Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**AFC Wimbledon's got momentum; Doncaster's stuck in the mud.** The Dons have two wins in their last five and a proven edge in the head-to-head record — meanwhile, Rovers haven't tasted victory in five matches and keep getting pegged back with draws. This is a chance for Wimbledon to capitalise on sloppy form across the other side of the pitch. 🔵
Wimbledon's been streaky but dangerous at home (beat Wigan 1-0 recently), while Doncaster struggles to put teams away — three of their last four have ended level. The Dons should fancy this.
Key storylines:
- **AFC Wimbledon's attack vs Doncaster's shaky defence**: M. Browne and A. Hackford have chances to exploit a backline that's been leaking goals in draws.
- **R. Gotts and O. Bailey's midfield battle**: Rovers need control in the middle to stay compact; Wimbledon's S. Sessegnon and A. Smith will probe for space.
- **Set-piece danger**: With three defenders in Wimbledon's setup, both sides could find joy from corners — D. Sweeney and S. Seddon are physical presences.
Expected lineups:
- **AFC Wimbledon**: N. Bishop, D. Sweeney, S. Seddon, R. Johnson, I. Ogundere, S. Sessegnon, A. Smith, M. Hippolyte, D. McCoy-Splatt, M. Browne, A. Hackford
- **Doncaster Rovers**: T. Simkin, J. Senior, J. McGrath, N. Byrne, J. Sterry, R. Gotts, O. Bailey, H. Adelakun, I. Hutchinson, T. O'Reilly, A. May
Prediction:
**AFC Wimbledon 2–1 Doncaster Rovers**. The Dons' home form and Rovers' winless streak give Wimbledon a lean edge here. ⚪
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.8%.
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