Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**Peterborough's looking for momentum, but Burton's showing fight** — the Posh have scraped together a win and two draws in their last five, while the Brewers are stuttering at the wrong end. This is the kind of fixture where form matters, and Peterborough's edge is real. 🔵
Peterborough edged Stockport and Doncaster recently (though both were losses), but that 3-1 demolition of Leicester shows they've got quality. Burton's won just once in five and shipped three goals to Huddersfield—defensive wobbles are real. Head-to-head tells the story: Peterborough have dominated this fixture with 8 wins in their last 17 meetings.
Key storylines:
- **H. Leonard and B. Shofowoke** will be central to Peterborough's attacking threat against a Burton side that's been leaky in recent weeks
- **Burton's back three** of J. Armer, C. Tilt, and T. Sibbick needs a clean sheet to keep this tight; they've been punished for sloppiness
- **L. Kelly and B. Woods** anchoring Peterborough's midfield should control the tempo if Burton can't press effectively
Expected lineups:
- **Peterborough United**: A. Bass, H. Mills, J. Feeney, D. Okagbue, C. Johnston, L. Kelly, B. Woods, O. Edwards, C. Conn-Clarke, B. Shofowoke, H. Leonard
- **Burton Albion**: C. Addai, J. Armer, C. Tilt, F. Delap, T. Sibbick, G. Evans, K. Chauke, C. Webster, W. Collar, C. Vickers, K. Lofthouse
Prediction:
**Peterborough 2-0 Burton**. The Posh have the historical edge, better form, and Burton's defense is ripe for pressure. 🟢
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
Report a data issue
Spotted something wrong on this match? Tell us what and we'll fix it.