← All matches
Reading
Milton Keynes Dons
Reading
Reading
Milton Keynes Dons
Reading
Reading
Reading
Reading
Reading
Reading
Reading
Reading
Reading
Milton Keynes Dons
Milton Keynes Dons
Paul Warne
Milton Keynes Dons
Reading
Milton Keynes Dons
3-1-4-2 · 4-2-3-1
Reading
Commentary
90'
Full-time. Milton Keynes Dons 1-5 Reading.
90+5'
Reading
Offside, Reading.
90'
5 minutes of added time.
90'
Milton Keynes Dons
Corner, Milton Keynes Dons.
87'
Goal! Milton Keynes Dons 1-5 Reading. J. Brown (Reading) scores, assisted by J. Stokes.
85'
Goal! Milton Keynes Dons 1-4 Reading. A. Collins (Milton Keynes Dons) scores, assisted by S. Silvera.
75'
Reading
Offside, Reading.
71'
Reading
Offside, Reading.
67'
Milton Keynes Dons
Corner, Milton Keynes Dons.
58'
Reading
Corner, Reading.
53'
Reading
Offside, Reading.
50'
Reading
Offside, Reading.
46'
Reading
Offside, Reading.
46'
The second half is under way.
45'
Half-time. Milton Keynes Dons 0-1 Reading.
45'
2 minutes of added time.
38'
Goal! Milton Keynes Dons 0-1 Reading. P. Lane (Reading) scores, assisted by U. Godwin-Malife.
27'
Reading
Corner, Reading.
24'
Reading
Corner, Reading.
14'
Reading
Offside, Reading.
14'
Reading
Corner, Reading.
13'
Reading
Corner, Reading.
7'
Milton Keynes Dons
Offside, Milton Keynes Dons.
7'
Milton Keynes Dons
Offside, Milton Keynes Dons.
1'
Kick-off: Milton Keynes Dons vs Reading.
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
4464 EUR
Home
2.86 · implied 35.0%
56.3%
+21.3 vs price
Away
2.58 · implied 38.8%
25.7%
-13.1 vs price
Draw
3.8 · implied 26.3%
18.0%
-8.3 vs price
Half time
222 EUR · live
Home
4.1 · implied 24.4%
68.1%
+43.7 vs price
Draw
2.32 · implied 43.1%
31.1%
-12.0 vs price
Away
0.0%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
662 EUR
Under
2.28 · implied 43.9%
98.4%
+54.5 vs price
Over
1.78 · implied 56.2%
1.5%
-54.7 vs price
6 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
28'
H. Roberts · Foul
38'
⚽
P. Lane · assist U. Godwin-Malife0–1
Half-time · 0–1
47'
⚽
C. Bramall0–2
55'
🔁
I. Fullah ◂ C. Nelson
55'
🔁
A. Gilbey ◂ D. Barlaser
64'
⚽
K. Lisbie0–3
73'
M. Ekpiteta · Foul
80'
⚽
K. Lisbie0–4
81'
🔁
J. Brown ◂ J. Reid
82'
🔁
J. Sanders ◂ M. Ekpiteta
82'
🔁
S. Silvera ◂ G. Jones
85'
⚽
A. Collins · assist S. Silvera1–4
86'
🔁
R. Williams ◂ K. Lisbie
86'
🔁
D. Kyerewaa ◂ H. Roberts
87'
⚽
J. Brown · assist J. Stokes1–5
Full-time · 1–5
90'+1
🔁
L. Fraser ◂ A. Rinomhota
Coaches
Paul WarneLeam Richardson 
Recent form
Milton Keynes DonsDAAFC Wimbledon0-0
DHPeterborough United1-1
DAWycombe Wanderers3-3
LAWigan Athletic1-3
DHLeicester City0-0
ReadingDHBradford City1-1
DAWycombe Wanderers2-2
WHNotts County2-0
LHBrentford1-2
LACambridge United1-2
About this match
**The draw factory collides with inconsistency** — MK Dons have basically perfected the art of stalemate, while Reading can't decide if they're title contenders or mid-table wanderers. 🤔
MK Dons are stuck in fourth gear with four draws in their last five, including a wild 3-3 with Wycombe. Reading at least found a win recently (2-0 over Notts County), but they're equally capable of throwing points away against anyone. These sides are perfectly matched for chaos.
Key storylines:
- **MK Dons' defensive shape** under C. McGillivray has held firm but barely created anything; they need S. Nombe and C. Paterson to finally click
- **Reading's form whiplash** — back-to-back draws followed by a convincing win leaves them dangerous but unpredictable
- **H2H dead even**: 2-2-2 in their last six meetings, so expect another scrap
Expected lineups:
- **Milton Keynes Dons**: McGillivray, Bramall, Nelson, Goode, Jones, Barlaser, Wintle, Matete, Collins, Nombe, Paterson
- **Reading**: Pereira, Roberts, Ward, O'Connor, Godwin-Malife, Wing, Rinomhota, Lane, Stokes, Lisbie, Marriott
Prediction:
**1-1 draw** — both teams are allergic to three points right now, and the head-to-head record screams parity.
Match facts
Kickoff
10 Oct, 14:00 UTC
Competition
League One
Highlights & clips
Milton Keynes Dons
3-1-4-2 · 4-2-3-1
Reading
23
W. Dennis
5.5
5
C. Goode
6.4
22
I. Fullah
6.5
↑ 55'
32
J. Sanders
6.3
↑ 82'
8
A. Gilbey
6.2
↑ 55'
17
S. Silvera
6.6
↑ 82'
26
B. Wiles
6.4
24
R. Wintle
6.2
15
C. Bramall
6.5
9
S. Nombe
5.2
10
A. Collins
7.8
1
J. Pereira
6.8
2
U. Godwin-Malife
7.5
15
P. O’Connor
7.1
16
B. Ward
6.6
14
R. Williams
6.7
↑ 86'
10
L. Wing
7.5
6
L. Fraser
↑ 90'
11
D. Kyerewaa
6.5
↑ 86'
28
J. Stokes
7.5
32
P. Lane
8.8
18
J. Brown
7.1
↑ 81'
Substitutes
51GS. Stacey
21DM. Ekpiteta↓ 82'6.1
35DC. Nelson↓ 55'5.9
4MD. Barlaser↓ 55'6.6
2MG. Jones↓ 82'6.0
47MS. Troso
38ML. Keon
Coach: Paul Warne
Substitutes
25GJ. Stevens
5DH. Roberts↓ 86'6.9
23DC. Masterson
19MK. Lisbie↓ 86'6.9
4MA. Rinomhota↓ 90'6.3
8MC. Savage
9FJ. Reid↓ 81'7.4
Coach: Leam Richardson
Top stats
55%Possession45%
0.77Expected goals (xG)3.64
11Total shots13
4Shots on target6
2Big chances6
2Corners5
Shots
3Shots off target4
4Blocked shots3
5Shots inside box10
6Shots outside box3
1Hit woodwork0
0Big chances scored4
2Big chances missed2
-1.81Goals prevented0.05
Attack
20Touches in box23
69Final third entries72
1Offsides7
7Free kicks13
2Fouled in final third1
Passing
408Passes333
308Accurate passes236
33/85 (39%)Long balls22/69 (32%)
6/21 (29%)Crosses4/17 (24%)
21Throw-ins21
Duels
44Duels56
26/57 (46%)Ground duels31/57 (54%)
22/53 (42%)Aerial duels31/53 (58%)
2/4 (50%)Dribbles4/14 (29%)
13Dispossessed8
Defending
18Tackles15
61Tackles won67
6Interceptions16
22Clearances31
42Recoveries52
Discipline
13Fouls7
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
Goalkeeping
1Saves3
7Goal kicks7
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers
BTTSBoth teams to score 60% · 2.88 @ William Hill
CornersOver 9.5 corners 53% · 2.00 @ Bet365
CornersOver 8.5 corners 64% · 1.53 @ Pinnacle
1X2Reading to win 37% · 2.75 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 56% · 3.75 @ William Hill
Who winsMK Dons to win (DNB) 63% · 2.05 @ Betano
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 78% · 1.86 @ 1xBet
1X2Draw 26% · 2.61 @ 1xBet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 66% · 1.48 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 59% · 1.64 @ Pinnacle
1X2MK Dons to win 36% · 2.88 @ William Hill
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.57
Milton Keynes Dons
3.58
Draw
2.50
Reading
Double Chanceconsensus
1.48
Milton Keynes Dons or Draw
1.26
Milton Keynes Dons or Reading
1.44
Draw or Reading
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.55
Yes
2.30
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.03
Over 0.50
13.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.21
Over 1.50
4.20
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.66
Over 2.50
2.15
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.70
Over 3.50
1.44
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.00
Over 4.50
1.14
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
2.02
Milton Keynes Dons
1.72
Reading
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.23
Over 7.50
3.42
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.50
Over 8.50
2.41
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.82
Over 9.50
1.86
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.26
Over 10.50
1.57
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
3.08
Over 11.50
1.28
Under 11.50
1X2 (1st Half)consensus
3.10
Milton Keynes Dons
2.25
Draw
3.00
Reading
1X2 (2nd Half)consensus
2.82
Milton Keynes Dons
2.60
Draw
2.75
Reading
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.1%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.1%.
Report a data issue
Spotted something wrong on this match? Tell us what and we'll fix it.