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Tom Hounsell
Wycombe Wanderers
Milton Keynes Dons
Wycombe Wanderers
4-2-3-1 · 4-1-4-1
Milton Keynes Dons
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Over/Under 2.5 goals
1478 EUR
Under
2.3 · implied 43.5%
62.4%
+19.0 vs price
Over
1.78 · implied 56.2%
37.9%
-18.3 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
200 EUR · live
Under
1.14 · implied 87.7%
99.8%
+12.1 vs price
Over
0.0%
6 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
11'
⚽
D. Casey · assist C. Boyd-Munce1–0
31'
⚽
E. Henderson2–0
36'
A. Gilbey · Foul
41'
A. Collins · Foul
Half-time · 2–0
46'
🔁
C. Paterson ◂ R. Barnett
46'
🔁
D. Crowley ◂ D. Barlaser
51'
⚽
A. Collins · assist C. Paterson2–1
55'
⚽
C. Paterson · assist A. Collins2–2
59'
⚽
C. Nelson · assist D. Crowley2–3
60'
🔁
S. Thomas ◂ M. Mothersille
73'
🔁
S. Silvera ◂ A. Collins
73'
🔁
E. Tezgel ◂ S. Parker
73'
🔁
B. Wiles ◂ A. Gilbey
74'
⚽
J. Wareham · assist S. Thomas3–3
79'
🔁
J. Scowen ◂ C. Woodrow
84'
M. Ekpiteta · Foul
Full-time · 3–3
Coaches
Tom HounsellPaul Warne 
Recent form
Wycombe WanderersLHSheffield Wednesday1-2
LAStockport County1-5
DHPlymouth Argyle1-1
DABlackpool1-1
LHStevenage1-2
Milton Keynes DonsLAWigan Athletic1-3
DHLeicester City0-0
DHHuddersfield Town1-1
DAOxford United2-2
LANorwich City1-4
Match facts
Kickoff
05 Sep, 14:00 UTC
Competition
League One
Highlights & clips
Wycombe Wanderers
4-2-3-1 · 4-1-4-1
Milton Keynes Dons
23
C. Hazard
5.7
19
E. Tezgel
6.3
↑ 73'
17
D. Casey
8.4
26
C. Taylor
6.7
45
A. Hagelskjær
6.5
20
E. Henderson
7.4
8
C. Boyd-Munce
7.3
44
F. Onyedinma
7.1
4
J. Scowen
6.7
↑ 79'
11
S. Thomas
6.8
↑ 60'
15
J. Wareham
7.6
1
C. McGillivray
6.6
2
G. Jones
6.2
21
M. Ekpiteta
5.8
35
C. Nelson
7.1
15
C. Bramall
5.1
7
D. Crowley
6.6
↑ 46'
13
C. Paterson
7.0
↑ 46'
24
R. Wintle
6.6
26
B. Wiles
6.4
↑ 73'
17
S. Silvera
6.5
↑ 73'
9
S. Nombe
6.5
Substitutes
1GM. v. Sas
22DS. Parker↓ 73'6.5
27DS. Cook
61DM. Keita
5MA. Morley
12FC. Woodrow↓ 79'6.6
29FM. Mothersille↓ 60'6.4
Coach: Tom Hounsell
Substitutes
23GW. Dennis
32DJ. Sanders
19MR. Barnett↓ 46'6.8
8MA. Gilbey↓ 73'6.6
4MD. Barlaser↓ 46'6.2
28MJ. Matete
10FA. Collins↓ 73'8.0
Coach: Paul Warne
Top stats
55%Possession45%
0.89Expected goals (xG)1.65
9Total shots12
7Shots on target5
1Big chances2
5Corners5
Shots
0Shots off target4
2Blocked shots3
6Shots inside box5
3Shots outside box7
1Big chances scored1
0Big chances missed1
-1.66Goals prevented-1.12
Attack
15Touches in box14
69Final third entries77
1Offsides4
18Free kicks9
1Fouled in final third1
Passing
373Passes303
271Accurate passes210
27/73 (37%)Long balls23/70 (33%)
5/16 (31%)Crosses3/19 (16%)
19Throw-ins30
Duels
62Duels38
37/66 (56%)Ground duels29/66 (44%)
32/46 (70%)Aerial duels14/46 (30%)
6/9 (67%)Dribbles4/12 (33%)
13Dispossessed9
Defending
17Tackles16
53Tackles won69
4Interceptions13
41Clearances28
46Recoveries49
Discipline
9Fouls18
0Yellow cards3
Goalkeeping
2Saves4
0Big saves1
6Goal kicks4
1Punches0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 20 bookmakers
CornersOver 9.5 corners 54% · 1.72 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 65% · 1.46 @ Pinnacle
BTTSBoth teams to score 59% · 3.00 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 54% · 4.00 @ William Hill
1X2Draw 27% · 2.57 @ 1xBet
1X2MK Dons to win 32% · 3.20 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 76% · 2.00 @ Unibet
Who winsWycombe to win (DNB) 56% · 1.67 @ Novibet
1X2Wycombe to win 41% · 2.60 @ 10bet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 68% · 1.44 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 58% · 1.76 @ Unibet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.28
Wycombe Wanderers
3.50
Draw
2.90
Milton Keynes Dons
Double Chanceconsensus
1.37
Wycombe Wanderers or Draw
1.26
Wycombe Wanderers or Milton Keynes Dons
1.57
Draw or Milton Keynes Dons
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.58
Yes
2.25
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
4.33
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
5.25
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.03
Over 0.50
12.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.23
Over 1.50
3.75
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.75
Over 2.50
2.05
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.88
Over 3.50
1.38
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.75
Over 4.50
1.13
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.67
Wycombe Wanderers
2.10
Milton Keynes Dons
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.19
Over 7.50
3.85
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.37
Over 8.50
2.71
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.63
Over 9.50
2.13
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.05
Over 10.50
1.70
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.60
Over 11.50
1.44
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.8%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.8%.
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