
395Passes302
294Accurate passes200
21/72 (29%)Long balls24/83 (29%)
2/12 (17%)Crosses8/24 (33%)
19Throw-ins30
Duels
60Duels40
44/72 (61%)Ground duels28/72 (39%)
30/52 (58%)Aerial duels22/52 (42%)
8/14 (57%)Dribbles2/12 (17%)
9Dispossessed9
Defending
19Tackles15
58Tackles won53
9Interceptions9
45Clearances22
38Recoveries46
Discipline
12Fouls18
1Yellow cards2
Goalkeeping
0Saves1
9Goal kicks9
0Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers
Who winsCambridge to win (DNB) 53% · 1.85 @ 10bet
1X2Cambridge to win 37% · 2.90 @ Unibet
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 54% · 1.14 @ William Hill
1X2Draw 29% · 2.48 @ Unibet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 75% · 1.29 @ betfair
CornersOver 8.5 corners 60% · 1.49 @ Pinnacle
BTTSBoth teams to score 51% · 3.50 @ Bet365
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 64% · 1.73 @ betfair
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 52% · 2.20 @ betfair
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 70% · 2.31 @ 1xBet
1X2Burton to win 35% · 3.06 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.70
Burton Albion
3.25
Draw
2.52
Cambridge United
Double Chanceconsensus
1.44
Burton Albion or Draw
1.30
Burton Albion or Cambridge United
1.44
Draw or Cambridge United
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.82
Yes
1.88
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
4.33
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
4.33
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.05
Over 0.50
9.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.33
Over 1.50
3.20
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.04
Over 2.50
1.75
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.50
Over 3.50
1.28
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
7.00
Over 4.50
1.08
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.95
Burton Albion
1.80
Cambridge United
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.23
Over 7.50
3.20
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.47
Over 8.50
2.46
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.82
Over 9.50
1.92
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.25
Over 10.50
1.55
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.87
Over 11.50
1.34
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.8%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.8%.
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