Leicester City 2-1 Doncaster Rovers: Stats & xG

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Leicester City 2-1 Doncaster Rovers.

90+6'

A. May

Attempt blocked. A. May (Doncaster Rovers), left-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.02.

90+6'

A. May

Attempt missed. A. May (Doncaster Rovers), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.02.

90+5'

O. Bailey

Attempt saved. O. Bailey (Doncaster Rovers), header. xG 0.02.

90'

5 minutes of added time.

89'

W. Alves

Off the woodwork! W. Alves (Leicester City), left-footed shot. xG 0.09.

89'

W. Alves

Substitution, Leicester City: O. Aluko comes on for W. Alves.

85'

S. Grehan

Substitution, Doncaster Rovers: H. Clifton comes on for S. Grehan.

84'

W. O'Hora

Goal! Leicester City 2-1 Doncaster Rovers. Own goal by W. O'Hora.

82'

H. Adelakun

Attempt missed. H. Adelakun (Doncaster Rovers), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.01.

79'

K. Doyle

Substitution, Leicester City: L. Cullen comes on for K. Doyle.

77'

H. Adelakun

Attempt missed. H. Adelakun (Doncaster Rovers), right-footed shot. xG 0.06.

71'

S. Braybrooke

Substitution, Leicester City: C. Chaplin comes on for S. Braybrooke.

69'

L. Ayinde

Substitution, Doncaster Rovers: H. Adelakun comes on for L. Ayinde.

69'

T. Nixon

Substitution, Doncaster Rovers: B. McCann comes on for T. Nixon.

69'

G. Broadbent

Substitution, Doncaster Rovers: W. Keane comes on for G. Broadbent.

68'

W. Alves

Attempt blocked. W. Alves (Leicester City), right-footed shot. xG 0.12.

65'

L. Ayinde

Yellow card for L. Ayinde (Doncaster Rovers) for foul.

63'

T. Nixon

Attempt saved. T. Nixon (Doncaster Rovers), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

61'

K. Doyle

Goal! Leicester City 2-0 Doncaster Rovers. K. Doyle (Leicester City) scores, assisted by L. Thomas.

59'

J. McGrath

Yellow card for J. McGrath (Doncaster Rovers) for foul.

58'

I. Hutchinson

Substitution, Doncaster Rovers: B. Hanlan comes on for I. Hutchinson.

57'

A. May

Yellow card for A. May (Doncaster Rovers) for foul.

53'

S. Braybrooke

Attempt saved. S. Braybrooke (Leicester City), right-footed shot. xG 0.27.

51'

A. May

Attempt blocked. A. May (Doncaster Rovers), left-footed shot. xG 0.10.

51'

J. McGrath

Attempt missed. J. McGrath (Doncaster Rovers), header from a corner. xG 0.10.

51'

E. R. Jacobsen

Attempt saved. E. R. Jacobsen (Leicester City), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.05.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Leicester City 1-0 Doncaster Rovers.

45+1'

J. Lundstram

Goal! Leicester City 1-0 Doncaster Rovers. J. Lundstram (Leicester City) scores, assisted by W. O'Hora.

45'

1 minute of added time.

45'

K. Doyle

Attempt saved. K. Doyle (Leicester City), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

45'

E. R. Jacobsen

Attempt blocked. E. R. Jacobsen (Leicester City), left-footed shot. xG 0.10.

44'

E. R. Jacobsen

Attempt missed. E. R. Jacobsen (Leicester City), right-footed shot. xG 0.64.

43'

L. Page

Attempt missed. L. Page (Leicester City), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.04.

38'

S. Braybrooke

Attempt blocked. S. Braybrooke (Leicester City), left-footed shot. xG 0.10.

32'

S. Grehan

Attempt blocked. S. Grehan (Doncaster Rovers), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.06.

30'

J. McGrath

Attempt saved. J. McGrath (Doncaster Rovers), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.03.

30'

S. Braybrooke

Attempt blocked. S. Braybrooke (Leicester City), left-footed shot. xG 0.12.

26'

I. Hutchinson

Attempt missed. I. Hutchinson (Doncaster Rovers), left-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.02.

24'

H. Souttar

Attempt saved. H. Souttar (Leicester City), header. xG 0.08.

21'

I. Hutchinson

Attempt missed. I. Hutchinson (Doncaster Rovers), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

17'

L. Thomas

Yellow card for L. Thomas (Leicester City) for persistent fouling.

12'

I. Hutchinson

Attempt blocked. I. Hutchinson (Doncaster Rovers), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.02.

12'

S. Grehan

Attempt blocked. S. Grehan (Doncaster Rovers), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.02.

9'

E. R. Jacobsen

Attempt saved. E. R. Jacobsen (Leicester City), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

4'

J. McGrath

Attempt blocked. J. McGrath (Doncaster Rovers), header from a set piece. xG 0.06.

1'

Kick-off: Leicester City vs Doncaster Rovers.

Where the money is

78379 EUR matched · captured 2 weeks, 2 days ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 54595 EUR · live

Home 1.08 · implied 92.6%

77.6%

-15.0 vs price

Away 85.0 · implied 1.2%

13.6%

+12.4 vs price

Draw 22.0 · implied 4.5%

8.9%

+4.4 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 4709 EUR · live

Over 1.56 · implied 64.1%

87.8%

+23.7 vs price

Under 2.72 · implied 36.8%

12.2%

-24.6 vs price

8 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG (estimated)

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 1 clip

Player of the match

Match events

17' L. Thomas · Persistent fouling

Half-time · 1–0

45'⁺¹ ⚽ J. Lundstram · assist W. O'Hora1–0

57' A. May · Foul

58' 🔁 B. Hanlan ◂ I. Hutchinson

59' J. McGrath · Foul

61' ⚽ K. Doyle · assist L. Thomas2–0

65' L. Ayinde · Foul

69' 🔁 W. Keane ◂ G. Broadbent

69' 🔁 B. McCann ◂ T. Nixon

69' 🔁 H. Adelakun ◂ L. Ayinde

71' 🔁 C. Chaplin ◂ S. Braybrooke

79' 🔁 L. Cullen ◂ K. Doyle

84' ⚽ W. O'Hora2–1

85' 🔁 H. Clifton ◂ S. Grehan

89' 🔁 O. Aluko ◂ W. Alves

Full-time · 2–1

Coaches

Russell Martin

Grant McCann

Recent form

Leicester City

LHPeterborough United1-3

DABarnsley1-1

WAStockport County4-3

LHOxford United0-4

WHPlymouth Argyle2-0

Doncaster Rovers

WHBurton Albion1-0

WAPeterborough United2-0

LAAFC Wimbledon0-1

LHPlymouth Argyle2-3

DHNotts County1-1

About this match

**Leicester's here to remind League One who still owns this division.** Two teams locked in similar form, but the Foxes' superior firepower and home comfort should tell the difference. 🦁

Both sides are riding the **2W-1D-2L** wave lately, but Leicester's got pedigree — they've won four of eight against Doncaster over the years. Rovers will scrap hard but face a quality opponent in their own backyard.

Key storylines:

- **Leicester's attack** has flashed brilliance (4-3 away, 1-0 home) and occasional fragility — Doncaster's defense led by **J. McGrath** will need to stay switched on
- **B. De Cordova-Reid** and **S. Braybrooke** in midfield give Leicester creative edge over Rovers' workmanlike setup
- **A. May** carries Doncaster's attacking hope, but the visitors' 3-4-2-1 is defensive-minded and built to frustrate rather than break through

Expected lineups:

- **Leicester City**: A. McCarthy, L. Thomas, H. Souttar, C. Okoli, J. Joseph, J. Lundstram, B. De Cordova-Reid, S. Braybrooke, L. Page, W. Alves, E. R. Jacobsen
- **Doncaster Rovers**: T. Simkin, J. Senior, N. Byrne, J. McGrath, J. Sterry, S. Grehan, R. Gotts, O. Bailey, L. Ayinde, A. May, T. O'Reilly

Prediction:

**Leicester City 2–0 Doncaster Rovers.** Foxes edge it on balance of quality and history; clean sheet feels like the lean.

Match facts

Kickoff

17 Oct, 14:00 UTC

Competition

League One

Highlights & clips

Leicester City 3-4-2-1 · 3-4-2-1 Doncaster Rovers

29 A. McCarthy 6.9 16 W. O'Hora 6.7 15 H. Souttar 6.7 5 C. Okoli 8.0 32 O. Aluko ↑ 89' 6 J. Lundstram 8.2 25 L. Page 7.4 33 L. Thomas 8.2 8 C. Chaplin 6.7 ↑ 71' 11 L. Cullen 6.4 ↑ 79' 17 E. R. Jacobsen 5.9 1 T. Simkin 6.3 15 H. Clifton 6.6 ↑ 85' 12 N. Byrne 6.7 6 J. McGrath 7.2 25 B. McCann 6.7 ↑ 69' 22 R. Gotts 7.3 18 W. Keane 6.6 ↑ 69' 47 H. Adelakun 6.8 ↑ 69' 4 O. Bailey 6.6 9 B. Hanlan 6.6 ↑ 58' 10 A. May 6.1

Substitutes

21GF. Ravizzoli 24DI. Kangasniemi 27MK. Doyle↓ 79'7.7 36MS. Braybrooke↓ 71'7.3 37MW. Alves↓ 89'6.3 20MH. Howell 14MB. De Cordova-Reid

Coach: Russell Martin

Substitutes

42GJ. Clarke 16DT. Nixon↓ 69'7.8 27DS. Grehan↓ 85'6.6 8MG. Broadbent↓ 69'7.5 21MI. Hutchinson↓ 58'6.6 11ML. Ayinde↓ 69'6.6 20MD. Robinson

Coach: Grant McCann

Top stats

54%Possession46%

1.76Expected goals (xG)0.6

14Total shots15

7Shots on target3

2Big chances0

6Corners7

Shots

3Shots off target6

4Blocked shots6

12Shots inside box9

2Shots outside box6

1Hit woodwork0

2Big chances missed0

-0.76Goals prevented-0.27

Attack

38Touches in box26

69Final third entries90

1Offsides0

10Free kicks12

1Fouled in final third3

Passing

458Passes386

340Accurate passes266

25/61 (41%)Long balls29/83 (35%)

7/23 (30%)Crosses7/25 (28%)

21Throw-ins28

Duels

46Duels54

25/59 (42%)Ground duels34/59 (58%)

17/32 (53%)Aerial duels15/32 (47%)

3/5 (60%)Dribbles8/12 (67%)

12Dispossessed8

Defending

12Tackles14

50Tackles won43

9Interceptions5

45Clearances38

54Recoveries43

Discipline

12Fouls10

1Yellow cards3

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

3Saves5

0Big saves1

6Goal kicks8

2Punches0

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers

Leicester 50%

24%

Doncaster 25%

CornersOver 10.5 corners 52% · 1.74 @ Pinnacle

CornersOver 9.5 corners 62% · 1.36 @ 1xBet

CornersOver 8.5 corners 73% · 1.22 @ 1xBet

Who winsDoncaster to win (DNB) 51% · 2.87 @ Betano

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 60% · 3.30 @ William Hill

BTTSBoth teams to score 61% · 2.62 @ Bet365

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 81% · 1.75 @ William Hill

1X2Leicester to win 50% · 2.10 @ Bet365

1X2Draw 24% · 2.85 @ 1xBet

1X2Doncaster to win 25% · 3.90 @ 1xBet

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 63% · 1.65 @ Pinnacle

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

1.80

Leicester City

3.90

Draw

3.80

Doncaster Rovers

Double Chanceconsensus

1.22

Leicester City or Draw

1.21

Leicester City or Doncaster Rovers

1.92

Draw or Doncaster Rovers

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.50

Yes

2.44

No

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.02

Over 0.50

15.00

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.14

Over 1.50

5.40

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.50

Over 2.50

2.41

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

2.31

Over 3.50

1.59

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

4.02

Over 4.50

1.22

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.42

Leicester City

2.70

Doncaster Rovers

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.11

Over 7.50

5.50

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.22

Over 8.50

3.80

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.36

Over 9.50

2.88

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

1.73

Over 10.50

2.04

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

2.19

Over 11.50

1.64

Under 11.50

1X2 (1st Half)consensus

2.26

Leicester City

2.42

Draw

4.20

Doncaster Rovers

1X2 (2nd Half)consensus

2.10

Leicester City

2.75

Draw

3.80

Doncaster Rovers

Full odds via API →

Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.

Over 1.5 goals

✓

81% confidence

A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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