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Burton Albion
Burton Albion
Burton Albion
Burton Albion
Burton Albion
Burton Albion
Burton Albion
Burton Albion
Burton Albion
Doncaster Rovers
Burton Albion
Doncaster Rovers
Burton Albion
Burton Albion
Doncaster Rovers
Doncaster Rovers
Grant McCann
Doncaster Rovers
Burton Albion
Doncaster Rovers
3-4-1-2 · 3-4-2-1
Burton Albion
Commentary
90'
Full-time. Doncaster Rovers 1-0 Burton Albion.
90+3'
Burton Albion
Corner, Burton Albion.
90+2'
Burton Albion
Corner, Burton Albion.
90'
3 minutes of added time.
88'
Attempt blocked. R. Rodrigues (Burton Albion), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.03.
88'
Burton Albion
Corner, Burton Albion.
87'
Burton Albion
Corner, Burton Albion.
87'
Attempt blocked. C. Vickers (Burton Albion), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.03.
83'
Burton Albion
Corner, Burton Albion.
79'
Burton Albion
Corner, Burton Albion.
72'
Burton Albion
Corner, Burton Albion.
66'
Attempt missed. T. Nixon (Doncaster Rovers), left-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.02.
63'
Attempt blocked. L. Ayinde (Doncaster Rovers), left-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.08.
61'
Burton Albion
Corner, Burton Albion.
50'
Burton Albion
Corner, Burton Albion.
49'
Doncaster Rovers
Offside, Doncaster Rovers.
46'
The second half is under way.
45'
Half-time. Doncaster Rovers 1-0 Burton Albion.
45+4'
Burton Albion
Corner, Burton Albion.
45+2'
Goal! Doncaster Rovers 1-0 Burton Albion. L. Ayinde (Doncaster Rovers) scores, assisted by A. May.
45'
3 minutes of added time.
40'
Attempt blocked. R. Gotts (Doncaster Rovers), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.01.
39'
Doncaster Rovers
Corner, Doncaster Rovers.
30'
Burton Albion
Corner, Burton Albion.
28'
Burton Albion
Corner, Burton Albion.
23'
Attempt blocked. O. Bailey (Doncaster Rovers), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.09.
17'
Doncaster Rovers
Corner, Doncaster Rovers.
3'
Attempt missed. L. Ayinde (Doncaster Rovers), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.03.
3'
Doncaster Rovers
Corner, Doncaster Rovers.
1'
Kick-off: Doncaster Rovers vs Burton Albion.
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
13820 EUR · live
Home
1.9 · implied 52.6%
71.6%
+18.9 vs price
Away
4.7 · implied 21.3%
20.2%
-1.1 vs price
Draw
3.7 · implied 27.0%
8.2%
-18.8 vs price
3 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
12'
🔁
T. Nixon ◂ J. Thomas
39'
M. Dennis · Foul
41'
O. Bailey · Foul
Half-time · 1–0
45'+2
⚽
L. Ayinde · assist A. May1–0
46'
🔁
T. Sibbick ◂ W. Collar
70'
R. Gotts · Foul
71'
🔁
K. Adom ◂ C. Webster
71'
🔁
G. Arubi ◂ M. Dennis
74'
🔁
I. Hutchinson ◂ B. Hanlan
80'
🔁
H. Araujo ◂ J. Armer
80'
🔁
H. Adelakun ◂ L. Ayinde
84'
H. Araujo · Foul
Full-time · 1–0
90'
H. Adelakun · Time wasting
Coaches
Grant McCannGary Bowyer 
Recent form
Doncaster RoversWAPeterborough United2-0
LAAFC Wimbledon0-1
LHPlymouth Argyle2-3
DHNotts County1-1
DAStevenage2-2
Burton AlbionLHHuddersfield Town1-3
WAPlymouth Argyle1-0
DHMansfield Town2-2
LAOxford United0-3
DHCambridge United2-2
About this match
**Two mid-table scrapplers collide in what could easily end in another draw** — Doncaster and Burton have split the last 11 meetings right down the middle, and both sides are riding identical 1W-2D-2L form. 🔄
Doncaster's **win over Peterborough** shows they can go big away from home, but they've stumbled at Salford this season. Burton grabbed a shock **3-1 battering from Huddersfield** in their most recent outing, then bounced back with a gritty 1-0 at Plymouth — classic mid-table stuff.
Key storylines:
- **Doncaster's inconsistency on the road** tested once more against a Burton side that's found occasional spark in recent weeks
- **Defensive solidity will win this one** — both sides lean on compact 3-4-2-1 shapes and neither scores enough to guarantee three points
- **T. O'Reilly and C. Vickers** tasked with carrying attacking hopes in a match that feels destined for stalemate
Expected lineups:
- **Doncaster Rovers**: T. Simkin, J. Senior, N. Byrne, S. Grehan, J. Sterry, J. McGrath, R. Gotts, O. Bailey
- **Burton Albion**: C. Addai, J. Armer, C. Tilt, F. Delap, K. Lofthouse, G. Evans, K. Chauke, C. Webster
Prediction:
**1-1 draw** — These two are made for each other right now. Coin flip vibe, but the weight of history says stalemate. 📌
Match facts
Kickoff
10 Oct, 14:00 UTC
Competition
League One
Highlights & clips
Doncaster Rovers
3-4-1-2 · 3-4-2-1
Burton Albion
1
T. Simkin
7.6
27
S. Grehan
7.8
12
N. Byrne
7.5
6
J. McGrath
7.2
47
H. Adelakun
6.6
↑ 80'
22
R. Gotts
7.6
8
G. Broadbent
7.4
16
T. Nixon
7.3
↑ 12'
4
O. Bailey
7.1
10
A. May
7.1
21
I. Hutchinson
6.7
↑ 74'
34
C. Addai
6.0
26
F. Delap
7.5
12
G. Evans
6.3
16
C. Tilt
7.5
17
R. Rodrigues
7.4
6
T. Sibbick
6.7
↑ 46'
4
K. Chauke
6.9
24
H. Araujo
6.7
↑ 80'
18
C. Vickers
7.5
29
K. Adom
6.4
↑ 71'
9
G. Arubi
7.1
↑ 71'
Substitutes
42GJ. Clarke
11ML. Ayinde↓ 80'8.2
19MJ. Thomas↓ 12'6.6
50MD. Hartley
20MD. Robinson
15MH. Clifton
9FB. Hanlan↓ 74'7.0
Coach: Grant McCann
Substitutes
32GJ. Kean
20DJ. Sraha
3MJ. Armer↓ 80'6.2
14MW. Collar↓ 46'6.1
41MS. Krubally
8FC. Webster↓ 71'6.6
19FM. Dennis↓ 71'6.5
Coach: Gary Bowyer
Top stats
43%Possession57%
0.62Expected goals (xG)0.94
15Total shots20
1Shots on target5
1Big chances1
3Corners12
Shots
8Shots off target5
6Blocked shots10
8Shots inside box16
7Shots outside box4
1Hit woodwork1
1Big chances missed1
1.0Goals prevented-0.5
Attack
20Touches in box40
76Final third entries80
1Offsides0
17Free kicks7
3Fouled in final third1
Passing
345Passes433
251Accurate passes333
25/78 (32%)Long balls36/75 (48%)
3/15 (20%)Crosses8/41 (20%)
16Throw-ins28
Duels
56Duels44
34/63 (54%)Ground duels29/63 (46%)
20/33 (61%)Aerial duels13/33 (39%)
5/13 (38%)Dribbles7/12 (58%)
7Dispossessed7
Defending
12Tackles15
58Tackles won60
5Interceptions5
43Clearances18
46Recoveries40
Discipline
7Fouls17
3Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
Goalkeeping
5Saves0
1Big saves0
7Goal kicks13
1Punches0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers
1X2Doncaster to win 55% · 2.10 @ William Hill
Who winsDoncaster to win (DNB) 67% · 1.32 @ Betano
CornersOver 9.5 corners 52% · 1.98 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 64% · 1.55 @ Pinnacle
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 53% · 4.33 @ William Hill
BTTSBoth teams to score 53% · 3.40 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 76% · 2.00 @ William Hill
1X2Draw 24% · 2.65 @ 1xBet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 69% · 1.40 @ Bet365
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 59% · 1.51 @ Pinnacle
1X2Burton to win 20% · 4.65 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.69
Doncaster Rovers
3.80
Draw
4.59
Burton Albion
Double Chanceconsensus
1.17
Doncaster Rovers or Draw
1.21
Doncaster Rovers or Burton Albion
2.08
Draw or Burton Albion
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.75
Yes
1.95
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50
11.95
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.22
Over 1.50
3.89
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.80
Over 2.50
2.00
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.83
Over 3.50
1.38
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.97
Over 4.50
1.13
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.29
Doncaster Rovers
3.30
Burton Albion
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.24
Over 7.50
3.34
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.51
Over 8.50
2.38
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.84
Over 9.50
1.83
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.42
Over 10.50
1.50
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
3.14
Over 11.50
1.27
Under 11.50
1X2 (1st Half)consensus
2.20
Doncaster Rovers
2.30
Draw
4.88
Burton Albion
1X2 (2nd Half)consensus
2.00
Doncaster Rovers
2.60
Draw
4.33
Burton Albion
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.1%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.1%.
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