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Cambridge United
Cambridge United
Cambridge United
AFC Wimbledon
Cambridge United
AFC Wimbledon
Cambridge United
Cambridge United
Cambridge United
Cambridge United
Cambridge United
Neil Harris
Cambridge United
AFC Wimbledon
Cambridge United
3-4-2-1 · 5-4-1
AFC Wimbledon
Commentary
90'
Full-time. Cambridge United 1-1 AFC Wimbledon.
90+1'
Goal! Cambridge United 1-1 AFC Wimbledon. Z. Bradshaw (Cambridge United) scores, assisted by P. Mpanzu.
90'
5 minutes of added time.
90'
Cambridge United
Corner, Cambridge United.
89'
Attempt blocked. I. Heath (Cambridge United), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.05.
88'
Cambridge United
Corner, Cambridge United.
85'
Cambridge United
Corner, Cambridge United.
78'
AFC Wimbledon
Offside, AFC Wimbledon.
73'
Cambridge United
Corner, Cambridge United.
66'
AFC Wimbledon
Corner, AFC Wimbledon.
57'
Cambridge United
Corner, Cambridge United.
53'
Attempt missed. B. Knight (Cambridge United), left-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.07.
46'
Attempt blocked. B. Knight (Cambridge United), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.03.
46'
Cambridge United
Corner, Cambridge United.
46'
The second half is under way.
45'
Half-time. Cambridge United 0-1 AFC Wimbledon.
45'
3 minutes of added time.
30'
Goal! Cambridge United 0-1 AFC Wimbledon. J. Stockley (AFC Wimbledon) scores, assisted by A. Yiadom.
26'
Cambridge United
Corner, Cambridge United.
25'
Cambridge United
Corner, Cambridge United.
6'
Cambridge United
Offside, Cambridge United.
1'
Kick-off: Cambridge United vs AFC Wimbledon.
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
57256 EUR · live
Away
26.0 · implied 3.8%
42.5%
+38.6 vs price
Home
14.0 · implied 7.1%
34.6%
+27.5 vs price
Draw
1.13 · implied 88.5%
22.9%
-65.6 vs price
Half time
484 EUR · live
Home
3.15 · implied 31.7%
46.5%
+14.7 vs price
Draw
1.8 · implied 55.6%
41.3%
-14.3 vs price
Away
6.8 · implied 14.7%
11.8%
-2.9 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
46983 EUR · live
Under
1.11 · implied 90.1%
62.8%
-27.3 vs price
Over
9.6 · implied 10.4%
37.2%
+26.7 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
1625 EUR · live
Under
1.03 · implied 97.1%
84.8%
-12.3 vs price
Over
50.0 · implied 2.0%
15.2%
+13.2 vs price
13 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
30'
⚽
J. Stockley · assist A. Yiadom0–1
36'
🔁
Z. Nelson ◂ D. Richards
Half-time · 0–1
46'
🔁
S. Lavery ◂ G. McConnell
52'
A. Yiadom · Argument
59'
P. Mpanzu · Foul
62'
K. Watts · Simulation
74'
🔁
D. McNeilly ◂ C. Maycock
79'
🔁
L. Appéré ◂ G. Ahadme
79'
🔁
G. Hoddle ◂ O. Moxon
Full-time · 1–1
90'+1
⚽
Z. Bradshaw · assist P. Mpanzu1–1
90'+2
🔁
R. Moran ◂ A. Sasu
90'+5
S. Seddon · Foul
Coaches
Neil HarrisJohnnie Jackson 
Recent form
Cambridge UnitedDAOxford United1-1
WHReading2-1
DABurton Albion2-2
WABradford City2-1
LHHuddersfield Town1-2
AFC WimbledonDHMilton Keynes Dons0-0
WHDoncaster Rovers1-0
WABromley2-0
LABurton Albion1-4
WHWigan Athletic1-0
About this match
**Cambridge's drawing habit meets Wimbledon's winning streak** — two sides heading in opposite directions collide at the Abbey, and this one could go either way. 🔥
Cambridge have been the draw kings lately (2D in their last 5), while Wimbledon have found their groove with three wins in five. The hosts need to tighten up and convert chances; the visitors want to keep the momentum rolling.
Key storylines:
- **Wimbledon's back-line solidity** (D. Sweeney, R. Johnson, F. Simmonds) has been key to their run, shutting out MK Dons and keeping it tight on the road
- **Cambridge's attacking depth** with G. Ahadme and B. Knight up front will test how disciplined Wimbledon stay defensively
- **J. Bursik** between the sticks for Wimbledon has been crucial to their recent form, so Cambridge's midfield (P. Mpanzu, C. Heffernan) need to create early pressure
Expected lineups:
- **Cambridge United**: J. Eastwood, Z. Bradshaw, K. Watts, C. Perry, L. Bennett, P. Mpanzu, G. Ahadme, B. Knight
- **AFC Wimbledon**: J. Bursik, D. Sweeney, R. Johnson, F. Simmonds, I. Ogundere, A. Smith, J. Stockley
Prediction:
**1-1 draw** — Cambridge's form suits them here, and Wimbledon won't breeze past the Abbey. Lean towards the stalemate.
Where to watch
Betano
Sky Sports+
Sky Sports+
Match facts
Kickoff
26 Sep, 14:00 UTC
Competition
League One
Highlights & clips
Cambridge United
3-4-2-1 · 5-4-1
AFC Wimbledon
1
J. Eastwood
6.7
15
C. Heffernan
6.8
6
K. Watts
7.3
22
Z. Bradshaw
7.8
38
G. Hoddle
6.9
↑ 79'
4
D. Ball
7.0
17
P. Mpanzu
6.5
7
I. Heath
6.7
10
B. Knight
7.4
19
S. Lavery
6.2
↑ 46'
9
L. Appéré
6.5
↑ 79'
39
J. Bursik
7.5
17
A. Yiadom
6.9
33
I. Ogundere
6.8
26
D. Sweeney
7.1
3
S. Seddon
6.7
22
R. Moran
↑ 90'
10
Z. Nelson
7.3
↑ 36'
5
O. Harrison
7.8
12
A. Smith
7.0
19
D. McNeilly
6.6
↑ 74'
9
J. Stockley
7.9
Substitutes
13GG. Breeze
8MO. Moxon↓ 79'6.9
27MG. McConnell↓ 46'6.2
30ML. Mcdougald
33MD. Herd
14FG. Ahadme↓ 79'6.3
32FD. Efobi
Coach: Neil Harris
Substitutes
20GJ. McDonnell
8MC. Maycock↓ 74'6.2
31FD. Richards↓ 36'6.6
29FA. Sasu↓ 90'6.6
37FR. Ashamu
Coach: Johnnie Jackson
Top stats
63%Possession37%
1.27Expected goals (xG)0.86
18Total shots7
5Shots on target3
0Big chances3
8Corners1
Shots
8Shots off target2
5Blocked shots2
13Shots inside box5
5Shots outside box2
0Hit woodwork1
0Big chances scored1
0Big chances missed2
0.29Goals prevented0.32
Attack
40Touches in box13
89Final third entries80
1Offsides1
11Free kicks8
4Fouled in final third0
Passing
479Passes293
363Accurate passes196
15/65 (23%)Long balls23/74 (31%)
7/31 (23%)Crosses5/13 (38%)
38Throw-ins28
Duels
44Duels56
31/67 (46%)Ground duels36/67 (54%)
24/59 (41%)Aerial duels35/59 (59%)
6/13 (46%)Dribbles3/13 (23%)
19Dispossessed5
Defending
15Tackles26
60Tackles won69
4Interceptions17
14Clearances54
46Recoveries38
Discipline
8Fouls11
2Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
Goalkeeping
2Saves4
5Goal kicks14
1Punches0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers
Who winsCambridge to win (DNB) 73% · 1.40 @ Unibet
CornersOver 9.5 corners 55% · 1.73 @ betfair
CornersOver 8.5 corners 67% · 1.40 @ betfair
1X2Cambridge to win 51% · 2.20 @ Bet365
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 53% · 1.15 @ William Hill
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 75% · 1.29 @ betfair
BTTSBTTS: No 50% · 1.26 @ 1xBet
1X2Draw 27% · 2.45 @ 1xBet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 71% · 2.25 @ William Hill
1X2Wimbledon to win 23% · 4.41 @ 1xBet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 56% · 1.70 @ Pinnacle
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.83
Cambridge United
3.50
Draw
4.10
AFC Wimbledon
Double Chanceconsensus
1.19
Cambridge United or Draw
1.26
Cambridge United or AFC Wimbledon
1.91
Draw or AFC Wimbledon
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.85
Yes
1.85
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50
9.25
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.33
Over 1.50
3.25
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.00
Over 2.50
1.78
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.50
Over 3.50
1.28
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
7.50
Over 4.50
1.08
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.35
Cambridge United
3.00
AFC Wimbledon
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.19
Over 7.50
3.73
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.38
Over 8.50
2.70
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.69
Over 9.50
2.06
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.11
Over 10.50
1.66
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.77
Over 11.50
1.36
Under 11.50
1X2 (1st Half)consensus
2.40
Cambridge United
2.10
Draw
4.75
AFC Wimbledon
1X2 (2nd Half)consensus
2.20
Cambridge United
2.40
Draw
4.20
AFC Wimbledon
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.1%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.1%.
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