Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
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**Stevenage's on a roll while Wigan's wheels are falling off** — this feels like a classic League One swing match where one side's momentum crashes into the other's panic. 📉
Stevenage have won two of their last five with that demolition job over Barnsley still fresh, while Wigan just shipped four at home to Stockport and look properly fragile. The head-to-head leans Stevenage's way too (3 wins in six).
Key storylines:
- **Stevenage's attack** built around J. Roberts and P. Patterson will fancy running at a **Wigan defence** that's conceded four in one sitting
- **Wigan need C. McManaman and A. Higgins** to create from deep, but **D. Kemp and D. Phillips** controlling midfield could strangle their rhythm
- Form gap is real: two wins in five for the hosts versus one win in five for visitors spells trouble for a team already rattled
Expected lineups:
- **Stevenage**: T. Setford, C. Piergianni, L. Freestone, T. Vancooten, D. Kemp, D. Phillips, L. Thompson, P. Patterson, J. Roberts
- **Wigan Athletic**: J. Whitworth, A. Harris, M. Fox, J. Mellish, J. Carragher, F. Burns, A. Higgins, C. McManaman
Prediction:
**Stevenage 2–0 Wigan Athletic**
Slight favorite based on form, head-to-head edge, and Wigan's defensive shambles. 🎯
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.1%.
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