Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
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**Oxford's rolling** — the U's are absolutely flying right now, and Notts County's form has turned decidedly soggy. 🔥
Notts have won just one of their last five, sandwiched between two losses and a couple of draws. Oxford, meanwhile, are in the conversation for the playoff push with three wins in their last five, including that stunning 4-0 demolition of Leicester City. Head-to-head stats don't lie either — Oxford have won both recent meetings between these sides.
Key storylines:
- **Oxford's attacking rhythm** — they've scored eight goals in their last three games and look genuinely dangerous going forward
- **Notts County's defensive wobble** — back-to-back defeats to Reading and Bradford have exposed some creaks in their backline
- **Campbell and Lipsiuc** need to anchor midfield for Notts or Oxford's playmakers will have a field day
Expected lineups:
- **Notts County**: J. Belshaw, N. Tsaroulla, L. Ness, J. Bedeau, J. Gibbons, D. Campbell, D. Lipsiuc, O. Cooper, C. Roberts
- **Oxford United**: S. Eastwood, J. Currie, C. Brannagan, M. Helik, P. Kioso, J. McDonnell, S. Long, G. O'Donkor
Prediction:
**Oxford 2-1 Notts County**. The U's carry enough momentum and proven firepower to edge this; Notts will scrape one back but won't find the goods 🎯
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.1%.
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