Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
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**Leyton Orient welcome Plymouth Argyle to Brisbane Road with both sides hunting momentum** — Orient just got a W but are bleeding goals, while Plymouth are the flashier outfit in this East Anglia showdown. 🔶
Orient's form is janky: one clean sheet win, then a pair of heavy defeats. Plymouth have won 3 of their last 5 but stumbled at home to Burton. Head-to-head, it's Plymouth's slight edge (6 wins to 5), but these two always seem to find a way to entertain.
Key storylines:
- **N. Baxter** will need to be sharp after Orient shipped 6 goals in their last two home games — Plymouth's **R. Curtis** and **A. Pepple** up top can punish sloppiness.
- **I. Hayden** anchoring midfield for Orient vs **H. White**'s work rate in the Argyle engine room — possession battle will define this one.
- **J. Kabia** leading the line for the hosts, but he'll need support from **C. Wellens** and **A. Dobra** to cut through a decent Plymouth back line.
Expected lineups:
- **Leyton Orient**: N. Baxter, J. Morris, J. Olowu, P. Chinedu, F. Stevens, I. E. Mizouni, I. Hayden, A. Dobra, C. Wellens, Y. Akhamrich, J. Kabia
- **Plymouth Argyle**: M. Cooper, A. Mitchell, W. Harding, J. Pleguezuelo, J. Edwards, M. Sorinola, H. White, T. Bakinson, R. Curtis, A. Pepple, W. Evans
Prediction:
**1-1 draw**. Both sides have the tools to score but lack defensive solidity right now — a share feels fair. 🤝
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.1%.
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