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Russell Martin
Leicester City
Oxford United
Leicester City
4-1-4-1 · 4-2-3-1
Oxford United
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
50036 EUR · live
Away
1.01 · implied 99.0%
54.0%
-45.0 vs price
Home
440.0 · implied 0.2%
40.2%
+40.0 vs price
Draw
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
5.8%
+5.7 vs price
Half time
238 EUR · live
Away
1.58 · implied 63.3%
53.9%
-9.4 vs price
Draw
3.5 · implied 28.6%
32.0%
+3.4 vs price
Home
9.8 · implied 10.2%
13.5%
+3.3 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
9650 EUR · live
Over
1.34 · implied 74.6%
83.5%
+8.9 vs price
Under
4.1 · implied 24.4%
16.6%
-7.8 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
427 EUR · live
Under
1.18 · implied 84.7%
86.7%
+2.0 vs price
Over
6.2 · implied 16.1%
13.1%
-3.0 vs price
9 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
8'
⚽
M. Harris · assist M. Missanga0–1
34'
K. Andrews · Foul
Half-time · 0–1
46'
🔁
K. Doyle ◂ B. De Cordova-Reid
49'
E. R. Jacobsen · Foul
56'
🔁
H. Howell ◂ W. Burns
56'
🔁
T. Watson ◂ W. Alves
57'
⚽
M. Missanga · assist K. Andrews0–2
59'
🔁
O. Aluko ◂ C. McFarlane
60'
⚽
M. Harris · assist K. Andrews0–3
61'
🔁
L. Lynch ◂ M. Missanga
69'
🔁
A. Bristrić ◂ E. R. Jacobsen
70'
🔁
T. Goodrham ◂ S. Dembélé
70'
🔁
G. O'Donkor ◂ M. Harris
77'
⚽
J. McDonnell · assist L. Lynch0–4
81'
🔁
J. Currie ◂ C. Brannagan
81'
🔁
L. Sibley ◂ P. Kioso
Full-time · 0–4
Coaches
Russell MartinAaron Ramsey 
Recent form
Leicester CityWHPlymouth Argyle2-0
DAMilton Keynes Dons0-0
LAIpswich Town1-3
LHBurton Albion1-2
DANotts County1-1
Oxford UnitedLAHuddersfield Town1-3
WAStevenage2-1
DHMilton Keynes Dons2-2
LALeyton Orient0-2
WHIpswich Town2-0
Match facts
Kickoff
05 Sep, 14:00 UTC
Competition
League One
Highlights & clips
Leicester City
4-1-4-1 · 4-2-3-1
Oxford United
29
A. McCarthy
6.2
2
J. Joseph
6.3
15
H. Souttar
6.2
33
L. Thomas
6.8
32
O. Aluko
6.4
↑ 59'
25
L. Page
6.4
23
T. Watson
6.7
↑ 56'
27
K. Doyle
6.8
↑ 46'
36
S. Braybrooke
7.0
20
H. Howell
6.2
↑ 56'
9
A. Bristrić
6.4
↑ 69'
13
S. Eastwood
7.3
26
J. Currie
6.8
↑ 81'
6
M. Helik
7.2
3
C. Brown
7.0
15
B. Spencer
7.1
32
L. Sibley
6.9
↑ 81'
18
J. McDonnell
8.0
20
L. Lynch
7.0
↑ 61'
4
K. Andrews
7.5
11
T. Goodrham
6.3
↑ 70'
19
G. O'Donkor
7.0
↑ 70'
Substitutes
21GF. Ravizzoli
18DC. McFarlane↓ 59'6.3
16DW. O'Hora
14MB. De Cordova-Reid↓ 46'6.7
37MW. Alves↓ 56'6.7
7MW. Burns↓ 56'6.5
17FE. R. Jacobsen↓ 69'6.2
Coach: Russell Martin
Substitutes
1GJ. Cumming
30DP. Kioso↓ 81'7.5
2DS. Long
23MS. Dembélé↓ 70'7.1
8MC. Brannagan↓ 81'6.6
57FM. Missanga↓ 61'9.1
9FM. Harris↓ 70'8.9
Coach: Aaron Ramsey
Top stats
63%Possession37%
1.03Expected goals (xG)2.31
14Total shots12
5Shots on target6
3Big chances3
10Corners5
Shots
7Shots off target3
2Blocked shots3
11Shots inside box7
3Shots outside box5
0Big chances scored3
3Big chances missed0
-0.95Goals prevented0.6
Attack
28Touches in box17
63Final third entries44
2Offsides3
16Free kicks11
4Fouled in final third0
Passing
521Passes307
458Accurate passes250
12/23 (52%)Long balls26/57 (46%)
4/25 (16%)Crosses4/14 (29%)
22Throw-ins13
Duels
47Duels53
35/74 (47%)Ground duels39/74 (53%)
7/16 (44%)Aerial duels9/16 (56%)
6/15 (40%)Dribbles5/13 (38%)
14Dispossessed5
Defending
13Tackles23
69Tackles won65
7Interceptions15
16Clearances34
35Recoveries47
Discipline
11Fouls16
1Yellow cards1
Goalkeeping
2Saves4
0Big saves2
6Goal kicks9
0Punches2
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 23 bookmakers
CornersOver 10.5 corners 50% · 1.75 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 9.5 corners 60% · 1.45 @ Unibet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 72% · 1.27 @ Unibet
1X2Leicester to win 56% · 2.10 @ William Hill
Who winsLeicester to win (DNB) 62% · 1.33 @ Betway
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 54% · 4.20 @ William Hill
BTTSBoth teams to score 54% · 3.30 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 76% · 2.00 @ William Hill
1X2Draw 24% · 2.70 @ Unibet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 69% · 1.41 @ Pinnacle
1X2Oxford Utd to win 20% · 4.54 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.67
Leicester City
3.90
Draw
4.56
Oxford United
Double Chanceconsensus
1.17
Leicester City or Draw
1.22
Leicester City or Oxford United
2.08
Draw or Oxford United
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.60
Yes
2.20
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
3.00
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
8.00
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.03
Over 0.50
12.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.24
Over 1.50
3.80
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.73
Over 2.50
2.06
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.88
Over 3.50
1.40
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.50
Over 4.50
1.13
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.30
Leicester City
3.20
Oxford United
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.09
Over 7.50
5.64
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.22
Over 8.50
3.35
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.41
Over 9.50
2.48
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
1.70
Over 10.50
2.04
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.10
Over 11.50
1.65
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.8%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.8%.
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