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Notts County
Notts County
Notts County
Sheffield Wednesday
Notts County
Notts County
Notts County
Notts County
Martin Paterson
Notts County
Sheffield Wednesday
Notts County
3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1
Sheffield Wednesday
Commentary
90'
Full-time. Notts County 2-0 Sheffield Wednesday.
90'
6 minutes of added time.
81'
Goal! Notts County 2-0 Sheffield Wednesday. D. Lipsiuc (Notts County) scores, assisted by R. Finneran.
78'
Notts County
Offside, Notts County.
72'
Notts County
Corner, Notts County.
59'
Notts County
Corner, Notts County.
57'
Sheffield Wednesday
Offside, Sheffield Wednesday.
50'
Notts County
Offside, Notts County.
46'
The second half is under way.
45'
Half-time. Notts County 1-0 Sheffield Wednesday.
45+5'
Notts County
Corner, Notts County.
45'
6 minutes of added time.
38'
Goal! Notts County 1-0 Sheffield Wednesday. D. Kanu (Notts County) converts the penalty.
35'
Attempt blocked. D. Keillor-Dunn (Sheffield Wednesday), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.07.
35'
Attempt blocked. R. Finneran (Notts County), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.19.
30'
Attempt missed. R. Finneran (Notts County), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.01.
28'
Notts County
Offside, Notts County.
27'
Attempt missed. D. Keillor-Dunn (Sheffield Wednesday), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.04.
25'
Notts County
Corner, Notts County.
16'
Attempt missed. R. Finneran (Notts County), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.03.
1'
Kick-off: Notts County vs Sheffield Wednesday.
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
1217 EUR
Away
2.24 · implied 44.6%
84.4%
+39.8 vs price
Draw
3.7 · implied 27.0%
8.6%
-18.4 vs price
Home
3.45 · implied 29.0%
8.3%
-20.7 vs price
1 more market on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Player of the match
Match events
14'
🔁
Otegbayo ◂ D. Bernard
15'
C. Slattery · Foul
34'
L. Smyth · Foul
38'
⚽
D. Kanu (pen)1–0
Half-time · 1–0
45'+2
C. Grant · Foul
46'
🔁
A. Al-Hamadi ◂ C. Slattery
50'
J. Lowe · Foul
56'
🔁
M. Lowe ◂ R. James
56'
🔁
B. Mitchell ◂ B. Bannan
63'
🔁
C. Roberts ◂ N. Tsaroulla
63'
🔁
L. Ndlovu ◂ L. Smyth
71'
🔁
M. Sanders ◂ S. Robertson
71'
🔁
D. Lipsiuc ◂ C. Grant
78'
🔁
K. Morrison ◂ Otegbayo
80'
🔁
J. Evans ◂ D. Kanu
81'
⚽
D. Lipsiuc · assist R. Finneran2–0
89'
J. Heskey · Foul
Full-time · 2–0
Coaches
Martin PatersonMatthew Hamshaw 
Recent form
Notts CountyLAWycombe Wanderers0-2
LHOxford United1-2
LAReading0-2
LHBradford City0-1
DAHuddersfield Town1-1
Sheffield WednesdayWHAFC Wimbledon5-0
DAHuddersfield Town2-2
DHStockport County0-0
DHWigan Athletic0-0
WAPeterborough United2-1
About this match
**Sheffield Wednesday rolls into the Midlands as heavy favorites** — Notts County's form is absolutely dire, while the Owls have won two of their last five and look genuinely threatening. 🔴
Notts are winless in five (1D, 4L) and bleeding goals. Wednesday's been rock-solid, going 2W-3D with that demolition of Wimbledon. The head-to-head tells the story too — Wednesday's dominated this fixture recently.
Key storylines:
- **Sheffield Wednesday's attack** has woken up after a couple of draws; they need to maintain that ruthlessness against a leaky Notts defense
- **Notts County desperate for a spark** — L. Smyth and H. Mustapha need to create something dangerous or this becomes a rout
- **Barry and Bannan controlling midfield** for Wednesday could suffocate Notts' D. Campbell and limited options in the middle
Expected lineups:
- **Notts County**: J. Belshaw, J. Bedeau, L. Ness, M. Baker, J. Gibbons, D. Campbell, C. Grant, L. Smyth
- **Sheffield Wednesday**: J. Lumley, Y. Valery, R. Santos, S. Swinkels, B. Bannan, L. Barry, B. Mitchell, M. Burstow
Prediction:
**Sheffield Wednesday 2-0 Notts County** — the Owls have serious momentum and Notts look broken. Lean Wednesday. ⚫
Where to watch
Sky Sports+
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Match facts
Kickoff
20 Oct, 18:45 UTC
Competition
League One
Notts County
3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1
Sheffield Wednesday
1
J. Belshaw
6.7
12
L. Ness
7.5
3
R. McDonald
7.4
4
J. Bedeau
7.5
7
C. Roberts
7.1
↑ 63'
27
R. Finneran
7.3
6
M. Sanders
6.5
↑ 71'
26
I. Samuels-Smith
7.3
39
L. Ndlovu
6.3
↑ 63'
14
D. Lipsiuc
7.6
↑ 71'
15
J. Evans
6.5
↑ 80'
13
A. Maynard-Brewer
5.6
7
Y. Valery
6.3
22
Otegbayo
5.8
↑ 14'
6
L. Cooper
7.7
3
M. Lowe
7.5
↑ 56'
16
B. Mitchell
6.9
↑ 56'
18
J. Heskey
7.2
12
A. Al-Hamadi
6.4
↑ 46'
50
D. Keillor-Dunn
6.2
24
H. Gray
6.6
9
J. Lowe
5.6
Substitutes
2DJ. Gibbons
20MS. Robertson↓ 71'7.6
25MN. Tsaroulla↓ 63'7.1
10MR. Longelo
9FD. Kanu↓ 80'8.1
11FC. Grant↓ 71'6.6
19FL. Smyth↓ 63'5.9
Coach: Martin Paterson
Substitutes
27GC. Trueman
5DD. Bernard↓ 14'6.8
33DR. James↓ 56'6.3
2DL. Palmer
20MK. Morrison↑ 78'6.9
10MB. Bannan↓ 56'6.7
8MC. Slattery↓ 46'6.3
Coach: Matthew Hamshaw
Top stats
52%Possession48%
2.37Expected goals (xG)0.28
19Total shots6
4Shots on target0
4Big chances1
4Corners0
Shots
9Shots off target3
6Blocked shots3
11Shots inside box3
8Shots outside box3
2Big chances scored0
2Big chances missed1
0.0Goals prevented-0.67
Attack
29Touches in box8
62Final third entries39
3Offsides1
16Free kicks21
3Fouled in final third0
Passing
401Passes369
309Accurate passes264
26/62 (42%)Long balls14/59 (24%)
3/18 (17%)Crosses1/10 (10%)
21Throw-ins29
Duels
48Duels52
39/86 (45%)Ground duels47/86 (55%)
21/39 (54%)Aerial duels18/39 (46%)
3/10 (30%)Dribbles6/19 (32%)
14Dispossessed7
Defending
20Tackles21
75Tackles won38
17Interceptions11
33Clearances29
64Recoveries51
Discipline
21Fouls17
2Yellow cards2
0Red cards1
Goalkeeping
0Saves2
6Goal kicks12
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers
Who winsNotts County to win (DNB) 79% · 2.85 @ Betsson
1X2Sheffield Wed to win 44% · 2.50 @ Bet365
CornersOver 9.5 corners 53% · 1.85 @ 1xBet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 65% · 1.51 @ Pinnacle
BTTSBoth teams to score 55% · 3.25 @ Bet365
1X2Draw 27% · 2.55 @ 1xBet
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 52% · 4.20 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 75% · 2.00 @ William Hill
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 68% · 1.37 @ BetVictor
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 58% · 1.57 @ Pinnacle
1X2Notts County to win 29% · 3.40 @ William Hill
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
3.30
Notts County
3.45
Draw
2.09
Sheffield Wednesday
Double Chanceconsensus
1.67
Notts County or Draw
1.29
Notts County or Sheffield Wednesday
1.30
Draw or Sheffield Wednesday
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.70
Yes
2.04
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50
11.45
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.25
Over 1.50
3.75
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.80
Over 2.50
2.00
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.00
Over 3.50
1.36
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
6.00
Over 4.50
1.12
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
2.65
Notts County
1.43
Sheffield Wednesday
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.27
Over 7.50
3.20
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.50
Over 8.50
2.41
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.85
Over 9.50
1.90
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.30
Over 10.50
1.54
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.90
Over 11.50
1.32
Under 11.50
1X2 (1st Half)consensus
3.80
Notts County
2.20
Draw
2.63
Sheffield Wednesday
1X2 (2nd Half)consensus
3.35
Notts County
2.50
Draw
2.50
Sheffield Wednesday
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.1%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.1%.
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