Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**Plymouth roll up to the West Country with all the momentum in the world** — they're on a four-win blitz, while Burton Albion are grinding through a rough patch. This should be one-way traffic. 🟢
Plymouth's attack is firing: three straight wins with double-digit goals across them. Burton, though, have picked up points in two of their last three despite the scorelines looking rough — they're not completely broken, just inconsistent. The **H2H is dead level** (6-6-6 across the last 18), so there's a hint of drama buried here.
Key storylines:
- **M. Cooper** and the Plymouth backline face minimal pressure vs a Burton side that can't find the target
- **R. Curtis and W. Evans** will be key outlets for Plymouth's attacking width — Burton's **K. Chauke and K. Lofthouse** need to track them tight
- Burton's **M. Dennis** and **C. Vickers** pairing up top is their best shot, but they're short on service
Expected lineups:
- **Plymouth Argyle**: M. Cooper, W. Harding, J. Pleguezuelo, A. Hartridge, A. Mitchell, H. White, T. Bakinson, M. Sorinola, R. Curtis, W. Evans, A. Pepple
- **Burton Albion**: C. Addai, T. Sibbick, J. Armer, C. Tilt, K. Lofthouse, G. Evans, K. Chauke, C. Webster, C. Vickers, W. Collar, M. Dennis
Prediction:
**Plymouth 3–0 Burton** 🎯
Plymouth's form is too hot to ignore. Burton need to tighten up fast.
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
Report a data issue
Spotted something wrong on this match? Tell us what and we'll fix it.